2020-10-01
Source | https://lockdownsceptics.org/2020/10/01/latest-news-150/ |
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Published | 2020-10-01T07:17:30 |
Last updated | 2020-10-01T07:17:31 |
Scraped | 2020-12-20T20:18:07 |
Articles | 14 |
Comments | 2,057 |
Users | 280 |
Articles
- “We Will Fight It In The Pubs, We Will Never Surrender”
- More From Trafalgar Square
- Letter to Jacob Rees-Mogg
- On The Brink of Oblivion
- No, Dr Whitty. The NHS Is Not “Open For Business”
- New Poll Proves Polls Don’t Work
- Public Health Medics Prefer Risk “At a Distance”
- Round-Up
- Theme Tunes Suggested by Readers
- Love in the Time of Covid
- “Mask Exempt” Lanyards
- Samaritans
- Shameless Begging Bit
- And Finally…
Comments
I am extremely bored with the media questions at press conferences! Whatever happened to investigative journalism?
Dear reporters and journalists, may I suggest the following please for the next press conference:
Please can you provide evidence that the lockdown worked, and explain why you feel future ones will work, in spite of the fact Whitty stated we peaked before the first one?
Where is the proof even that social distancing works? We are expected to accept this as a given, but why?
Please explain the false positive rate in laymen terms to the general public?
What would stop you from introducing another lockdown, and then during lockdown, reducing the cycle threshold of the PCR test, then claiming victory? Will you report on the exact date these changes are made to reporting standards?
Why do you choose the wrong statistics about Sweden? Rather than comparing to neighbouring countries, and bleating on about deaths per capita, how do you explain their excess deaths being similar to that of their last 20 years?
Please explain in laymen terms why masks work, when hundreds of years of research say the opposite? And as a secondary question on this point, please explain why social distancing and masks work, when flu levels are consistent with previous years? Should flu not be at record low levels?
When you say you are following the science, I take it this means following Whitty and Vallance. Please can you reassure the public that there is no conflict of interest with regards the fact the former is on the executive board of the WHO, and the latter has a £600k shareholding in GSK?
Why is it feasible that vaccines should be made mandatory when only 300 healthy people under 60 have died in England?
Please can you separate the hospitalisations between those who arrived with coronavirus symptoms, and those who did not?
Would you not take this suggestion as the best way out of this mess: prepare statistics to show weekly hospitalisations for all causes, over the last 20 years, adjusted for population changes. Then, compare this regularly to hospitalisations now. Thus, we have a simple way of tracking any issues, and can do away with a flawed test. Why would this not work?
Thank you and good night.
Someone pointed out yesterday that lockdowns in Switzerland were devolved to the Cantons, some hard, some soft, same outcomes.
It’s the same across the US. A lot of variables however. Population density appears a certain factor.
In Florida the governor just dropped all restrictions on businesses. He said “Businesses have a right to carry on” or similar. Much more enlightened than in Trotskyite Britain where business appears to be subservient to bedwetting.
I believe that as soon as it was ann the MSM reported a sudden increase in Covid infections. If common sense suddenly reared its head over here then doubt MSM would react in exactly the same way.
The main factor is Democrat or Republican.
excellent!
True investigative journalism is now on youtube and bitchute etc. Though youtube is gradually ridding itself of those.. some light in the tunnel on spiked, spectator, and telegraph.. and here of course.. though Toby still refuses to believe that the WEF, Gates et al have hijacked this cabinet. They have.
How does he explain Boris quoting Bill G in a number of speeches, replying to Bill’s tweets and committing large sums of UK money to the WHO?
He doesn’t explain those things. Possibly Toby’s reluctance in these delicate matters might possibly be tactical.
The hijacking is abundantly clear to all who look for it. Is Toby is applying the Nelson touch, which calms the waters somewhat? The great thing about this site though, is that censorship is only noticeable by it’s apparent absence.
The questions would be all pre approved.BBC,ITV,SKY are all fully on board with the Government agenda.They are allowed to criticise the handling of the crisis,not the reasoning being the lockdown policy
That was the way in the later decades of the Soviet Union, Citizens were permitted to criticize failed individuals or policies but not the system itself or the party big knobs.
Yep. Piss poor.
I’d like a questioning reporter to do a slow hand clap or wiggle their finger between their lips like a child. It’s all Pfeffel deserves.
I’d like someone to ask how many people per week are currently dying from “ordinary” seasonal flu and non-COVID related pneumonia. Last time I looked (ONS) it was nine times the death toll from coronavirus.
Asking awkward questions is not going to enhance your career prospects, here at the BBC.
Agreed, but I don’t think that any journalist prepared to answer these questions would be allowed near any of these propaganda affairs. Which raises the question: how is a challenge organised? Surely Toby must have some sort of approach available given his strong connections to many Government figures?
Fantastic — You are absolutely right – I cannot watch the news anymore because no one asks any of these questions……. What on earth has happened to investigative journalism — especially anyone connected with the BBC —
Yay, just got turned away by Toby Carvery for only having an old fashioned phone.
Land of the free!!!!
But all is well in the Posh Cafe where they have been happy to accept my stupid phone number.
No fear of getting infected. With thirty or so tables I am their only customer.
My friend praised the staff in Toast how they searched through the store room for an item she wanted.
I pointed out they need the sale to keep their jobs/the physical shop open.
(My friend went into the shop as the item was sold out online)
People trying to keep their business open and save some jobs will be more lax about the “rules”.
Chits at ‘spoons, quite full.
My large Spoons got stroppy about QR code two weeks ago after expecting me to queue in sheep pens. Left unfed of course.
I tried out the new pub procedures last Thursday evening. Arrived at the pub at 8.30 pm and was loudly admonished for baring my face. I replied that I was exempt and took a seat with the people I normally sit with.
The barmaid was clearly unhappy, but brought my drink, while muttering sulkily behind her mask. The landlady came down the stairs at 8.55 and she brazenly and very stupidly called last orders at exactly nine o’clock. I resolved, there and then, to stay out of pubs, as long as this madness goes on. I realise that, thanks to the very corrupt UK government, this may well be forever.
go back next week and the next. After a while the penny will drop when their custom does. I had a similar thing before the rule of six I found pubs that serve food were more interested in a party of ten rather than a single drinker like myself.
I do think economic leverage is our primary (possibly our only weapon). If we refuse to play their games and businesses suffer then the businesses and their representative groups will also turn on the Government. Perhaps it’s not fair on some businesses, but what else can we do?
As I keep saying, the power is in our wallet and feet, if enough people refuse to go along with this nonsense they will either cave in or go bust.
The problem with that is the government seem prepared to let a lot of businesses go to the wall. In fact, entertainment doesn’t seem to be a feature of the new normal.
When I have a spare afternoon I’ll visit the 6 local Weatherspoons just to get turned away (thick skinned me).
Dunno if Tim Martin keeps tabs on these things.
Local ‘spoons has chits and pencils and a box to post the chits into, or just a list of names and numbers when the chits run out.
The list is illegal because it’s on public view so breaks data protection laws.
The chits are best – for loads of good reasons.
First time I went to a Spoons post lockdown they just had chits so I put it in the ‘ballot box’ blank.
I have no idea if this is genuine but someone has apparently developed an app that mimics the NHS one but does not send any data anywhere. (Still won’t work on your old phone though!)
https://covid1984.life/
that’s cheating!
Well, they started it.
looks like it .. All it does is mimic the the screen that a phone will show when you correctly scan in. So you load the app.. to your phone. When you go out, you open the app, type in the name of the restaurant etc, and wave your phone at the QR to give the impression you are scanning. Then you can show the phone to staff and it looks like you have correctly scanned
Apparently app for older Androids and for iphones is coming
Sorry, bit of a thick question but doesn’t the pub’s qr reader thing bleep to say successful scan ? I haven’t been anywhere yet that needs a code so genuine question.
It’s just a bit of paper. Open question for me is getting the right name
yes – i went to my barbers and he has a QR code printed on a piece of paper on the wall.. Although he is sceptic and isnt bothered about people scanning.
And that might be the attitude of a lot of places. If you pretend to scan then thats fine by me. and they wont check details. Like most of this farce people will just go through the motions
Returned from holiday to Manchester Airport on Monday. Had to download the Governments form with QR code. Huge queues in passport control, (no scanners!) as people had to show the form to a Border Control Officer!
I do it all the time, same as I pretend to use hand sanitizer and wash my hands unless my hands are dirty of course: see: COMMON SENSE.
Just been to the garden centre so have seen the bit of paper. I understand now ! You don’t need to type a name in the fake app. You just press start and it comes up with the ‘signed in’ page with correct time. I love it.
That won’t work if they ask to see the check in screen because the genuine check in screen displays the venue name.
Oops, just seen the bit on the fake app where you type the venue name. Please excuse me. I’m not a technophobe, just don’t like my phone to play too active a role in my life !
I’ve been checking the code of the official app and the QR code does contain the venue name so it should be quite possible to create an app that still scans the QR code and shows the correct venue code name.
They will make using them illegal like those gizmos that warn of live speed traps ahead, sorry Road Safety Partnerships.
But it’s not a law that you have have the app, simply businesses being overzealous by insisting on it. Since the spoof app is therefore not allowing to you subvert a law, there are no grounds to ban it.
Those aren’t illegal in this country. They have always been in France though.
It’s genuine, I’ve checked the code
Thanks Tee, the more people that do, the better
Yep, that’s my baby
I don’t think Toby is keen to have it on here though so by all means join the Telegram group to chat about it.
https://t.me/joinchat/MyCWKhzLK5GdK50PubfwLw
Massive respect for creating this, great idea. Oh, just to mention (sorry for pedantry but it will increase trust I reckon) there’s a typo on the site appearence/appearance. Thanks again!
Thanks Tee, I’ll fix it
I think this is the way to go: from passive resistance to active sabotage
They can’t do that.
nope just posted that above
After a few post on here this morning about being refused entry i checked the gov website:
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/maintaining-records-of-staff-customers-and-visitors-to-support-nhs-test-and-trace
and it states “In England, you do not have to request details from people who check in with the official NHS QR poster, and venues should not ask them to do both. Venues must not make the specific use of the NHS QR code a precondition of entry (as the individual has the right to choose to provide their contact details if they prefer). Should someone choose to check in with the official NHS QR poster, a venue should check their phone screen to ensure they have successfully checked in.”
A large firm like Toby Carvery will be aware of that, probably the staff being lazy. Well it’s their jobs still on the line.
I would complain to head office .You will probably get a free roast .
And if you’re really lucky… indigestion!
You don’t need to be that lucky.
Note, it also says that if someone refuses to provide their contact details, the venue should refuse entry.
(I’m pretty sure it’s should nowadays, not just can .)
Perhaps we should make a list of worst offending businesses so we all know who to boycott when this crap is over
Indeed and it should be spread far and wide.
They should also be reminded that the following excuses will not wash:
1) I didn’t know
2) I was only following orders (or variations thereof)
NB I didn’t know also applies to us.
Ignorance is no legal excuse for breaking the law.
Yesterday the announcement was “already 14 Mill downloaded the APP”.
Only 14 mill. Out of 67Mill? Consider how many are children, live in some kind of care, , that leaves 40mill possible adults? That means uptake is very low.
I heard on some podcast (Spiked?) that there are 72 million smart phones in UK
Some people will own more than one, if they have a work phone..
In Germany, 14 million obedient bedwetters downloaded the app on day 1.
Three months later we’re at 16 million, and it has officially been branded completely useless.
Legally they have to provide more primitive means of T&T.
In the same way that they usually have to accept cash as legal tender.
Did they even give you the option of providing (false) details with good old fashioned pen and paper? I seriously think that some of these companies actually want to go out of business.
No absolutely not, it was QR code or no brekky, I didn’t argue just said ‘fine’ and left.
20 % of people don’t have a smart phone so by law they should offer alternatives .
The correct alternative is to not bother with them.
I don’t disagree as i’m personally boycotting all pubs and restaurants but i’m just stating a fact.
Their main lunchtime trade is the genteel elderly, exactly the demographic least likely to have a smartphone.
Would be interesting to find out if they are so negative to a very elderly person, or someone disabled..
Sod ’em. They don’t deserve your business. Did you tell them that they could possibly be discriminating against you, for which they could be fined? I’ve only got a dumb phone as have many, many others, and even if you do have a smart phone it has to be a later one to download the crap app. So many businesses will soon be out of business if they don’t grasp what is happening.
If I’d known what Wayno posted above about the government saying they should accept ordinary self ID I might have done.
, perhaps needing taken down a peg but I don’t want to eat anywhere that does not welcome me with open arms.
He was a junior manager which is fine but his lilac mask matched his lilac waistcoat
They did you a favour.
Out of interest, what did they actually say? Tell you to upgrade your phone? Were they polite or aggressive?
Officious Carrie.
I had the breakfast tickbox menu in my hand and as he came out from ‘staff only’ door I asked if I was supposed to fill it in.
No hello or good morning, “Have you scanned th QR code ?”
‘No, I only have an old phone, (I lied), you can have the number.’
“No code no service”.
I don’t even think he said sorry but it was his matching lilac mask and waistcoat that really put me off.
Why won’t the government just let our immune systems deal with this?
Our immune system is the best, in fact only, weapon for “defeating” this virus. So why doesn’t the government just let our bodies get on with it and stop destroying society?
IFR
Valance and Whitty think that for every 50,000 who get infected 200 will die.
That means that for every 1 million people infected, 4,000 would die.
i.e. they think the infection fatality rate (IFR) is 0.4%.
Herd Immunity
If you believe that IFR, then if everyone in the UK (66m people) caught the virus, around 260,000 would die.
But that wouldn’t happen because the virus would burn out before that. But how much before?
That is the big unknown: when would we get to herd immunity?
Some people believe it’s 20% because they think we have a lot of pre-existing immunity. Some people like Ferguson think we don’t have any natural immunity and believe 80% of the population need to get ill before the virus burns out.
If you believe it’s 20% then that means the virus burns out after 52,000 people die (260,000 x 20%) – i.e. about 10,000 to go.
If you believe Ferguson, then it would be over 200,000 people – i.e. 160,000 to go.
So it’s somewhere between 10,000 and 160,000 to go, assuming the IFR is 0.4%.
Vaccine vs Shielding the vulnerable.
If the government is intent on “managing” the epidemic, as it clearly is, it has 2 options.
Option 1: affect the IFR by shielding the vulnerable and hope that herd immunity is reached sooner rather than later and mostly by spreading in younger, fitter people.
Option 2: suppress as much as you can until a vaccine is produced that provides the herd immunity without any deaths (supposedly).
They started with option 1 and switched to option 2.
They did that based on Ferguson’s assumptions of 0.8% IFR and 80% to reach herd immunity. (66 million x 80% x 0.8 = 422,000 deaths). The evidence now shows those two assumptions were very wrong.
They are clinging on their policy on the premise that we don’t really know when herd immunity is reached. But if it is anywhere near 20% as many suspect, then their measures will have been a complete disaster and caused all the economic and social destruction for nothing. Our immune systems will have done all the work. As they generally do.
Good summary. Though I would say they are a little more informed on the the herd immunity debate than we pretend. Yes there are those who’ve analysed places such as New York, Japan, Sweden and other places to suggest herd immunity has been reached, and it seems promising. They are bound to be looking at that. But ultimately this all now about politics.
To give them some degree of sympathy, they make policy that impacts millions and so they can’t just go all in on a particular position I would say because they would be out on their ear well before they got to the point where proof was on the table.
If they go for herd immunity right now, they’d probably not sustain it against the ill informed public opinion. Its still a toxic word for the idiotic press.
While Vallance had his scientist hat on in March, its clear the public just can’t understand or are scared by that perspective. So CMOs options are reduced by the political atmosphere.
Because it is not about health, but about the economy.
I now wish they would just admit that, get on with it.
Ultimately it’s all about the vaccines and Bill Gates, who is about using vaccines as a means of massively reducing the global population. The utterly corrupt government is doing all it can to keep the potential demand for the unlicensed and liability free vaccines as high as possible.
Only if the vulnerable want to be shielded, they still have capacity to make their own decisions under the 2005 act, which hasn’t been overturned by the current legislation as far as I’m aware.
Immune System
Has No
Side Effects
Don’t Let
Bill Gates
Kill you
Bill Gates, together with Boris Johnson, Matt Hancock, Chris Whitty and Patrick Vallance are all out to kill us. We are in very deep trouble and resistance is vital.
Can we not lobby MPs about Bill G being so involved and also UK money being given to the WHO with no mandate from the UK population?
They may be thinking they will get away with it, because no one has noticed, or is bothered…
They probably think they have a pass to the Brave New Normal.
Thanks, very clear. What is their 0.4% IFR figure based on, I though it was reckoned to be more like 0.2%?
Good post!
I’m sure Tweedledum and Tweedledee know perfectly well how immune systems function, which is why they advised going for herd immunity in the first place.
Seems a lot of money and personal threats have been involved since.
And let’s not forget Macron’s blackmailing de Piffle into locking down.
Radio 4 Today show are schizophrenic this morning. One report that the rate of virus spread is slowing. Another report on Witless and Unbalanced and BobaJob’s press con yesterday claiming the apocalypse is here. Heads will start exploding all over Broadcasting House in the confusion. Happy days.
Same yesterday, More Or Less explained why ‘record cases’might not mean more deaths followed by Womans Hour describing it as ‘a new Peak for the virus’.
Nono, they need both to be true simultaneously. It’s out of control, so we need more measures. But the measures are working, so that’s why it will be good to have more of them.
Fuckers.
BBC, offering a balance of opinion for once?
Trying to cover their arses more like.
Thankyou for giving me a huge laugh x
Daughters school has turned off the water for the pupils because of risk of cross contamination. The only water available has to be paid for. I was under the impression that access to water was a human right. Pubs have to provide drinking water for free if asked dont they? Does anyone know if I have anything legal to hold against them?
Yeah I thought that was illegal.
I would be fuming, and I’d be letting the staff know how angry I am and how scientifically inept they are.
Done that – I told the head he was despicable and forwarded a post that said what they are doing is child abuse. No comment was the firm reply. Arseholes.
Am sure that is illegal. Restaurants are not allowed to charge for tap water and must provide it if asked for.
Ask Francis Hoar and contact Us For Them…
Illegal under health & safety for staff, almost certainly under Disability Legislation.
If the water goes off in a school you need to be sent home. It’s basic hygiene standards
Sorry it’s the taps where they would normally fill up their water bottles
I think that’s illegal at the bare minimum under Disability Discrimination and H&S legislation. Not to mention blatant profiteering.
Perhaps ask for their risk assessment and also the contact details of someone in the school who should be addressed should your daughter or anyone in school suffer due to water deprivation.
Probably best the kids ain’t drinking the school tap water, it’s just pish recycled a trillion times.
Do they still have the drinking fountains I remember from the 60s?
I’m not sure tbh – i dont think so. Am going to get all my ducks in a row before contacting them.
Haven’t drinking fountains been banned since the mockdown started?
So how are they washing their hands the required 1000000 times per day?
There you go again with reason and logic.
Sorry – wasnt clear – it’s the drinking water taps they normally fill bottles from. The loos flush etc.
Very excellent point.
I won’t trouble you with what we small lads used the drinking fountains for but it wasn’t for washing hands
Same at my stepdaughters secondary school. My son’s primary school allow them to bring in water from home. Her’s insist pupils buy water from the canteen – and wear a mask to stand in line to buy it.
The use of masks was not mandatory in the first week back, but was made mandatory afterwards because….the staff requested it. Ill informed twats.
My son’s school sent home a letter yesterday asking what was successful and unsuccessful about home schooling, in case it needs to resume again because of “the escalating pandemic”. What you can do, Headteacher, to protect childrens’ education at this time, is lobby our local MP and ask her to stop supporting this ridiculous regime that puts a theoretic extension to the life of an 80+ year old ahead of educating the young.
I have 2 friends who’s 3 year olds have been sent home from nursery to self isolate for 2 weeks because of “a positive test”. Them and all of their class mates (they are from 2 different nurseries).
It’s disgusting, you couldn’t make it up!
3 year-olds FFS!
And the parents who now have to stay home and look after them will no doubt have to get tested, and their contacts – and so the farce goes on!
The parents have been advised they dont have to isolate unless they get symptoms, and then they should isolate. But the kids must isolate, because they’ve been EXPOSED to a (false?) positive test. Old people are vulnerable to this, we must do something. What can we do? I know, lets lock up the kids!
Its bullshit of the highest order. With no right of appeal. Our local MP so far declines to respond to anything I’ve sent her. It seems teachers are being disproportionately tested – which probably accounts for the alleged spread in educational settings.
They shouldn’t have to buy water. Contact your local water company. What an absolute disgrace this is.
How many young children will have to fall ill before this criminal nonsense is stopped?
That letter re home schooling is interesting in the light of other posts today saying doctors have had a head-up that schools will be closed in November and December – have schools been told the same?
What about the risks of dehydration? A potential threat to health and general well being?
Ask the local water company in your area .
Children should never be denied access to clean drinking water, which should be free of charge.
This is child abuse; it’s disgraceful.
And, to Mel and CGL; I’m still fuming about this ,despite not having children: contact the NSPCC and Citizens’ Advice as well as your local water companies.
https://www.rcpch.ac.uk/
See also the link for the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health; may the force be with you both.
Pets and farm animals are legally entitled to clean, fresh drinking water at all times.
Disgusting.
Write in to Talkradio? Julia Hartley Brewers has been brilliant in questioning ministers.
AFAIK it’s not true for pubs & restaurants, but it is true for schools.
In our local rag (Kidderminster shuttle) serving Wyre Forrest,Worcestershire.
“PUBLIC BLAMED FOR VIRUS SPIKE”.
The free press?,?,?,?
Kidderminster Shuttle owned by Newsquest Media Group and an offshoot of the Worcester News which contains 2 embedded BBC reporters (paid by BBC) . So local press is just following BBC instructions
So it is not free press.
All local press is not independent. It is BBC in disguise
Just as bad as regional Local Live, all part of mirror group news, full of rubbish about everything, not just covid/lockdown.
May be ave a quick serach for BBC local democracy reporters. Local rags up and down the land have bbc paid staff working in them. I don’t proposed they wrote the individual headline, though they may have. The local press has been exceptionally poor throughout. Possibly the government buying of advertising to prop up the newspaper business has an effect but it seems a much more structured deceit than that, something D notice-like that blanket commands the press to publish such junk.
Much of the local junk comes from the same source, with a sprinkling of locally relevant stories.
A virus spread by humans…. wow
CANCER PATIENT BLAMED FOR DYING AFTER NHS REFUSES TREATMENT.
Have any of the so called “rebels”, who were prepared to vote for the Brady amendment, made any comments about the renewal of the Coronavirus Act which was passed yesterday? I would be interested to hear why they didn’t vote against it.
I don’t think they will go public with what is undoubtedly a multifaceted ‘deal’. Boris used up a lot of political capital yesterday to save face in public, but there were conditions attached. Interesting interlude in HoC yesterday when Graham Brady gave way for Chris Bryant, who wanted to know exactly what had been agreed. No direct answer from Brady, but it seemed clear there was something.
Boris should invite some of the sceptics closer to the fire now. He needs to start hedging his bets
This is an interesting political intervention – from someone close to Cummings and Gove:
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-8791661/JAMES-FRAYNE-Seven-ways-Prime-Minister-win-country.html
The photo is perfect.
Hands: De Piffle waving his hands about
Face: grimacing
Space: the gaping gap between his words and the Truth.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54366478
right on cue, the wind changes. The Coronavirus act is passed and a sliver of good news. Expect more this week.
Love the way they say the rule of six “May be having an impact”. So it may, or it may not? We don’t know. Just like face coverings, but they then say that’s one of the things we have to keep doing.
Doesn’t feel like a very “scientific” approach.
Remember, this is from the makers of “In certain circumstances , masks might have a small benefit…” They’ve since taken out ‘small’ by the way.
It’s not, because they introduced various other restrictions in some cities/regions after a week or so, so impossible to conclude anything about any single measure.
less people in pubs/restaurants overall means less risk. There again it also means less profit.
Risk of what and to whom?
The Imperial survey, no doubt predicated on Ferguson’s model, is for the first week in September before the rule of six kicked in. Do they think we won’t notice these things?
Their fingers are crossed – probably permanently considering their perpetual mendacity.
It’s a logical fallacy. And so many of these measures fall into that category.
The letter to J. Rees-Mogg could’ve been infinitely more succinct- “In view of the breathtaking amount of unwarranted illiberal legislation.Stupefying incompetence, complete loss of reason & untold economic damage. Care to impart what the real,hidden agenda of H.M. Government really is?
Quick update from the doctors lunch room.
” So are you all downloading the track and trace app?”
The unaminous reply was NO WAY … even from the lockdown luvvies.!
There is hope …
I do not believe for one minute that 10 million people have downloaded the app
It means they effectively won’t be able to go out to eat.
I have resigned myself to this. Two pals said let’s go for a curry and I said it’s too awful out there with masks, apps, temp checks, servers dressed like surgeons and general fear. I just don’t any of it. Wife said I’m not being pragmatic enough…
perhaps we should actively visit establishments armed with an old phone. If enough of us do it and enough get turned away maybe these places will realise the NHS is mandatory for entry
Or bring your new phone but don’t get it out, and say you’re happy to put a (fake) name in the book. It’s not like they pat you down upon entry.
my experience on Sunday was every place used the NHS QR reader rather than their own QR reader and with that no option for hand written details. I guess it’s a case of pushback
Try ‘spoons, paper chits here still.
I wander past the QR reader. I won’t use it. If I am challenged, then they get a real name (thanks, compliant wife) and a fake phone number which is so close to the real one that the wife doesn’t notice the difference.
Anyone who challenges that (I have seen some shops with “No Mask, No Service”) I explain that they will have to live without my custom and bid them adieu. They’ll learn.
The option to give handwritten details is a legal requirement.
Before all this kicked off, we ate out at least once a week. Since the latest muzzle edict came in, we’ve decided to restrict ourselves to a couple of restaurants where we have a longstanding relationship with the owners and don’t have to justify our exemption every time we go in, having takeaways delivered the rest of the time. I certainly won’t be downloading the app and anywhere that expects it as a requirement for entry is welcome to go bust as far as I’m concerned.
The farce of wearing a mask on entry and then to go to the loo. The problem with exemptions is the looks and the explaining. It’s bad enough when I do my mission-based shop at Tesco at 6am on a Monday morning without one, but to repeat that experience for my fish and chips and pint of bitter at the pub destroys the experience. It’s less the owners than the other patrons. Invariably compliant and ignorant.
The mask is like the Hitler gruss. Not giving the Johnson salute can be uncomfortable. But vital to maintaining self-respect.
The mask is a boot on the human face, forever (copyright George Orwell).
If it is possible to book tables, maybe a few groups of people should book out a whole restaurant, and then turn up, refuse to scan or give details and then just leave. See how a restaurant copes when an entire sitting (and income from it) suddenly evaporates and they are left with only ‘drop-ins’… Could be particularly effective if done in the evening, when fewer people are likely to just pop in without a booking…
I like your thinking
Or book then don’t turn up. Many people have been doing that since this farce started.
See post from Wayno above. Government advice is that venues should accept usual types of ID if customers cannot or do not use QR code. Means the cancellation is the venues fault not ours so demand refund of any deposit.
As someone working the hospitality industry this is NOT the thing to do!!!
These people are just trying to keep a business going, remember , it is not just the people in the restaurant, there is a whole supply chain.
With xmas parties cancelled this year, there are no crackers to be made (often in home work), 1000s turkeys going to waste, DJs (who maybe do it as a 2nd income) haven’t worked all year, party decoration suppliers either, a lot of casual staff gaining important income by waiting, washing dishes etc,, taxi drivers, cleaners, It is a long list of people who rely on hospitality to succeed.
There’s an easy answer; if your job relies on hospitality income, don’t make things unpleasant for your customers. EASY! If you want to keep your business going, don’t be a bedwetter to the sceptics.
If your job relies on hospitality income…
…don’t be inhospitable.
Then the frontline establishments should make sure what the law does and doesn’t require, instead of using their own (often ridiculous) interpretation of the rules.
No one is suggesting it’s used wholesale against the hospitality industry but just on those restaurants treating people appallingly .
Hi Carrie i’m boycotting all unnecessary going out myself but that is a great idea and it’s direct action like that which is a great tactic for any restaurant treating people badly .
Fancy dress might work – Doctors and nurses!
I’m going for the highwayman look
I am now picturing you as a cross between Jack Sparrow and Adam Ant…
I just need the tricorn hat
Stand and deliver, your money or your life!
Just stay away from the chains.Small businesses will go through the motions because it is law but they will be desperate for your custom.
Ok good tip
I believe we should all just boycott everything pubs .restaurants and any unnecessary shopping while all these weird rules and masks are in place.It’s the only way to get the message across hit them in their pockets and then they will put pressure on the government for change .
Completely agree. It’s the only real power we have. Don’t even bother to tell them why – they aren’t listening to anyone but sooner or later, their accountants will speak.
Peter, what is your view as to why that is the case, and will this extend to attitudes among your colleagues to being in line for the unlicensed vaccine?
And, we had a thought, what happens if you go into a cafe/restaurant/pub, download the app and then look at the menu and decide not to stay? Can you un-download it?
If they haven’t thought that might happen when they designed this app, then it’s dead on arrival.
It wouldn’t be the first!
As far as I know, the app doesn’t unscan you till you scan at the next venue.
You could be at home for hours while still officially in the cafe from lunch.
Ridiculous!
And subject to quarantine because you were exposed to someone testing positive who called in three hours after you left. Really just a bad idea to download it. The thing to get out there is the risk to your job, etc., if you are subjected to an unwarranted quarantine.
Discussion of alternative option here
https://t.me/joinchat/MyCWKhzLK5GdK50PubfwLw
5 million downloads for android devices.
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=uk.nhs.covid19.production&hl=en
No data for IPHONE
https://apps.apple.com/gb/app/nhs-app/id1388411277
is that 5 million globally?
Yes it is, but outside of UK is useless.
AFAIK it’s automatically downloaded on the latest iPhones as part of OS patching, so doesn’t even need to be actively downloaded from the app store.
Phew!
A large number may have downloaded it but it doesn’t mean that they know how to use it or will actually use it. I remember a couple of Christmases ago, an older family member declaring with pride that he had ‘over 80 apps’ on his phone, as if it was a badge of honour. I doubt for one second that he uses any of them. He’s a scaredy cat and complete hypochondriac who barely leaves the house. Why he bothers to have a state of the art ‘mobile’ phone I have no idea. Scrub that, I do know why, he thinks he’s cool and down with the kids. Sad.
Same in my hospital! We’ve also had ongoing arguments with the various restaurants within the actual campus demanding we track and trace-they don’t seem to understand that we can’t be included and logically must be exempt inside the hospital. If someone has a positive PCR do we all have to go home for 10 days? Duh!
12 million download it = 55 million didn’t?
Well, kids don’t have to, do they?
That’ll be the 10 million I left out
I’m suspicious that the figure might be similar to when Facebook first launched video. They celebrated these fantastic viewing stats, until somebody pointed out that most were autoplaying and only partial views.
Funny thing is my wife and colleagues in healthcare aren’t downloading the app because it is sure to ping since they work with “Covid patients” now and then.
Plus on a related fact a lot of them are worried that the flu vaccine this year will include some experimental stuff for a Covid vaccine. A lot are not going to take even the flu shot because they don’t want to be guineapigs.
I’m not having the flu shot this year. Firstly, I’m hardly going anywhere because everything you do is such a miserable experience, secondly, everyone is wearing a mask so I can’t catch anything can I?!.
Same here; similar circumstances
My thoughts exactly and I’m not remotely medical.
I think that your lasts para is a lot of nonsense. To get the flu vaccine delivered in quantity the decision on it contents will have been made many months ago and production started before the covid thing properly kicked off and any vaccine research on it commenced.
The NHS app is UKgov’s direction of travel for all, I believe. Compliance by the public will be achieved not through laws (e.g. “you must download the app”) but instead implicitly, like we are beginning to see now where some of us are being refused access to pubs/restaurants. This will inevitably broaden to other venues – shops and public transport – before the next stage, which will be a requirement (or rather, we will be ‘encouraged’) to show a ‘certificate of vaccination’ on our phones before being able to access venues or use transport. Tobias Elwood MP alluded to this in the House of Commons on Monday.
Tobias Elwood is a snake on the grass. When johnson is ousted we should be very worried if he gets close to power.
Yes, very much STILL a military man. Knows where his allegiances lie.
That’s why he should be charged with treason when this is all over. His attempts in sowing division between the armed forces and the people is despicable and must be resisted at all costs.
But they’re no longer people, they’re terrified sheep.
I believe 10 m might have d/l it out of curiosity…..
Had a bit of a play, realised how shit and battery drainy it is….
Then deleted it.
(Seriously I bet 5m have already deleted it)
Yes, running bluetooth constantly is a real no-no unless you keep your phone on the charger all the time. And then the app’s no use anyway. Not that it’s any use to begin with.
I’ll take that bet… when I look at compliance re masks etc, I have no doubt that the vast majority of those 10M downloads are being actively used.
Do tell them about the alternative
https://t.me/joinchat/MyCWKhzLK5GdK50PubfwLw
Crisis averted in the stock market – at least in the short term (anyone who can remember the Financial Crisis will remember the rescue rights issue of Royal Bank of Scotland failed). Rolls Royce attempt to stave off collapse:
‘Rolls-Royce Holdings plc (“Rolls-Royce” or the “Group” or the “Company”) today announces its intention to raise gross proceeds of approximately £2bn by way of a fully underwritten 10 for 3 Rights Issue. In conjunction with the Rights Issue, the Company intends to commence, in the near future, a Bond Offering to raise gross proceeds of at least £1bn. The Company has also agreed commitments for a new two year term loan facility of £1bn and received an indication of support in principle from UK Export Finance for an extension of its 80% guarantee to support a potential increase of the Company’s existing £2bn five year term loan of up to £1bn’
Will it work?
RR was also rescued in the 1970s I recall, right when they were developing the engines for the new Lockheed Tristar. Today they face a profound demand issue, there is not much flying going on. I am sure plenty of investors (sorry lenders) will buy up the bonds given the implicit government guarantee. The difference between RR and the banks is that RR is not systemically important, thought the jobs in Derby will be politically so…
RR is a one of the UK’s few manufacturing remaining successes. The gov would be crazy to let it fail, but I wouldn’t bet my life that they won’t. Which is why I wouldn’t buy their bonds…
Early 70s original RR going bust. Government took it over because it was so important.
RR aircraft engines were floated in 1987 and continue to today. .
Rolls Royce motors (i.e. cars) already sold off as a separate company which was then acquired by Vickers (who made tanks etc). They then sold the company to VW (but not the name) hence VW make Bentleys at Crewe and Mercedes who bought the name make RRs.
Meanwhile
The usual farce of british industry
BMW make RRs but yes good history
whoops basic mistake.. Dont know where mercedes came from
Yes, VW Phaeton the sensible man’s Bentley.
LOL seriously? More like the fat man’s Passat.
RR switched to a “pay for power by the hour” business model for their Trent engines.
That’s not looking like a smart move now.
According to BBC R4 news RR gets paid for their engines not as outright sale but for the time they are actually in use which, at the moment, is not a lot.
Partrick Heningsen has written a short series of helpful tweets, a kind of crib sheet for challenging the pandemic narrative in conversation.
It is really worthwhile having a quick read. The points could easily be converted into a leaflet by adding the sources to the four killer points.
https://mobile.twitter.com/21WIRE/status/1311451908146593796
Others are adding helpful info to the thread.
Reading through that list I am shocked that anyone wouldn’t be aware of these issues. Not the man in the street per say, but those opinionated individuals and especially MPs.
For those screaming it’s the plague, do they actually want to live in fear? I for one do not function well under fear or stress. I seek ways to get past that through information, educating myself about that thing I am fearful of. It’s the only thing that has got me from the China ‘bodies in the street’ fear in March to now, where its very much a case of shrugging the shoulders. The positive story is out there if they want it.
As for MPs, its criminal and they should never be allowed to forget how utterly useless they’ve been.
The list forms a fundamental basis against all in favour of the criminal fraud and associated measures, as you say. To keep in mind as we address these public officials who have chosen group think and/or chosen to damage our lives deliberately.
It’s useful but it could have been written months ago. People are intent on living in fear.
Grenn recovery. Today they/them are launching yet another psy-op to label all on an individual level. Littering is now being alliterated to Personal Pollution.
You won’t find a strong opponent of littering, it is and always has been personal responsibility – that is not my point. The introduction of a new specific term that demonises each person, putting out yet another sense of individual shame.
Personal pollution, just like the kind of personal pollution we are now guilty off by exuding our covids out of our disease-ridden bodies.
A very apt term from an anti-human agenda.
2 6 you put is exactly as I was trying to. Grubby little good for nothing beings we are.
next they will make farting a crime
strictly speaking only if you’re not wearing shorts!
what ? on the basis that shorts are as effective as masks. ???
new slogan -if you can smell it-you can catch it
Obviously. The Science has evidence.
Isn’t it?
I know some people whose farts should be!
Ah but that would penalise the majority because of the minority and we don’t do that in this country.
Do we?
Punishing the whole group for the ‘transgressions’ of the few is the standard M.O. of our society.
Its always baffling that those who say they’re pro-environment are always silent about littering. Even during the height of the hysteria over single use plastics and coffee cups, everytime I mention littering, I’m always greeted with silence.
Now with the proliferation of muzzles everywhere, still nowt a peep. Even if they’re more hazardous to the environment than single use plastics.
But we’re banning plastic straws and cotton buds while nonchalantly flinging face nappies everywhere.
Yeah odd innit?? The inconsistency is laughable.
Sorry for wasting all the oxygen Bill.
I searched for that term and all I found was “Good news! Plastic straws, stirrers and cotton buds to be banned in the UK from today”
I’ve sited a source, how about you give us a hint about where you got this littering meme from?
Frankly sounds like a distraction from the topic of discussion on this site. Unless masks have been banned as part of this.
Many masks dropped….
Not first – but perhaps first with a question.
Do we know how many people Whitty, et al, fear may die in a second wave if nothing was done?
Johnson talks of “a huge loss of life” – could he be more precise?
It’s somewhere between 10,000 (20% to herd immunity) and 160,000 (80% to herd immunity), assuming the IFR is 0.4%.
I explain a bit more in an earlier post.
Much thanks for that. It is very helpful.
So well within the government’s own estimation of the cost in lives of lockdown: 75,000 recently, but (a more realistic?) 200,000 estimated in April.
Covid is much less deadly than Johnson, using the government’s own figures.
The cure is worse than the disease. I was saying this back in March.
I read with horror the article in Spiked about what students are having to put up with. Just one question : are they allowed out at all? I don’t mean to go to the pub or a party, but for a solitary walk in the hills for example?
As far as I understand it no.
They get things delivered. Some have been complaining not enough booze is being included. Totally fair point in my opinion
I just don’t understand why there aren’t any jailbreaks. If my kids were imprisoned i’d have sprung them by now and by force if necessary. What is wrong with people?
I agree – if this my daughter she would have been out immediately – even if it did mean turning up with solicitor ! I know there is a fee issue but frankly that must be contestable and the class actions type suits against universities must be starting
This is the silver lining on the big grey cloud. These conformist numpties are getting a good hard lesson in what happens when you rely on the government for everything.
Can someone please repost the link from late yesterday with hancick saying for the first time (?)he has no other strategy except lockdown until vaccine arrives. I’m out & about lacking skills and time.
https://mobile.twitter.com/MattHancock/status/1311563037279686656
Thank you Bumble
Power to isolate someone they believe may be infectious. That is the killer for me. Chilling stuff delivered with not a hint of remorse. Absolute madman.
In NZ they have the power not only to drag you out of your home and put you in an isolation prison, they also make you pay for the privilege.
Listening to a retired submarine officer on R4 advising people how to deal with extended periods of lockdown.
ARE THESE PEOPLE FOR REAL?
Extended penis-wound dressing drills.
That what they do in submarines when under the Arctic circle for protracted periods. It boosts moral, so does having purple jelly on Monday nights for desert.
So I heard anyway, I used to know a submariner.
“Extended” Quite how arousal would be maintained amid having such a wound I have no idea!!
Ah but the wound was asymptomatic.
Normalising the Madness by telling people how to cope with it. Resist! Don’t adapt, you morons!
The son of my dad’s best mate (both former RN) was Royal Navy surgeon. He says he was only allowed to serve 6 months in submarines “because then you start going loopy”.
We’ve done our time. Let us out!!!
Well, we are well and truly loopy, so obviously correct.
I’m posting something positive today, a small ray of hope for the performing arts sector.
Last night I went to my first Bournemouth Symphony Orchestra concert for 6 months. This shutdown is the longest in the orchestra’s 127 year history which spans 2 world wars and plenty of flu pandemics as well.
It was quite emotional as the CEO made a speech at the start of the concert. I was cheered that he refused to accept the ‘new normal’ of spaced orchestra and 40% capacity. ‘I will not stop fighting until we have full stages and full houses again”, acknowledging the suffering of freelancers who have no work at the moment.
The concert was shorter than normal, no interval and it was strange that we were all sitting in our own islands. However it was interesting to see the audience age. The BSO audience is normally much older than you see in London and it was great that lots of over 75s had decided that their weekly fix of music was important to them and worth the ‘risk’ (which has always been miniscule in Dorset even back in March).
It’s going to be a slow grind against the morons running this country but we will prevail and we will defeat the ‘new normal’.
Anyone who is in the performing arts should maybe look for gigs in Sweden, where you will soon be able to hold them!
Could a cruise ship be chartered and sail out to international waters, and then hold whatever concerts it likes?
Ooh we could all go and have a sort of sceptic convention! When this is all over I’d love to meet up with at least 5 of you.
There will be annual reunions of Old Sceptics.
Given the zombie attitude towards us, perhaps we should call ourselves The New Contemptibles.
Better to charter a ship, install the Cabinet, Sage, the advisors and … (insert your own suggestions, it’s a big ship), then pull the plug somewhere in international waters.
It’s what they are apparently planning to do with the illegal immigrants so they can hardly complain about it being inhuman.
Well done him!!! He’s done more than the supine characters we have here in London.
That’s fantastic to hear, musicians in all genres have suffered greatly under this regime for obvious reasons. Pleased to report that amateur orchestras are starting to get together again, using a technicality in the law which allows exemption from the rule of sicks.
I almost feel sorry for those that put their faith in Boris and Rees Mogg. Boris is fat and as such greedy, conniving and a liar, like all fat people. Rees Mogg is catholic and anyone who can believe that shit is a fucking lunatic. What kind of puny mind looks at these fellows and thinks “they’re the ones for me”. I’ll tell you, a victim of state education. They prove why we can’t have a system, why the only way is no government whatsoever. I, as a highly functioning adult on the artistic spectrum have to suffer rules laid down by people like fat Boris, a man who can’t even look after his own body, and Rees-Mogg a man who believes in the supernatural, and voted in by the kind of barely educated arsehole who believe in democracy and thinks just because they vote once every five years it gives the tyranny legitimacy.
Had to visit dentist yesterday for toothache. Surreal experience. Have to turn up 5 minutes before appointment, knock on door to enter, you are not allowed to touch any other part of door. Have your temperature taken, use hand sanitiser, sit on allocated social distancing seat. Not allowed to take your handbag into surgery, but leave by box at door. Return to reception to pay. Have to sign paper with their pen which is then sanitised. Offered sanitiser for hands when leaving which I refused and don’t approve of for regular use. 4 dentists in practice only one of whom working, one on maternity leave, one hygienist and two receptionists. Talk about risk averse. Cannot see that NHS dentistry will continue if this the attitude. Off to register with a private practice.
Don’t bother. I have a private dentist and she is doing absolute fuck all. Emergencies only. No routine check-up appointments. I haven’t had my teeth checked for almost a year now. On t’other hand, you might be lucky and find someone who will see you.
Indeed. Still waiting for six monthly checkup at private dentist postponed from March then June. Was told then that it might be December before they could see me and of course the lockdowns continue. Nothing at all heard from them.
Just been onto my dentist to ask when the next routine checkup is to happen. I said, “Why am I paying you £16 per month on Denplan?” Receptionist says “There is a pandemic on, you know!” “In that case, if you aren’t doing the work, I’ll cancel my Direct Debit, because you aren’t doing the work”. Instant panic, had an appointment with two weeks.
Funny how once you threaten to withdraw your custom, service is resumed.
That’s what I keep hearing ‘not allowed’ stand here, sit there, don’t do that. What happens if we say no??!!!
They throw you out. If you want medical care you have to play the game. Or remain in pain. Or die.
My dentist has a ‘fallow period’ of 60 minutes between appointments. Nuts. I have a routine appointment for December so I suppose I am lucky…
Their ‘guidelines’ state 60 minutes between appointments to allow time for aerosols (created during procedures) to disperse and to sanitise the surgery.
A fallow period on a library book is 72 hours is it not? I just wonder if denists aren’t overly brain celled. Thhe CMO of Scotland is a denist so I believe the may be a string case for low brain cell count amoung dentists.
That’s to allow them to do the mandatory deep clean between visits as per their trade association/insurers worried about getting sued because Covid Contagion.
Bingo. It’s ALL about the lawyers and the insurers.
Mine supposedly does too. But unless they’re using two rooms, there was no real time at all between me and the next person. Despite my dentist raving about how all this nonsense was “to keep us all safe”. I think he was just telling himself that to justify the money he’s losing because of the extra cost involved in running the practice inefficiently.
Please phone your denist immediately. That handbag box will be a veritable hive of covids. It is widely accepted by epidemeologists that boxed covids become very angry when contained. Better epidemeologists don’t accept this theory.
My dentist is a private one, they are mental too. I haven’t seen them December. I won’t go either until they stop being insane. Luckily my teeth are OK.
What is this bag thing about?, they treat them like they are bombs waiting to go off!. I now can’t stop myself shaking my head and laughing slightly hysterically. Anyone who still believes in all this crap really has helped create the dystopia we are living in. I have said before that if everyone refused to wear masks for instance, what could they do?, arrest millions of people?.
Dentistry is a racket. I haven’t visited one for 20 years. No toothache here.
Have you got a sweet tooth?
Our dentist is a shower of shite. Absolutely no contact since March and we were due checkups in May. Mum had an email to assure her “emergency treatment is still available”
My only consolation is he’s private, so will be losing a fortune in routine apt fees from his generally good-toothed middle class clientele
I went privately. Cost me over £300 for a filling. My appointment for 2.30pm was ‘brought forward’ due to a cancellation but when I arrived I had to sit muzzled in the waiting room for 30 minutes while they ‘sanitised the room’ so I suppose I was charged for the cleaning! I didn’t need to sit muzzled for half an hour so they could prove to me that they were cleaning the room! The whole procedure was horrible and like something from a sci fi film with the dentist in frightening protective gear. I also had my hip replacement cancelled indefinitely so I went to see a private specialist. He told me that the NHS has commandeered their surgical facilities even though they aren’t being used. I had to pay over £600 for a private steroid injection just to be able to walk, The specialist was livid over what is happening to the old and sick. His own opinion is that this is all a plan. All my cancer checks that were so very ‘vital’ last year have been cancelled. Imagine a disease so very deadly that the ‘cure’ is going to kill far more than the disease itself. I wrote a long letter to my MP, Sajid Javid, and his reply was a ‘cut and paste’ job (one paragraph was missing its beginning and made no sense) which didn’t answer a single question I had asked. His suggestion over the refusal of the NHS to treat people was to give me the NHS 111 number and the number of my own GP! The surgery has been closed except for phone consultations since March and it can take 2 weeks even for a GP to call you back. I hope he likes my furious reply.
I’ve had 6 appointments since May after having not much more than check ups for the first 50 years of my life. It is the most dystopian experience.
My private practice issued rules that were extremely silly.
My dentist is a very bright, sensible chap. The regulations have come from his parent company, possibly to satisfy insurance demands.
Clearly designed from a worst case doomsday scenario, conjured up by a medically ignorant H&S group and a desire to avoid being sued.
That’s an improvement, when they first reopened you had to sit in your car and phone to let them know you had arrived and then wait for permission to enter.
I’m with a private practice and your experience mirrors mine with only minor differences. I think the restrictions are on dentists in general, not whether they are NHS or private.
Don’t think we will be ordering these:
https://info.stressfreeprint.co.uk/41GA-16TPY-D7CDC722989365396W5RBX5C15D4A2BDF3D58E/cr.aspx
More money making crap for these parisitic companies and no doubt non recyclable not that that matters anymore.
Hey, if people want stuff, sell it to them! What about personalised “Pubs killed my granny” body bags?
Get your restaurant-killing stickers here folks
I need a badge which states-“If I fart you will smell it-trousers are no protection”
T-shirt slogan: “Trousers don’t work against farts. Masks don’t work against viruses.”
given the authorities are checking the sewage for traces of corona maybe we will soon see No Farting signs
A lot of fart talk today. Has everyone had beans for lunch?
Or is it a sign that, because the government treats us like infants, we are regressing and have already reached adolescence?
Ugh!
Keep the fight the guys.
Don’t give up and spread the message.
Our views are important and making a big difference. When I speak with people they tell me they were fooled in March/April and see what has happened in since especially
Apart from Sky News. Sky is begging for hospital admissions (they have to use May footage!). They have been going all over the world for the next horror story, Mexico, Brazil.
Boris thinks 6 months – it won’t last 6 weeks.
People are already going others houses. My next door has people coming and going, will I ring the police? NO
Hang in there.
Well said. I actually got some hope from the propaganda broadcast last night. If seemed to me that they were on the backfoot and felt they had to repeatedly defend their position. E.g. NHS open for business, we can’t let it rip, numbers are going up steadily/rapidly, yeah , but, no, but etc
It’s going to get like the Standford Prison experiment from here on in. The Jailers are just going to double down for every infraction or glimpse of rebellion from the inmates and no one will be willing or able to stop it. I’ve been in the fight for 4 months and all I still see around me are masked morons.
Yeah totally agree. I felt that while yesterday was a battle lost, it really showed how weak they’ve become. Keep going, Stay Positive, Support good science.
I hope you’re right. This doesn’t reflect what I see where I live.
I think the best bit of news yesterday was the fact that lib dems and a few labour members voted against the bill ,also Caroline Lucas .What that means is the sceptic message is starting to get through to all parties and they are voting because they see the tide turning our way and don’t want to miss the boat .I would bet in most cases it’s not out of conviction but letters they have received from constituents ,which buts to death the idea everyone in a labour seat wan’t further lockdowns .I have no time for any of these polls of late and believe the majority of people in the country would dread another lockdown ,The BBC ,Youguv and most mainstream media are just peddling government lies .
As a frequenter of pubs I’m worried about the latest wheeze thought up to control the virus. The idea of pubs only serving drinks with food.
I can’t see how that would work or make sense. Ireland reopened the pubs months ago on this basis and infections have gradually risen. It’s only now that “wet” pubs are now open except Dublin
I remember saying back in March ” They’ll never close the pubs here, or in Ireland, there’ll be riots “. Oh well
A restaurant in Germany did that, when they were only allowed to stay open when serving “food”. Oh, actually, the food had to be the more expensive item. So they sold “packages”: a bag of peanuts for £8.50 with a cocktail for £0.80.
A bag of crisps for £4.50 with a pint for £0.30.
A pedantic point:-
Quoted above – Sir Patrick’s words:-
“doubling means things go very big very quickly. And when things double you see that exponential growth”
That’s not my understanding of “exponential growth”. It is growth to the power of 2 – which is exponential mathmatically – but I always thought the phrase implied an increasing rate of growth. (e.g. doubling and then more than doubling etc.)
Yea thus sayeth my computer’s dictionary:-
1 (of an increase) becoming more and more rapid:
I think he meant the Government Covid spend!
That’s the same thing? If cases keep doubling, the delta between two sampling points is larger than the preceding two.
I think I must own my understanding of “exponential growth” has been in error once I consider them there ‘deltas’ – much thanks.
correct .. exponential growth does mean an increase by a certain power or growth rate. This can be doubling, or a tripling etc . The other variable is the length of time it takes to increase. So something that doubles every day or something that triples every week are both exponential growths.
https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/0e7014c7fdfd5ffb6d953ca87a50efc5c2649b0a
So the example of exponential growth they have quoted has the variables of a growth rate r of x2 and a time period t of 7 days
and it is all bullsh*t
An exponent is the number of times a value it is multiplied by itself. 100 is 10*10 so the exponent for 10 is 2. To demonstrate this place a single rice grain on the first square of a chess board, 2 on the second, 4 on the third. Once the first row is completed the eighth square will have 128 grains on it. Once the second row is completed the 16 th square will have 32768 grains on it. By the time the 64th square is filled it will contain 2 multiplied by itself 63 times.
If the exponent is 0 then the result is 1, so 10 to the power 0 is 1.
This is also called logarithmic growth, exponential growth was IIRC originally associated with the mathematical constant e, 2.7182…
They are both logarithms. “e” is simply known as the natural logarithm. Logarithms are actually the inverse of the exponent.
Anyone else in a self enforced sceptical lockdown?
Apart from going to work and walking the dogs, I’m choosing to stay at home. I’d rather opt out of other stuff that I did befor than go along with masking, tracking, irrational zombie world.
Yes, although I’m meeting my pal for dinner tonight, he is going through a lockdown induced divorce. Can’t say I’m looking forward to it and can forsee me being refused entry.
After a few post on here this morning about being refused entry i checked the gov website:
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/maintaining-records-of-staff-customers-and-visitors-to-support-nhs-test-and-trace
and it states “ In England, you do not have to request details from people who check in with the official NHS QR poster, and venues should not ask them to do both. Venues must not make the specific use of the NHS QR code a precondition of entry (as the individual has the right to choose to provide their contact details if they prefer). Should someone choose to check in with the official NHS QR poster, a venue should check their phone screen to ensure they have successfully checked in.”
Trouble is, venues just make up their own rules; they haven’t even seen the actual guidance, c.f. “You have to have a doctor’s note” etc.
Then it is important to know the rules. But why should we have to prove it?
My local sandwich shop asks for “Proof of exemption”.
What does that actually mean? Anyone can print themselves an exemption badge or wear a sunflower lanyard.
It means they’re lazy and idiots.
And don’t deserve your money.
As well if you are in a group of up to 6, only 1 person needs to check in, assuming if that person gets an alert, they will let the rest of the group know.
No surprise they have such a low uptake on isolation.
Besides, if people are privately informing friends and family they’ve tested positive, there can be no official record of the true self-isolation figures.
It’s nonsense!
Actually I thought de Piffle said last week that everyone in a party had to check in now. Interesting if that hasn’t been mandated after all.
So sorry to hear that for your friend.
Don’t be like that… I’d be excited for my friend’s opportunity to free himself from an oppressive marriage to an insufferable woman.
Yes, I am. I haven’t posted in here for quite a while as I’ve literally been trying to ignore it all. I have a smallholding where I spend all my days with my animals and land, and just go home to sleep. I don’t go anywhere else as it’s all too depressing. Everything is ordered online as the last time I went into a shop maskless I got shouted out by a nasty customer. But I simply won’t go along with any of this utter nonsense, so I’m making my own stand by refusing.
I have however decided that I must start speaking out again, even if I am not going anywhere, so here I am – back in the fold of lockdownsceptics!
Welcome back, fellow Carrie
Thank you – we Carries have to stick together!
You should Carrie on. <gets coat>
Try being a sceptical Karen. It has been decided (largely by older blokes) that we are haram! Lol
Yes, Carrie on Carrying!
that sounds so nice… a smallholding with animals . . You make me jealous!!
It is indeed lovely in good weather. Though think of me in winter up to my welly tops in clay mud, and covered in animal poo!
Still, better than meandering round a shop acting like a sheep, muzzled and QR-coded!
Sound s like paradise compared to a trip to M&S!
Welcome back, CarrieAH!!!
Nice post – and a boost to the morale!
Yay! Welcome back.
welcome back!
I was an enthusiastic non-participant in what many people would call “life” now I am a super-opter-outer. Totally disengaged from EVERYTHING. Thankfully. I just hope I can stay disengaged until the mass-psychosis wears off.
What about food shopping?
Yeah, pretty much taking myself out of circulation now too. I only ventured into town for the pub or a meal on the weekends but I’m no longer going to bother. If I can’t get in the nearest local for a pint without using this stupid app it’ll be tins in the garden by firelight for my nights out.
Yes, I even hated working from home so much I decided to retire, I try and avoid anywhere now where the masked multitudes gather.
I’m a few years off “retirement” myself but resignation has crossed my mind more than once in the last six months.
Yes, generally. Went out walking in the Cotswolds day before yesterday. Avoided all the shops. It was a bit painful because Wotton under edge has some pretty craft shops that I would normally have gone into….but I resisted (easily). Mask wearers even out in the high street and not all of them elderly either. Apart from that, it’s local walks, a weekly trip to the farmshop (car-park collection) and the local “outdoor” shop up the road.
Shopping done online. Lots of hobbies; developing in-depth skills with one or two of them; no meals out, no pub visits (didnt do them very often anyway).
I do miss the fish and chip shop, though. The local demands masks, even just to step inside and pick up a pre-order.
Get them to throw the fish and chips at you. Nice and safe. My local chippy were OK, not sure how they will be now. Scared of a £10000 fine now probably.
Me, just walking, even my cafe on the beach has gone mad, little shed thing and they want to show you to the table and take my name!, refused and although its been a place of sanctuary for many years, now gone, just the walk left now. Online shopping, that’s it. Who would have thought, a year ago….
6 months ago!
Generally yes. Going out to work, meet a few people not 100% afraid of the virus, go for a walk, engage in a bit of hit and run visits to shops but apart from that my boycott of a lot of things still stand.
Yup, I go to the shops unmasked, my wife hasn’t been to a shop since 24.7 and now that you have to wear a mask in a cafe and do T&T she doesn’t want to do that and neither do I.
Well I go to the office every day (London Bridge area) so at least I can go on the walk by the Thames at lunchtime, my favorite sandwich shop does not care a jolt about masks, neither do any of the big high street cafes. I see a lot of people masked on the street, commuting in I’m normally the only one without a mask, I get a lot of angry looks. Other than that they have pretty much taken everything that kept me sane . Can’t play basketball, can’t go and see a football, rugby game live (something I loved!!),can’t go to a use my before I download an app ( I refuse too).The only time I eat out is when I go with my family as my wife does all the talking, downloads the app etc. Most days I wake up and think what is the point, when will this end if ever, how did we get here and I’m scared of the future for my daughter. It’s going to be grim , long winter and we have nothing to look forward too in the Spring either as the government will never let us out of this lockdown-not lockdown circle of hell..
Angry looks by masked people. I concluded they are angry as they themselves are not brave enough to go unmasked. They are angry at themselves.
I counter by giving angry looks to the people wearing masks on the street. Morons.
I just look them in the eye and demonstrate old normalcy.
I’ve pretty much withdrawn from society now,we still go for a weekly meal with our friends at a restaurant but the covid madness is rapidly closing in around that,I no longer go in shops,I can ignore the dirty looks and comments for being maskless but being surrounded by zombies at all times has become too much to bear.I said to my wife last night that from now on I can only bear to be around our family and friends,all of whom are sceptical,I just do not want to be with anyone else
Same here; I’m a virtual drop out. Solitary walks, early in the mornings when friendly dog walkers abound, few obligatory shopping trips and a lot of reading and watching whatever Amazon Prime offers which isn’t American pc junk.
Yep. More locked down now than I was in June/July before maskage came in.
I am singing in two church choirs. One musical director is interpreting the RSCM guidance the right way – ‘face coverings’ only while walking in and out of the church and not in the choir area because there are eight of us, two metres apart, and a covered face interferes with breath control – whilst the other, much younger one, is insisting on ‘masks’ at all times whilst not actually singing and wearing one as well as a visor himself. One silly woman actually ‘sang’ in a mask on Sunday, making a ridiculous muffled noise.
I will not compromise my integrity as a singer in that way and I think the second choir may have to go. It is interesting that it is the older people who are the most sceptical!
Keep singing.
School run, butcher and petrol station
Not so much locked down, rather I’m just being choosy about where I go. I go to my local supermarket everyday and I’m sad to report that the number of humans (i.e. the maskless) is diminishing. (I’ve been keeping a daily count of humans since the mask nonsense began and, for a while, the trend was upward. But now it’s flatlined, and I fear will start heading down). I go out walking, cycling, biking, driving etc wherever and whenever I please.
I’m only going into non-food shops when strictly necessary, and I’m avoiding the hospitality sector completely. Those enforcing the T&T need to understand that the wages of complicity in this venomous pantomime is bankruptcy. And well-earned at that.
I go everywhere maskless and I’ve not been challenged once, though my wife has. Maybe folk are wary about fronting up a grizzled old biker sporting a Gadsden flag T-shirt, and projecting a thousand yard stare like he might go postal at any minute. And who knows, I just might if I see too many more masked zombies. Such creatures are no longer human to me. After all, how can they be considered members of the species homo sapiens when they’re clearly not sapient? Stay sane fellow sceptics, stay sane.
Hi there ,I go out everyday working or when off out walking and meeting friends but have decided to not spend any money apart from food and basic other things i need.So no pubs,restaurants ,takeaways or unnecessary shopping .I feel the only way to make them drop all the nonsense is an economic boycott and i hope others will follow suit .I don’t think one has to lock ones self away to do this ,you can still go to friends or bring them to yours and eat and drink together or if you have kids theres many things you can do with them that don’t cost money and still have a great time like a pack of sandwiches and a walk .It’s a great time to remind ourselves that nature and freedom are more important than shopping .
I figured out quite quickly where I wanted to go and where to avoid.
There is a bit of loony stuff in varying degrees when arriving at work but I’m ‘unsupervised’ for the vast majority of the time I’m actually doing my job. With SE stuff generally I work to the principle of enquiring what my customers would feel comfortable with, and they generally request very nonintrusive measures I have no issues with.
With a very few exceptions I started shopping in smaller independant places when the queues and the grunts appeared in March and will keep this going. Apart from face nappies they have as normal an experience as possible, the price is not really more than the sterile and hostile supermarkets and the staff actually treat you like they want you to come back. Picked up a bit of Polish vocab as a bonus.
My main group of friends are all quite outdoorsy types and we’ve done walks and cycle rides all summer – or else played music and art sessions together outside and a bit inside. Most of us don’t mind a bit of rain either. So social life not really suffered luckily, especially as have also made friends with several people in my street (also a good precaution against snitching should one need to engage in civil disobedience).
Apart from two outside pub visits, both of which I sneaked in without giving contact details, been avoiding eateries and such places with regret. Also unavoidably had to go to library today which I won’t be doing again. If I can’t borrow a book from a friend will just buy from charity shops, a couple of pounds is worth it to avoid the utter stupidity and overkill.
Yes, absolutely. I’m going nowhere and spending nothing. My liberties have been removed and my government can’t be half truthful or balance covid risk vs all the knock-on neglect be misery in so many sectors.
My child is miserable at her half-an-education school, my job is likely to go, I’ll probably lose my home. Even if I keep my job, it involves international travel, so I’ll almost certainly have vaccination forced upon me if I wish to remain employed.
The sheer selfishness that seems inherent to so many British citizens is the nail in the coffin that has seen me remove myself from active participation in this excuse for a ‘society’.
One million women missed mammograms! Likely 18k-19k now with undiagnosed cancer. But all that criminal Boris wants to do is to ‘defeat the virus’. Looking after his own arse at the expense of those less privileged. It disgusts me to my core.
I still haven’t bumped into anybody who looks even remotely sick
Me neither but I must admit that I feel sick to the pit of my stomach today.
Me too. Our church is starting back this Sunday and my wife and I, and some others won’t go, for various reasons. One of the main ones is that the thought of seeing my friends wearing masks just makes me feel sick in the stomach.
You’re wise to stay away. Masked ghouls one and all, they don’t worship God, they worship Covid. Propitiate the Civid devil and he might, if he feels like it, save you from bodily death at his hands. All he wants in return us the death of your mind, spirit and soul.
I’ve just seen the front of a local bus with a mask painted across it! I simply can’t believe how low this country has sunk.
We are now the world leaders in psychological warfare.
Apparently Cummings has been interested and reading about it for years. Obviously started with Johnson and Hancock and progressed to the rest of us.
We are now the world leaders in paranoia, hysteria, brainwashing and bedwetting
Mavis, get me the bazooka…
Complete insanity, they don’t even know they’ve been/are being brainwashed.
It’s the job of those who recognise brainwashing to step in. The brainwashees are not able to recognise they have been worked on. Luckily the brain washing is flimsy in some, they are the people who dither between something is up vs I must just do my bit.
Isn’t that the point?
There are quite a few trains with masks painted on the front aswell,it makes me almost vomit.
There’s PsyOp and taking the p*ss!
This business of “exponential growth” and Patrick Ballache’s defence of it (or was it the other one I get them confused) is pure schientific shtick.
If you’ve been obsessively estimating R for six months and have found the value hovering stubbornly around 1 the whole time the conclusion should be obvious: that you’re in an endemic equilibrium.
Dozens of things in nature work like this. They are inherently exponential but limited by something.
Reminds me of the Ultraviolet Catastrophe
Yes although the reasons why there is no ultraviolet catastrophe are considerably more subtle.
Well, that’s a quantum of solace.
A bit like how bacteria doesn’t end covering the entire planet?
Not to mention rabbits.
But think how long my hair would be, if there were no limits! (though I think its growth is linear rather than exponential)
Yes hair is linear, probably because it’s only growing at the head end. To have a chance of being exponential it would need to grow all along its length at once.
The effect of exponential functions in nature is that you reach the equilibrium defined by the limits very quickly and efficiently. We see this with epidemics. It makes little difference how big the population is, once it gets going it’s all over in about three weeks. And nothing can stop it once it has got going.
If you change the limits you find the new equilibrium also in the space of a few weeks. This is the graph of other viruses in the US (I think people who saw doctors because of them):
https://syndromictrends.com/metric/panel/rp/percent_positivity/organism/main
If you look at December 2018 for example you can see a peak in all the viruses for the three weeks or so around Christmas. There’s another one almost exactly the same around December 2019. In both cases infections rapidly rise to a sharp peak (they overshoot a bit) and then drop back down again to a higher equilibrium.
These are the system responding to altered limits (behaviour changes around Thanksgiving and Christmas most likely). You can see that the last two winters had about three “waves” of viruses– one in September, one around Christmas, and another one in early spring.
Usually nobody cares but this winter there will be a great song and dance (only with no singing allowed of course) about each one. Our first autumn ripple will be over soon, probably already is, but the panic will start to ramp up again around Christmas.
Plenty of singing and dancing..on tiktok
Because hair knows when its time is up.
The R rate is a huge stinky red herring when used in the context of covid propaganda.
Yes although by staying so close to 1.0 all this time it is actually trying to tell us something. It’s just not what they want.
If we were really suppressing things according to the Fergie fantasy R would not be about 1.0 every time you tried to measure it. It would keep oscillating between about 0 and about 3. That’s what it’s doing in Australia.
Unwelcome development at Tescos this morning. Had an old guy on the door. He said “Good Morning” and I thought he was just going to let me in but he then added almost apologetically “Do you have a facemask?”. To be fair, he was fine when I said I was exempt but no doubt this will deter many objectors who will just cave in. About 2 weeks ago I think there were about 20% unmasked, now there was just me and one other.
This whole mask business is such a load of bs. Not only is there very little evidence they actually work (and some evidence they are actually counterproductive) but we have this convenient message that everyone must wear one to “protect others”. If it was just a matter of wearing one to protect yourself, no doubt there would be many who would just prefer to take their chances. After a while it would become apparent that the non-muzzled were not actually all dropping dead and the sham would become obvious.
Giving up on visiting the local supermarket after yesterday. Just going to set up online accounts with each of the majors and make sure I spread my money as widely as possibly when I can’t get things from the local mini market who ‘so far’ are not being aggressive with the mask BS.
It’s bonkers agree.
I’m still baffled as to why the retail sector seems hell bent on committing hara-kiri. Not too long ago you had the High Street whining that Amazon, et al were driving them away. Now with their survival at stake, they’ve simply keeled over, cravenly kowtowed to the government’s insane “safety” diktat and given carte blanche to their staff who have Hitler and Stalin tendencies.
And they’re surprised that people are staying away and simply going online?
I won’t be surprised if in the run up to Christmas, online traffic will grow while the physical shops remain empty.
They will reap what they sow.
Harder for them to resist now, as they can be prosecuted for not having the QR codes, and you can bet the covid marshalls will be checking up on them. On Talk radio the other day a restaurant owner in London was saying they had been visited by marshalls to check they were following the rules..
Hence why they should band together to resist this lunacy. United they stand divided they fall, if they show strength in numbers then this lunacy would either have ended ages ago or never gotten off the ground.
I think if more people realised that masking to protect others, increased their own risks a little, there’d be a lot more resistance.
This is the absolute crux of the matter.
The maskers I talk to acknowledge that masks might not work, but “They can’t hurt, right?”.
We need to focus on making people doubt the neutrality of wearing a mask.
Exactly. Also worth reposting this, as it really tackles the many mental health issues related to it..
https://blogs.nottingham.ac.uk/newsroom/2020/09/28/show-compassion-for-those-who-cannot-wear-face-coverings/
.
I felt like this at first. But then I thought “No. It’s not neutral. It’s complicit in the lunacy and I cannot be complicit”
Exactly. Worn by collaborators.
Not neutral. We don’t call them face nappies for nothing. Disgusting germ-incubators.
No longer a customer of Waitrose because of their intimidating door guard re masks – one even told me that the police will fine me (What? I am exempt). Been shopping with them for 16 years, never to go back again. Signed up with Ocado – what a pleasure and lots of specials.
did you tell them why? I gave the waitrose guard and evil stare and told him I was exempt and he said “ok then”, but maybe I got a particularly passive one.
I am thinking of making stickers saying “Exemptions apply” and sticking them all over the shop posters that say “No mask, no sale” etc
And don’t forget those who don’t even mention exemptions.
Not one trial has ever shown masks to be effective for the public. Not one. In fact, when the pandemic was severe in March and April the advice was not to wear them. The WHO said the same. Strangely, after the pandemic had ended the Govt suddenly changed their position. Based on what? No new trials. Nothing. They leant on the WHO to change their advice based on absolutely nothing. Masks are a visible sign of compliance and, my God, how the Stasi public love them. I wear an exemption and get pointed at and abused. If the Govt suggested kiss me quick hats and red noses I can imagine the rush to buy them! The old and sick are being culled and how the public love it and all in the name of ‘protecting’ them. All healthcare has ended. What the hell do they expect if the NHS is closed for business?
Just skimming the site now, I feel there’s little point in reading anything in detail after the first few sentences, just more Groundhog Day.
Rinse and repeat…
Seems Simon Dolan is the only game in town doesn’t it? I’m not sure Lozza Fox is going to take up the charge.
Cashing my lockdownsceptics chips in, it’s been informative for a while but reading the same old, same old every single day just makes me more and more angry and frustrated. Feels like Toby is waiting for someone wearing their underpants over their trousers to do the job for him rather than help get things going.
Good luck everyone, I think we’re going to need it and in spades too.
I feel the same to a large extent. I think we need to meet fellow sceptics in person and plan disruptive peaceful actions. What’s your plan?
Local KBF group – that’s exactly what they do.
Didn’t know about this orgainsation. How does one go about finding a local group? (I don’t do faceb00k)
Is Simon Dolan’s organisation.
https://www.keepbritainfree.com/
Go to community, then forum, then kbf local. Eventually you should find a group near you.
I find it hard to argue with you on this.
Before you depart, are there any ideas you feel like sharing on the “Psy ops for the greater good” thread in General Discussion? I’m feeling a little disheartened that nobody has replied, given the obvious strength of feeling on this forum.
Have felt the same on several occasions.
Resistance is a grind.
There is no question that resistance is growing as is dissent in the media.
This site has contributed by being a bastion and at one point one of very few dissenting voices.
I hardly think it’s fair to blame this site for creating feelings of Groundhog Day. That’s all around us and without the relentless pushback of sceptical opinion, I don’t know where we’d be.
Take a break, go for a walk or hang glide or something.
Well said PP.
This site is an important counter to the official narrative.
NC, I hope you find a group you can do something more active with because that’s clearly the point you’ve reached and you mustn’t lose momentum.
Find your local KBF group, NC.
With Hartlepool and Middlesborough about to go into lockdown, there is pretty clearly new fuel for the old North/South divide debate to be reignited. If I was from “up north” I would be pretty angry by now. Vote for the Tories for the first time and get shat on from a great height by southern toffs. I sense a righteous wrath fomenting.
I am extremely angry but Labour, the supposed party of the working class, adores lockdown and even asks for it.
Nick Forbes absolutely deserved Boris’s dig at him at PMQs. The sanctimonious prat has just bankrupted his city.
The much used phrase “Up North” just shows how we are thought of. The ‘Up’ suggests some ‘other’ place, that isn’t ‘like us’. About seven eighths of the UK population do not live in London, but we count for fuck all. Those ‘southern toffs’ don’t even know what it’s like to get rained on, let alone live a real life.
I’m a southerner (not a Londoner or a toff) but it’s true we don’t know what it’s like to be rained on (it’s great)! The train fares and house prices can fair make your eyes water though. Either way the “North” does seem to be being extra shafted at the moment although London has the wrath of Khan to deal with so swings and roundabouts.
Blame your Labour councils, I’ve got relatives up there and they are telling me their councils are asking for the lockdown’s.
Course they are council staff will be at home on full pay.
A lot of us don’t have Labour councils any more
But yes, you’re right. Leeds is most notable.
Yes, the local councils should be pilloried.
But “up north” don’t you say “down south”? I am vaguely middle and I say both!!
Apparently its the Labour councils asking for the lockdown’s, revenge on their inhabitants for voting Tory?
They’ve already lost the Red Wall again for sure, god knows who to, but even if they pull Brexit off people round here will tell them to fuck
Oh we’re angry all right!
Later this evening I think an e-mail to all the MPs who voted No yesterday will new written.
Looking at the list of them I did not think I would ever be thanking some of them for standing ups or me, how things change.
I even agreed, for they rest time ever, with some of the stuff in the Liberal’s political broadcast yesterday evening – shock horror.
Already written to mine, who was in agreement with the Brady amendment but now according to twitter thinks the ‘assurances’ from Hancock are enough. They are pathetic, all of them
Apple Store in Trafford centre closed due to Corona Virus cases
But all measures help!?
It’s all theatre.Apple has some of the most draconian “safety” policies and this goes to show that none of these measures work.
To quote from the Late Night Business Operator:
If the masks work, lockdowns work, and curfews work, why the hell are we here?
People won’t be able to upgrade their old iphones to use the magical new app!
This calls for…
This is no longer a health emergency; it is a culture war. The Shadow Education Secretary’s comment about not letting a good crisis go to waste said it all.
The hapless and incompetent Johnson and Hancock are being totally manipulated by the public sector unions, particularly the BMA. Its website sets out its priorities – patients don’t appear to feature! In effect, it is working to rule.
https://www.bma.org.uk/
The public sector unions, aided by a considerable proportion of the Labour Party, BLM, the Guardian and the BBC, are using the crisis as a way of bringing down the government and stopping Brexit. The deaths of so many BAME health workers early on gave them a huge weapon and the BLM protests gave them the means to use it. Starmer was talking sense about a lockdown exit strategy early on, but never mentioned it after his cringing knee-taking.
The working class people who are losing their jobs and small businesses as a result of lockdowns are collateral damage to the public sector middle class left. The more Cromwellian of them would like to close down working class activities, such as pubs, football and package holidays for ever – ‘so much better for the environment‘, and bring in the Universal Basic Handout. And the most obsessive Remainers have ceased to see the white working class as human.
It would be interesting to submit either Freedom of Information Requests (which take a long time) or Parliamentary Questions via one of the rebel MPs to ask some specific questions about the current working of the NHS; in particular the number of staff relocated from front line work because of the result of risk assessments and the number who have refused to work, over a given period, because of a perceived lack of PPE or other risk.
The railway unions used to practise ‘working to rule’ where the full BR safety instructions were carried out and, as a result, trains didn’t move. It would appear that the unions in the NHS, and in schools and universities, are doing the same. Patients and students are, like workers, collateral damage.
As far as I am aware my union, the Royal College of Nursing are not working to rule as you call it. I have been working throughout. I cannot be certain but I am sure that my colleagues in secondary care continued to work.
If that’s their plan (and I doubt it, not least as I don’t think they would know how to pull it off if it were) then they are going about it a funny way. Almost certainly the effect of all this will be to creat further division and alienation of the majority working and lower middle classes who still, for now at least, live in a democracy and hold the key to government. That’s why the Tories won the last election, and why they will now get rid of Boris and go more to the right and win the next one too.
Not great news either way, but that’s the way we (and the world) is heading. The left has abandoned its post in pursuit of an illiterate and divisive ideology and left the field to the right.
NHS’s problem is having to operate the insane social distancing rules introduced by this government, hence its reduced capacity. Your analysis is entirely misconceived.
Partly the problem. Doesn’t explain the surgeons consulting by phone, does it?
And it certainly doesn’t excuse the patient-phobic GPs when we know some of their colleagues are doing their job properly.
The working class are clearly collateral damage, but to much more sinister and powerful groups than the middle class.
Remember the Iraq body count project ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_Body_Count_project )?
Is anyone keeping a lockdown death count?
When this comes to a public enquiry, trials for manslaughter and treason, and the rest, it might be useful.
Yesterday I received an email from Sheffield City Council to say that they have just opened a new Covid testing site in Burngreave, making five in total.
The testing sites are in Sharrow, Darnall, Meadowhall, Burngreave and Broomhall (all pretty deprived areas).
I take this to mean that they hoping to find an excuse to lockdown the city.
Completely agree, I read it the same way. Why oh why though do people keep going for tests?, can they not see what they are doing?. I don’t know why I keep asking these rhetorical questions, there I go again, using the word why. I seem to spend my whole time asking questions that no one can really answer, this country is now completely insane.
Like the meat processing place in Cornwall. All staff tested after 1 became “ill” as part of T&T. BBC reported most of them were not aware they had the virus as no symptoms. BECAUSE THEY DO NOT HAVE THE VIRUS!
How come it is always meat processing factories? When it happened in Germany for the first time, some doctors said Corona viruses are common in cattle, so it would be in the atmosphere.
Cold refrigerated unventilated atmosphere (virus survives longer on surfaces etc.).
High density workforce, working close together etc. – lots of contact with each other and surfaces/tools.
Basically it’s an extension of the noco….somial transfer thing.
Some are sent and have no choice.
Some see it as their “civic duty” – they’re idiots.
As for the others, they’ve literally been scared witless and lost their limited capacity for critical thinking.
Template since Leicester and the reason I changed my mind from cock up to conspiracy
I see Boris couldn’t even be bothered to vote for the extension of the Coronavirus Act, along with most of the Labour party:
https://votes.parliament.uk/Votes/Commons/Division/863#notrecorded
Credit to Lib Dems for actually standing up for liberal democracy.
But that will only be because they knew their votes would not affect the outcome!
They will have been paired. Standard practice.
Isn’t it common for the Cabinet not to vote on things?
Is it?
Significant that most of the Cabinet abstained.
I see Boris did it again:
BORIS Johnson told Brits tonight they can’t “throw in the sponge” in the fight against coronavirus now “no matter how impatient or fed up” we are with strict rules and restrictions.
I’m surprised more hasn’t been made of this. Boris is suggesting that in his mind, the consequences of his measures are likely to be nothing more than a feeling of ‘impatience’ and being ‘fed up’. So is this really what he wants to say to the person who has lost their job? Or the one whose operation is delayed? Or the student who has paid out £9000 to live in a prison? Etc.
That he could utter those words shows that he really has lost the plot. And of course, it is immediately reminiscent of this piece in LS:
https://lockdownsceptics.org/covid-19-and-the-infantilization-of-dissent/
Of course the irony is that it is Boris and his cronies who threw in the sponge (towel?) by running and hiding from the virus rather than dealing with it properly like intelligent grown-ups.
Yes, even I sometimes forget that: we get drawn onto their territory, arguing over details of The Science when we should not even be in this position to start with.
How can he have attended Eton and yet still get that wrong, ie say ‘sponge’ instead of ‘towel’????
It’s the same image in Swedish too, ‘kasta in handduken’..
Gordon Brown didn’t understand Moral Compass despite having attended Kirkcaldy High School and being a son of the manse.
Wherefore seeing we also are compassed about with so great a cloud of witnesses, let us lay aside every weight, and the sin which doth so easily beset us, and run with patience the race that is set before us, …
It is exactly like fighting the Nazis. No different at all. Repel the invasion.
This is a Trump tactic and people are falling for it again. Throw in a malapropism and let everyone lose their minds about that rather than staying focused on the issue in hand.
Boris has a Winston Churchill Complex (like many politicians) but one based on a false analogy – comparing a virus (a tiny bit of genetic material) to evil humans like Hitler and the other Axis leaders (who have conscious intentions). So there’s “fight on the beaches” language to defeat an invisible enemy, etc. Constant comparisons to World War 2.
But a virus can’t be fought against or defeated like an army can. You can’t win the struggle against viruses because they constantly mutate. There’ll be new strains of coronavirus and related orders of viruses forever. Never will we “win”. The virus isn’t led by a corona-Hitler, who can eventually commit suicide to be replaced by a corona-Doenitz who’ll surrender! Analogies to human wars don’t apply at all.
If lockdown is justifiable in this “struggle” it’s justifiable forever because there will always be new strains of viruses. This winter a new flu strain will appear somewhat resistant to our vaccines, and SARS-COV-2 will mutate to be resistant to any vaccines currently under development. Viruses are something we have to live with, “fighting” them is always going to be an endless game of whac-a-mole.
The best way to live with them is to help the population become as healthy as possible. Boris started on that track by encouraging people to lose weight, yet now he’s going back to locking us down again in a futile struggle to “defeat” something which will be around as long as life exists.
Camus’s The Plage is an analogy of the various responses of people under the Vichy regime to the plague of Fascism. I’m sure, after reading it recently, that Cummings has read it recently too but (of course) taken the wrong message from it.
What’s natural is the microbe. All the rest health, integrity, purity (if you like) is a product of the human will, of a vigilance that must never falter. The good man, the man who infects hardly anyone, is the man who has the fewest lapses of attention.
All I maintain is that on this earth there are pestilences and there are victims and it’s up to us, so far as possible, not to join forces with the pestilences.
Maybe the churchillian analogy is correct but not in the way Boris thinks.
Churchill was so single minded in his aim to defeat Germany that he bankrupted the country and made us America’s client state,a position we have been in ever since.
Reading your post puts me in mind of the constant mutating of the covid “guidelines”.
I have to go for a meal on Saturday (no choice) and I think I may need the app to get entry. So can someone tell me how I can get around this? Can I just put fake details in to the app or is it simply based on the location of the phone? In which case can I just delete the app as soon as I’ve gone in?
I don’t think the app is a requirement. Just say either you don’t have a smartphone or it is not compatible. I think they are still required to provide the manual T&T details some other way though.
Don’t have a phone.
I’m wondering how long it will be before Covid marshalls are given the right to search people to check that they are truly not carrying a phone on them?
Doubt there’ll be many of those (Covid marshals) until central govt give local govt the money to pay for them. Which they aren’t, at the moment.
Try never.
My phone won’t run the app anyway.
As said by others the downloading of the App is only one option. You are still entitled to write down details. Many people don’t have a smart phone. If they insist, point out that the Government Regulations are clear on this and they are wrong.
Insist on manual (paper) details. Only the ‘lead member’ of the group is required to provide them, anyway (pub may insist otherwise). So another member could use their phone on behalf of all of you, but I would avoid giving real details or being with someone who does – it can all lead back to you and then it’s 14 day isolation, £1000 fine etc.
False name. No phone. Pay cash.
Also block T&T phone number (0300…. Something). So if the lead member of your party was honest, they won’t be able to tell you to isolate anyway.
And if they can’t tell you, you never knew…..
Install the dummy app
Have you got a link?
It’s in today’s and yesterday’s comments somewhere.
https://www.covid1984.life/
Significant penalties apparently.
Where have you seen that?
I think one of the MPs published it on Twitter, saying it was not acceptable to change the law late at night so that businesses could in a matter of hours be in breach of laws they had no knowledge of – and get fined for this.
Mark Harper on Monday.
Quoted from Hansard:
It’s the same as beeing caught giving false details.
Sounds like you will part of a group of up to 6. The person organising this has probably booked a table and given their details. The restaurant does not need to take the details of EVERY person in that group.
As long as they have 1 persons details, it is enough. It is expected the person who booked knows your contact details and will give your details to T&T if needed.
Or download the fake version
https://covid1984.life/
The law says that it’s still acceptable to give your details on paper. Not everyone has a suitable phone.
over the past months there have been many complaints on here about how officious the National Trust have been in enforcing petty guidelines to the point that many members on here have told them where to stick their memberships.
Just noticing this morning, they are obviously struggling now as they have started a tv advertising campaign soliciting donations
A lot of charities are struggling but for the NT it is self inflicted
Serves them right
Get woke, go broke.
Unfortunately, I think it’s a xanatos gambit. Either the woke fifth columnists succeed in brainwashing people or they collapse the institution they see as evil. It’s a no lose strategy.
The apolitical members of the trust will simply have to rue that they ignored the warnings.
Cancelled my long term membership and rang and told them why at great length.
No sympathy for them and shan’t shed any tears for them when they go bust.
You’re better than this. Why are you playing word games?
He said “steady and rapid pace”. They are not mutually exclusive. “Steady pace”: the pace is constant. “Rapid pace”: the pace is high. In other words: “A pace that is at a constant, fast value”.
They’re playing word games and are basing their entire strategy on confusion. Let’s not play the same game, shall we?
valid but also open to interpretation. If someone told me to walk at a steady pace i would interpret that as not walking too fast and not walking too slow. And if i was told to walk at a steady and rapid pace i would be confused. Like the initial comment i would also understand “steady” in this context as a description of speed
What you are talking about and you mention it yourself is a “constant pace”. I could quite understand if i was told to move at a constant and rapid pace.
The confusion is caused by looking at strict definitions and the difference between this and common usage
“Steady as she goes” is not “Full steam ahead”.
So according to Boris Johnson the measures aren’t working because we don’t follow the rules. And now he claims we are all a bunch of over-reacting, gloomsters dragging the economy down.
It’s not that his measures don’t do jack to “control” the virus. And it’s not that his measures are wrecking the economy. It’s all our fault actually.
This guy is unbelievable.
To simplify. Good News = governments success. Bad news = publics fault. This politics is easy innit?
Isn’t this a sign of psychopathy? Ruin the victim or victims’ life/lives and then blame them?
It’s called gaslighting.
I’ve been gaslighted on several occasions, but isn’t there an underlying psychopathic component?
Perhaps Alpine could enlighten us.
Definitely psychopathic. Which sums up several members of the Cabinet.
However, the Behavioural Insights Team are responsible for orchestrating the u-turn policies and confusing announcements. Surely you must be a psychopath to want to make that your speciality?
This is the start of the end of the conservatives
But I don’t think they have realised it yet!
Yes but where is the new party required to replace them? Is Dolan going to start one I wonder?
If you want an actual conservative party it has to be this one
https://www.heritageparty.org/manifesto/
The collective farm hasn’t produced its monthly output quota because of saboteurs.
Its like abuse isn’t it? The government blames the people and even insinuating that we’re responsible for what’s happening.
Time for the public to say enough is enough and that the government can go take a hike.
A strangely ambiguous report appears today in edinburghlive. NB ‘They’ is used in the article to refer to the singular person.
“Edinburgh student with kidney damage due to coronavirus crowdfunding to pay fees” [course fees]
“A student is raising money to pay fees and cover costs after being left with kidney damage from COVID caught while attending lessons at Edinburgh University, they said.”
“Kerry Rush previously spoke to Edinburgh Live about how they had been left with drastically reduced kidney function following a bout of suspected COVID which they got after attending lectures, despite voicing concerns that being make to attend would make them sick.”
“A bout of suspected COVID” – strangely uncertain language is it not?
“Now Kerry says the health issues have left them physically unable to cope, meanwhile university is pursuing them for unpaid fees, so fellow students have come together to started a crowdfunder to help meet those costs.”
“The doctors said to me in the hospital ‘when you were here in June we genuinely didn’t know if you were going to live or die’ because no one in the department has ever seen what happened to my kidneys before. They don’t have any more answers.”
Never seen before issues with kidneys.
In June? The universities all closed in March!
Baffling. I heard a story from a friend who attends a running club with a guy who tells a story also of that nature. The Man works in a care home. He was off work with some issue, bed bound for a time. So he went back to work and a couple of weeks later tested positive for Covid-19.
Now he is positing updates on social media saying that he never thought he’d be able to run again and it’s great he’s completed his first 10k since his ‘battle with COVID-19’
He was never tested when he said he had covid, only after he recovered and was back at work. He is tested every two weeks in work and results negative every time since.
Just an attention seeker. Have a neighbour who made a drama out of self isolating. He loved it but made it sound like he had just spent two weeks in the trenches
Attention seeking. The endless self dramatisation of soshul meeja.
Yeah it’s toxic stuff.
Is ‘they’ because ‘Kerry’ is a protected minority and can therefore not be criticised or challenged without the person doing the challenging being prosecuted for hate speech? Note it’s in Scotland…
Woke speak is strangling the language.
Kidney problems can be caused by a cytokine storm.
However, the article smells like complete bollox to me.
The ventilators sometimes damage kidneys which is why getting loads of them suddenly went out of fashion.
Whilst I have never regarded ambulance chasing solicitors or so-called claims farmers with much pleasure, I can see that the government might well have left itself open to an attack by these people.
Someone on the council in Preston made a remark some time ago, to the effect about young people killing their grannies by their irresponsible actions. Bearing in mind that by this governments actions (by putting the NHS on hold) death and serious injury to health will have been caused or exacerbated by the loss to the population of the NHS, I am now beginning to warm to the idea of causing maximum embarrassment to this government or at least to those making the decisions without listening to other voices, even though it’s us the taxpayer who will ultimately pick up the bill.
It seems to me that people will and have died as a result of this Covid centric NHS’s non-performance. Other people who have failed to receive medical treatment may well suffer for the rest of their lives. I would guess that a good lawyer with good expert medical backup might find this to be a new, very rewarding source of litigation.
If someone isn’t tested because testing has been put on hold, and they discover that they have say, n advanced breast or prostate cancer, then the NHS thanks to the governments actions, will be guilty of negligence – or so I would have thought. Similarly, if a bread winner in a family dies, then the family should, again I would gave thought, be compensated. Negligence by omission rather than commission?
This scenario might seem or even be far fetched but once we get to the end of this ridiculous situation in which the government has placed us, there will be a reckoning. A reckoning of actions which has placed this country into what might compare to the debt caused by WW2.
Because I am over a certain age, I am screened every two years for bowel cancer. It is my intention to write to the NHS screening service to enquire whether, if the result is positive, the NHS is geared up to treat me once the cancer has been discovered, or will I have to wait until the Covid scare
Great post!
I was done last year so the NHS wont need to take a faecal sample from me until next year ,
In the meantime they have spent this year taking the piss
Did they cover themselves in the Coronavirus Act, them and the medical profession?
If they did then any credibility that they have retained, and that isn’t much judging by this site’s cocommentators, would be completely lost.
Right all this lot’s CDs going on fleabay https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-jon-bon-jovi-says-200-000-covid-19-deaths-in-the-us-is-criminal-12085219
Current single rhymes “this cruel disease” with “bought PPE” or some such. Been turning radio off if it comes on.
Wait until they get the vaccine that will be some real Bad Medicine.
Never did like bon Jovi.
The CDC reduced the toll down to 9,000. This is some seriously snide fake propaganda.
Overall, a large majority of Britons say they are very likely or certain that they will follow government guidelines
If Covid restrictions are so well supported why do they need to be legally enforced?
Oh now don’t try reason or logic regarding these COVID shenanigans.
Propaganda
My daughter has a cold. Can everyone please stay indoors for a year? I suspect one of you broke lockdown and inflicted the horror of a runny nose on her.
I managed to get a cold from some of my students and have spent the last three days off (asthma kicked in). Many of them are sneezing and blowing their noses every couple of minutes. Six months away from school has diminished their immune systems (and mine). I am sure that wearing face masks in public (indoor) spaces in the school doesn’t help.
One student, in a different part of the school, was diagnosed with COVID, but was asymptomatic and had been tested as part of the Imperial College study. Outcome – the whole year group and teacher have been sent into isolation for 14 days.
Farcical!!
This corrupt worthless bag of womanizing plop can’t even get his metaphors right. You throw in the towell in boxing and MMA, not the sponge. A 56 year old man with a 32 year old XR arts grad posho liberal tree hugger.. she has his ear at night.. 56 and 32.. he’s somewhat retarded.. a man-child.. Bill Gates also has his ear and Prince Charles and Davos.. in their naive little world He and Giant Shitts (aka Sebastion Fox aka Michael Green) think they are going to be thanked for creating a green utopia…
Just returned from trip to Morrison’s; a truly dismal experience.
I’m now the sole bare faced person in the entire place, apart from a few till ladies.
The female half of a smartly dressed couple attempted a disapproving look as I approached her, but thought better of it when she saw my badge.
There is a surreal decidedly dysfunctional air about the place now; thoroughly disturbing and unsettling: an elderly bloke stood back to let me pass and when I thanked him,he just stared,totally expressionless..
What kind of a society is it where mass gagging destroys all normal day to day encounters and leaves the few who don’t mask up feeling like criminals?
Home deliveries are a bit too costly for my budget, so I’ll keep going.
Should anyone try to challenge me I’ll use the ‘hate crime’ warning; much as I despise it , it could come in useful.
Finally, my pal who does the weekly walk with me, is now worried that she might be reported because we shared a harmless cup of coffee in her home 2 days ago.
My sanity and my self control are on the edge.
Posted again form late entry on yesterday’s page.
Regarding home deliveries look at the supermarkets mid week slots or late in the day they are often cheaper and sometimes free.
Thank you
Also you can usually amend up to the day before
I do Tesco at 6am, another example of ‘mission-based shopping’ that is destroying retail. Anyway, at that time of the morning it’s just the staff unpacking boxes and a few tradesmen buying their Lucozades and crisps.
I usually do the 7am trip, but had to wait in for a delivery today.
7am from now on though.
Aldi at 7.30pm for me.
I’ve finally received a reply from my MP,it’s obviously a standard reply he sends to everyone and doesn’t answer my email to him,here it is in it’s full splendour part 1,
‘Thank you very much for contacting me about the emergency legislation relating to the Government’s response to coronavirus.
I know this is a matter that is very important to a number of people and understandably I have received a large number of emails and letters with a wide variety of views. As such, I will now seek to provide a detailed overview of what the Bill before the House is about.
It is easy to come to the conclusion by seeing what is coming out in the media, that the legislation being put forward is to solely impose further restrictions on our daily lives and while this forms a part of the legislation it is not the entire purpose of it.
It is important to recognise that one of the the key aspects of the Act is to ensure that sufficient staff are available for our health and social care workforce, and to ensure they are deployed where they are most needed. As well as supporting members of the public, containing and slowing the virus, and provisions for managing the deceased with respect and dignity.
To elaborate further on this, the Secretary of State highlighted that this legislation removes barriers to allow suitably experienced people, such as recently retired NHS staff and social workers to return to work. This can also include (but will not be limited to) students who are near the end of their training. Registered staff can then be used appropriately, with decisions made on a local basis.
It also allows the government to support agencies and services that contribute to, and/or are dependent on, the public health response. Some of the provisions, for example those that support the business assistance schemes, are vital to ensure the economic wellbeing of people affected by lockdown, which in turn contributes to people’s longer-term health. This includes (but will not be limited to) the power to temporarily suspend the rule that means Statuary Sick Pay (SSP) is not paid for the first 3 days and the power to establish a rebate scheme for employers to reclaim SSP paid for sickness absences relating to COVID-19 during the period of the pandemic. Others, in particular the highly successful changes to the ways of working of the Courts and Tribunal Service, have enabled vital public services to carry on in a Covid secure way.
These particular measures are still very much necessary to ensure we continue to have the means to combat this virus as evident by recent increases.
The areas of contention are of course surrounding the continuing of restrictions and interventions by the Government. As many of those who have contacted me previously about this will know, I am not an advocate of state control or interventions on our daily lives, but given the unprecedented nature of this crisis, I reluctantly supported the measures which did help bring the virus under control as well provided invaluable financial support to millions, particularly in our constituency.
As infection rates decreased, the Government began easing restrictions and this helped to boost our economy as businesses could once again open up. I strongly supported these measures, including the winding down of some of the financial support schemes. It should go without saying that while these financial support measures were helpful in a time of acute crisis, we must look to the long-term sustainability of our public finances and as such it is right that we draw down as quickly and as carefully as possible.
We are fortunate that the UK has a strong and resilient economy, which is why the Government was able to introduce the robust support packages that it did, but again, I do agree with many who have raised concerns about the long term impact of these measures.’
part 2 to follow
‘allow suitably experienced people, such as recently retired NHS staff and social workers to return to work. This can also include (but will not be limited to) students who are near the end of their training. Registered staff can then be used appropriately, with decisions made on a local basis’
You might be interested to know that Sweden did something similar to this.. Also to at least the first part of this (not sure about the second part, ie the reclaim part):
‘to temporarily suspend the rule that means Statuary Sick Pay (SSP) is not paid for the first 3 days and the power to establish a rebate scheme for employers to reclaim SSP paid for sickness absences relating to COVID-19 during the period of the pandemic’
“provisions for managing the deceased with respect and dignity.”
This sentence makes my blood boil. He speaks of respect and dignity in the same sentence as “managing”.
This is the comment of someone who has no humanity whatsoever. Someone’s death is not something to be “managed”.
I wish I could express something more eloquent but I’m struggling here…
Perhaps the phrase you’re looking for is “Fuck ’em !”, Ed ?
Part 2 of my MP’s reply,
‘As with any contentious decision this Government makes, there will always be a second opinion and it is important that the Government takes these views into account while also being able to act swiftly to preserve life.
While these measures in the Coronavirus Act are temporary, the Government has stated that they will only be used when strictly necessary, and only be in place for as long as required to respond to the situation. All measures in this Act are subject to review on a six monthly basis to ensure that they remain appropriate.
It is clear that the virus will be with us for some time, and so I am in agreement with a number of colleagues that we cannot simply hold out for a vaccine to come by any time soon, despite there being considerable and promising progress, we must take pragmatic steps to ensure we can continue on with our daily lives.
Nobody wants to go back to the scale of lockdown we had in March and the Government has consistently ruled this out. Arguably we are in a much better position than we were back in March. Treatment for the virus has improved considerably and as we have seen with recent figures, despite positive infections increasing, the number of hospitalisations have remained low, as have deaths. But of course it would not be right to simply let the virus take hold with greater prevalence.
I do not for one moment envy the Governments position on this and the fine balancing act it has to perform between those who want tougher restrictions (I have many contacting me about this) and those who want less restrictions.
However for the reasons outlined above, the Coronavirus Act is not just about restrictions, but a broad piece of legislation aimed at providing support for our health and social care sectors and ensure they continue to have the staff necessary to tackle this pandemic.
Rest assured though that I and other colleagues who have expressed concerns about the Government restrictions have been in regular contact with Ministers and our Whips. On Monday morning, I joined a number of MPs in a virtual meeting with the Health Secretary to discuss the Act. Contrary to how it appears in the media, Ministers are actively engaging with backbench MPs on this and have had regular meetings outside of the House of Commons chamber to allow members the chance to share their views on behalf of constituents.
I will continue to monitor this and scrutinise the steps the Government is taking. I appreciate you taking the time to contact me.
With best wishes,
Gareth
Gareth Davies MP
Member of Parliament
Grantham and Stamford’
What a load of bollocks….they are trolling you now!
Twice weekly trip to Tesco this morning. It seems their checkout staff have now been told they must wear masks despite being behind increasing loads of perspex. The lady was complaining bitterly that she couldn’t see a thing due to her glasses steaming. I would have thought it rather important that checkout staff can see what they are doing. I have been trying to wear a mask there simply to avoid confrontations but had huge problems with my glasses steaming. When waiting at the till the strap broke so that was that. Chap behind me in the queue was bare faced, seemed quite happy chatting to the girl next to him. So I guess I will be back to exemption lanyard next week.
To this day, none of my work colleagues have had the virus or know anyone who has had it much less died from it.
However I get the feeling that I will be seeing a raft of absences due to chest infections, bacterial infections, colds, impetigo, dermatitis, etc from having to be muzzled up for 6-7 hours.
My hairdresser had a customer who may have died of it in April. Our local press reported a 76 year old pub landlady with chronic diabetes died of it in July. That is literally the only erhum “cases” of Covid 19 death I personally know of, go figure?
That’s because you don’t hang around care homes or food processing factories.
Like most of us.
Apparently there is an increase in pleurisy as a result of mask wearing. I have yet to have one anywhere near my mouth. I hate going anywhere and seeing them on people, especially kids.
Cant stand looking at people with them on now, its getting to be physical thing where it actually makes me feel ill. Controlled Anger I think
same here
and here. Vomit rises in throat.
I have the same. I cannot stand even looking at them. Not even in pictures.
I think we could usefully work on publicising the dangers of mask-wearing (eg that one minute spanish video), and particularly the phenomenon dentists have mentioned, of ‘mask mouth’. This strategy might work, given just how hard it now is to get an appointment with a dentist…
I’ve had pleurisy. It was not pleasant. Wouldn’t wish it on anyone.
Do you have any links to reports of an increase?
Snap! Me too, I was off school for weeks and let off all games for the rest of the term (a result as far as I was concerned).
I would add that it was caused by the inexistent medical care at my boarding school in the first place with a cough that went untreated.
I was thinking that a bout of pleurisy is much nastier than the mild symptoms experienced by most genuine covid cases.
I had pleurisy, years ago. It’s painful, debilitating and dangerous.
That’s another condition I suspect my colleagues will have. Give it another week or so.
I find it hard now to communicate with colleagues due to their muzzles. Perhaps I should change jobs and become a hermit in the desert like St Eusebius the Hermit:
https://citydesert.wordpress.com/2013/12/30/syrian-hermit-saints/
““The illustration was to point out that epidemics either double or halve, they’re either growing or shrinking,” he says. “
It is truly bizarre, but these people seem to genuinely believe in this fantastic proposition that government action has somehow preserved us on a knife edge of instability for all these months.
Given the generally shambolic nature of all government action, let alone this latest incarnation of busy-bodying buffoons, that requires a genuinely impressive effort of imagination and mental discipline. Clearly these are people who have practiced sufficiently that they can easily manage to believe six impossible things before breakfast.
But such effort requires motivation, and this seems above and beyond the kind of effort induced by mere ambition. Only the stark fear of getting the blame for the damage they’ve done can explain their desperate efforts to deny reality, to construct a self-justifying new one, and to force the rest of us to live in it, regardless the cost.
These are dangerous men, indeed.
Even Charles Walker, in his “angry” speech, said something about all wanting to “beat” the virus. Not every problem has a solution. This is the most pernicious notion, that the government by doing everything perfectly can somehow eliminate covid. Until we get it into people’s thick heads that this is a futile and dangerous exercise, we will always be on the back foot somewhat.
“ epidemics either double or halve, they’re either growing or shrinking”
A bit of a ‘Gotcha’ moment in terms of the ‘scientist’ Whitty. Nobody with any scientific credibility would come up with garbage like that.
hancock up and about to announce new restrictions
claims current measures may be ‘flattening the curve’
labour guy 1) begging for a lockdown for liverpool 2) wanting money sent
Its John Ashworth
‘why have the places with the harshest measures got the highest infections?’
I suspect it is because testing is ramped up in these areas.
He’s not very bright!
Someone ought to flatten him!
Handy cock is going to further restrict Liverpool. Good luck with that one
Perhaps he might like to go up there and tell them himself
Boris is roundly despised in Liverpool for his comments on that city’s attitude to the Hillsborough disaster. So, yes I imagine further restrictions will go down like the proverbial lead balloon.
The daft mayor wants it
That said their mayor is very keen on them
Sadly, I’m afraid most will just go along with it. The constant fear porn is having it’s effect and most people are complying, no matter how insane the measures.
I suspect that, even if they were starting to see through the virus scam, they’re now scared of draconian fines.
Result = perpetual brain freeze.
You’ve got to hand it to the Nudge Unit, they’re bloody good at what they do.
I don’t think it’s sensible to say this virus is “akin to the common cold”. Don’t get me wrong, the government response has been utterly hysterical and I believe lockdown measures cause far more harm than the virus itself. I can only think that Toby is trying to say that the majority of people who get Covid have symptoms similar to a common cold. But let’s not forgot that lots of people have died or been very unwell from Covid in ways very unlike the common cold. I bet there isn’t a single medical professional in the entire world who would agree that Covid is “akin to the common cold”! I know for sure if I said that to my doctor mate who works on the frontline he beat me to a pulp. I agree with the majority of sentiments on this site, but I think comparing Covid to the common cold is down playing it a bit too much.
You may have a point though I believe colds do sometimes affect people quite badly, especially the very ill
The common cold kills thousands of people every year. People in the last few months of life who are susceptible to the latest bugs going round. We just don’t count it as ‘dying of a cold’ because its so common.
If you repeatedly tested terminally ill people to see if they have a cold and counted it as ‘dying of a cold’ if they came back positive and later died you would have about 600,000 a year
It’s not the symptoms more the impact. The flu can cause real problems in a small subset of people but we take that as given
and about 40,000 people die every winter more than the surrounding months. This is excess winter mortality. ie colds and flu.
You’re right it’s more of a cough but the vast majority of people never show any symptoms at all
They just mean it’s a corona virus, like others which give you a cold (there are other non corona viruses that give you cold symptoms too, rhino viruses etc).
I agree, and my GP would also agree with you. Covid is a distinct virus with some unusual effects.
However, my GP also said she could see no reason to shut down the NHS and was desperately worried about her other patients.
This is a nuanced argument.
I also believe that is was transferred into the human population from bat viruses cultivated in a lab.
So it is a new virus, and one that we have not been exposed to before (even though it shares characteristics with other coronaviruses that normally circulate in the population)
By “characteristics” you mean 80% of its genome. Only 20% is novel, that’s why we have pre-existing immunity
The point is that the greater majority of people who died were either very old ( deaths yesterday included people in their nineties, one 98) or with other illnesses including terminal cases. A normal chest infection can be equally lethal to people in this category, even aspirating a small amount of fluids can result in a severe chest infection and death. So I guess the comparison to the cold could have been more to do with putting the risk to people into some perspective.
See the panel by the Florida gov DeSantis, which is linked to in the update. Levitt, without saying it out, effectively says this. It’s just another coronavirus.
Which is exactly what Giesecke said in his evidence to the Irish Covid committee…
It’s literally “akin” to the common cold in the sense of being caused by a virus of the same broad family (coronavirus) as some that cause many common colds. Seems likely once the human population has adjusted to its novelties that it will just become another of the circulating seasonal common cold coronaviruses that are only a danger to people particularly vulnerable to it or to complications arising from it.
Yes!
Normally children develop these coronavirus infections, get them very mildly, and then become immune as adults.
The danger from covid19 is that it is new and is circulating in adults with no previous exposure.
Indeed.
But the longer term danger is that the panic response is inducing changes in human societies that, to the extent that they have any effect at all, will tend to reduce our collective immune response resistance to all viruses (and perhaps diseases in general), by distancing and other measures that inhibit the rapid and regular exchange of viruses between people, especially children.
That’s a recipe for a really disastrous pandemic down the line.
and the repeated use of hand sanitiser is breeding the next superbacteria as we speak
I noticed a bottle of hand sanitizer cable tied to a fecking gate yesterday, in the middle of nowhere. Mental.
I have another theory (bound to be labelled conspiracy) and it is that children aren’t dying covid because its much more difficult to falsify the death certificate of a child.
Children are thankfully much less likely to die than the over-80s.
That was April.
Doesn’t really apply now, does it?
yes, there are 4 circulating coronaviruses that cause colds. now we have 5. we need to build up a bit of immunity to it. I imagine the other 4 took a toll on the frail before they settled down too
Yes. At around the time of the Norman Conquest for HN63.
NL63
But it was around the time of the Norman Conquest based on counting the number of neutral mutations, which is also why we think OC43 was about 1890.
Which is why all the mockdown shenanegans are highly suspect and completely unnecessary (from a public health point of view).
I thought Will said that mainly to illustrate the futility of trying to control or eradicate this virus. Could be wrong though.
I can down play it much more than that.
Its has never been isolated
Therefore has not passed the virus test Koch postulates test, because it has not yet been isolated.
um I think that means it doesn’t really exist …but luckily for the health authorities and politicians there are plenty others that can quietly surrogate for it.
I suggest you read the book I posted above CORONA FALSE ALARM
I suggest you read the many earlier post on this site which explain that Koch’s postulates were proposed in the late C19 before viruses had been discovered by the use of more powerful magnification, and so, because they are obligate intracellular parasites, cannot satisfy said postulates.
Were viruses discovered? Is that a given? How since they contain a replica or the genetic material of the host or are said to be ‘obligate intracellular parasites’ can anyone be absolutely sure that they are not some excreter of the host?
Its a theory!
There is a body of opinion that postulates another theory ; that a so called virus is a so called exosome or some kind of cell excreter.
Of course this particular theory would not be one that vaccine manufactures would like much. No big pharma. would prefer the virus theory and might promote and finance academics in this field, as opposed to those who study health matters from other perspectives; like healthy life styles for example.
Oh yes, I remember when I was working as a scientist in the 1970s we did not have to worry so much about this kind bias. But thats the olden days and olden day science must be WRONG.
But I don’t think this matters not at all because there are plenty of other illnesses that can quietly operate as a surrogate for a virus to perpetuate this SCAM
If people breathe out exosomes and other people breathe them in and then start making them themselves then that is a viral infection. This is what happens, it doesn’t matter what you call it.
Viruses are a similar phenomenon to exosomes but I don’t think the human body makes much use of exosomes. They’re more something bacteria do.
Theories only theories
It’s less deadly than flu. (Especially to young and children).
It’s a coronavirus.
Ergo……
It’s an interesting question how much C19 is worse than other HCoVs. A few years ago there was concern in a care home in Canada that there might have been a SARS1 outbreak. It turned to be “just” common cold coronavirus OC43, which has been endemic for over 100 years. But it had an 8% CFR in a care home. That’s very comparable to C19.
My suspicion is that once C19 has been around for a few years and there’s quite a lot of immunity to it (people will get reinfected a few times in their lives but usually more mildly) then it will have no higher fatality that any of the other HCoVs.
They were also pretty nasty when they were new. OC43 was probably the “Russian Flu” of 1890. The reason for this is a combination of less pre-existing immunity (there is some cross-immunity, but the situation is not as good as if that actual virus is a few years old) and probably also the viruses attenuating to become more infectious and milder.
Endemic C19 won’t be half as bad as pandemic C19 and even pandemic C19 wasn’t actually that bad as it turned out. Pandemic C19 was maybe only about twice as bad as endemic influenza. But excess deaths attributed to influenza may partly be due to coronaviruses as well– people don’t usually count it that carefully.
Re the Trafalgar Square demo, we still don’t know who gave the order to clear the square and to do it “robustly”, as suggested on this week’s London Calling from “a source close to the police”.
Who gave the order?
Khan or Patel would be my guess.
It would be nice of there were a hue and cry over this, but only people like Toby, Dolan or Hitchens, with media platforms, could get one started.
I’m sure Dick was very happy to organise it.
Some common purpose dick
Good video,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5dWbxwoCZI
Yesterday in the US 1 341 348 C-19 PCR tests were performed where 2.96% were positive. The amount of C-19 PCR tests for one day easily outperforms ALL PCR-tests for influenza in a year. This is almost a grotesque amount of testing. Many tests probably related to work etc but difficult to get an estimate. Some must have been done for CLI symptoms although the actual surveillance for people attending ED for CLI is low now in the US.
How can we interpret results on such a massive expansion of testing? If we did this for influenza instead what would be the result?
UK is doing approximately 250000 tests per day.
Yesterday I published a very god article of the futility of testing in this phase of the pandemic. I think it appropriate to publish it again. The amount of information from these monster screening programmes just swamp us and makes it more difficult to select the essential information.
https://inference-review.com/article/on-the-futility-of-contact-tracing
“This is almost a grotesque amount of testing.”
The only thing that I would disagree with is the word ‘almost’ in that sentence.
An excellent, seminal reference, Swedenborg.
I totally agree and it’s why we don’t hear about flu rates very much at all in previous times. It is a media driven pandemic, not a viral one. Example.
Today they will announce lockdown measures in Northern Ireland. The quarterly death figures for the regions are out and the BBC go with the headline that 11% of all deaths this year were CV19. Scary for a new virus yeah?
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-54365155
We know that the details are always were the truth is because context is everything. So if you read the NIISRA Quarterly Death report some things are able to add this context if the fearful care to look:
– For working age population (up to 69), 102 deaths were CV-19. This is out of a total 8050 deaths. 1.2%.
– Under 59 only 43 have died of/with CV-19. 0.5% of deaths. No mention of co-morbidities in these numbers.
Those of working age that have died, 102, up to a third come from the unemployed or permanently sick. Around 5% are in care related areas (7).
There doesn’t seem to be any significant difference in terms of deprivation measurements across all CV-19 deaths, but then why would there be? If you’re old and vulnerable to CV-19 you are probably limited in terms of your daily life anyway, as much as the next man, and the differences in daily activities between income groups even out much more significantly in this respect.
So, if you are under 69 and healthy. You absolutely should be able to live your life, work for a crumb and not be subjected the fear agenda. We are being held hostage by this. Those that claim to represent us are now complicit in this effort to destroy what sanctity we have for a normal life.
My last line there could not be more opposed to the BBC line of reporting. It says it all.
nisra.gov.uk/sites/nisra.gov.uk/files/publications
I would say a lot of those deaths under the age of 69 are also linked to obesity and heart conditions.
We all know there is a cheap, safe, effective treatment for Sars-Cov-2 infections. That is why this
pandemicepidemicbout of Sars-Cov-2 should be of little danger to anyone.Every man and woman is equal before the law except they are not.
In the South of England 6 people can group up for a sing in a pub. In the North East of England only one person can sing in a pub.
Two hours of radio show includes that summary from a human rights barrister at about, 9 mins in. The whole show worth a listen.
https://youtu.be/RRMj7U5-Ajg
When the rules are supposedly based on ‘the science’, yet are different in different parts of the UK, you know it is not really the science that is behind them…
Some weeks ago, I said “How do we arrive at the situation where one city has a different law from the rest of the country?”. Doesn’t seem to matter now.
Psychological warfare is a broad term, but in all documented cases, the concept uses actions intended to reduce an opponent’s morale or mental well being. The aim is to use manipulative tactics to intimidate or persuade a person or people. This process is usually employed through propaganda.
Is there any reason why we shouldn’t use the tools of psychological warfare to get our message across?
Hurrah, the R number has fallen. Imperial College says so. Presumably it has dropped by 500,000.
The MP’s going on about T&T seem as if they cant correlate that with having no workers, ie why the police have been told not to download
Earlier a poster put up an article that Max Hastings wrote about Mr. Johnson over a year ago. It was excoriating. I can’t locate it now but my thanks to the poster.
Here is a very prescient quote from that article.
>>>his premiership will almost certainly reveal a contempt for rules, precedent, order and stability<<
Liam beat me too it! I’ve posted a reply, below. MW
I won’t link to the original article as it’s from The Guardian, google it if you want to share the link.
“The Tory party is about to foist a tasteless joke upon the British people. He cares for nothing but his own fame and gratification
Six years ago, the Cambridge historian Christopher Clark published a study of the outbreak of the first world war, titled The Sleepwalkers. Though Clark is a fine scholar, I was unconvinced by his title, which suggested that the great powers stumbled mindlessly to disaster. On the contrary, the maddest aspect of 1914 was that each belligerent government convinced itself that it was acting rationally.
It would be fanciful to liken the ascent of Boris Johnson to the outbreak of global war, but similar forces are in play. There is room for debate about whether he is a scoundrel or mere rogue, but not much about his moral bankruptcy, rooted in a contempt for truth. Nonetheless, even before the Conservative national membership cheers him in as our prime minister – denied the option of Nigel Farage, whom some polls suggest they would prefer – Tory MPs have thronged to do just that.
I have known Johnson since the 1980s, when I edited the Daily Telegraph and he was our flamboyant Brussels correspondent. I have argued for a decade that, while he is a brilliant entertainer who made a popular maître d’ for London as its mayor, he is unfit for national office, because it seems he cares for no interest save his own fame and gratification.
Tory MPs have launched this country upon an experiment in celebrity government, matching that taking place in Ukraine and the US, and it is unlikely to be derailed by the latest headlines. The Washington Post columnist George Will observes that Donald Trump does what his political base wants “by breaking all the china”. We can’t predict what a Johnson government will do, because its prospective leader has not got around to thinking about this. But his premiership will almost certainly reveal a contempt for rules, precedent, order and stability.
A few admirers assert that, in office, Johnson will reveal an accession of wisdom and responsibility that have hitherto eluded him, not least as foreign secretary. This seems unlikely, as the weekend’s stories emphasised. Dignity still matters in public office, and Johnson will never have it. Yet his graver vice is cowardice, reflected in a willingness to tell any audience, whatever he thinks most likely to please, heedless of the inevitability of its contradiction an hour later.
Like many showy personalities, he is of weak character. I recently suggested to a radio audience that he supposes himself to be Winston Churchill, while in reality being closer to Alan Partridge. Churchill, for all his wit, was a profoundly serious human being. Far from perceiving anything glorious about standing alone in 1940, he knew that all difficult issues must be addressed with allies and partners.
Churchill’s self-obsession was tempered by a huge compassion for humanity, or at least white humanity, which Johnson confines to himself. He has long been considered a bully, prone to making cheap threats. My old friend Christopher Bland, when chairman of the BBC, once described to me how he received an angry phone call from Johnson, denouncing the corporation’s “gross intrusion upon my personal life” for its coverage of one of his love affairs.
“We know plenty about your personal life that you would not like to read in the Spectator,” the then editor of the magazine told the BBC’s chairman, while demanding he order the broadcaster to lay off his own dalliances.
Bland told me he replied: “Boris, think about what you have just said. There is a word for it, and it is not a pretty one.”
He said Johnson blustered into retreat, but in my own files I have handwritten notes from our possible next prime minister, threatening dire consequences in print if I continued to criticise him.
Johnson would not recognise truth, whether about his private or political life, if confronted by it in an identity parade. In a commonplace book the other day, I came across an observation made in 1750 by a contemporary savant, Bishop Berkeley: “It is impossible that a man who is false to his friends and neighbours should be true to the public.” Almost the only people who think Johnson a nice guy are those who do not know him.
There is, of course, a symmetry between himself and Jeremy Corbyn. Corbyn is far more honest, but harbours his own extravagant delusions. He may yet prove to be the only possible Labour leader whom Johnson can defeat in a general election. If the opposition was led by anybody else, the Tories would be deservedly doomed, because we would all vote for it. As it is, the Johnson premiership could survive for three or four years, shambling from one embarrassment and debacle to another.”
Hi, it was Nsklent , on yesterday’s thread. It’s from the Graun but makes very interesting reading:
‘I was Boris Johnson’s boss: he is utterly unfit to be prime minister’ – Max Hastings
This prescient final paragraph leapt out at me, my emphasis at the end:
‘There is, of course, a symmetry between himself and Jeremy Corbyn. Corbyn is far more honest, but harbours his own extravagant delusions. He may yet prove to be the only possible Labour leader whom Johnson can defeat in a general election. If the opposition was led by anybody else, the Tories would be deservedly doomed, because we would all vote for it. As it is, the Johnson premiership could survive for three or four years, shambling from one embarrassment and debacle to another, of which Brexit may prove the least.’
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/jun/24/boris-johnson-prime-minister-tory-party-britain (I think Toby has asked us not to reproduce whole articles but, rather, provide links.) MW
Apologies, I’m clogging up the thread with such a long post. I’ll edit it down.
Well it was the Graun!
MW
He’s only asked us not to reproduce copyrighted articles.
“Johnson would not recognise truth … if confronted by it in an identity parade.”
And sums up the entire thing.
Thanks to Nsklent then – what a lovely name!
Has everyone else missed the TV ad where Bunter says “ It’s a legal requirement to wear masks in many places, but do please remember that some people are exempt,and they shouldn’t be challenged or abused “. ?
I keep looknig out for it, but can’t seem to catch it…
We need a vaccine now! people are dropping dead by the 0.001s
To misquote Churchill; “The battle of the virus is over, the battle of the economy is about to begin’
The Dictator has racked up the government debt to two trillion
Thats 62K for each person who was working at the start of the shamdemic
For most households it will be at least 124k
52% of tax raised comes from income tax, national insurance, and VAT
The mass unemployment that is coming will see a huge drop in these revenues, and more people reliant on state handouts.
There will be massive defaults on mortgages and car leasing.
Raise more taxes? Print more money? Cut public services? Bail out the banks again?
No wonder they want us locked up
At 5pm each day handy cock will gleefully tell us how each of our 62k’s in rising in value
More people dependent on the state, just what they want, control
Forced labour coming soon and work camps. You will have “no right to turn down employment opportunities”, picking those turnips in Lincolnshire, digging those post holes for solar panels in Essex. Yes the accommodation is basic and covid safe. Food and travel will be provided.
We would do well to print this figures and posting copies through doors… 124K per household is a figure people can relate to and will hopefully react to!
“Thats 62K for each person who was working at the start of the shamdemic”
And also, by accounting identity, £62K of Gilt savings for each person who was working.
Why are you obsessing about one side of the balance sheet and ignoring the other side – which contains the very “store of value” that will settle the liability?
At the very least try to understand the accounting – otherwise you sound like a different form of the “masks: good, no-masks: bad” person who can’t see the wider picture.
But they’re not the same people, are they?
If I owe a bank £100k my liability is matched by assets of others totalling the same amount: I can’t just ignore the effect of my debt on me because the entries net to zero.
I’ve heard people argue against the case made by Michael Yeadon regarding false positives by saying that the false positive rate cannot possibly be higher than the lowest positive rate recorded by the ONS for the surveillance data. I am assuming that Michael Yeadon used the data from the ONS as an estimate of the ‘true’ level of infection within the general population because he knows that they have a more accurate way of determining actual infections in a way that the Pillar 2 tests don’t, But does anyone actually have any detailed knowledge on how the ONS testing is carried out compared to the Pillar 2 tests and how this would lead to a more realistic figure for the current infection rate?
I think that this is crucial :
“ We use current COVID-19 infections to mean testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, with or without having symptoms, on a swab taken from the nose and throat.”
i.e. it’s subject to the same bollocks as all the ‘case’=’infection’=’illness’ narrative.
They admit that sensitivity and specificity are unknowns – and I do think that they genuinely use statistical methods to try to compensate for this.
… but, of course, a methodology flawed at the base is a flawed methodology producing flawed results.
This is as good as testing gets – and it’s not a good enough basis for shaping policy.
As far as I can tell, FPR and FNR come from three distinct sources.
Firstly, the lab test itself. This has high specificity (low FPR) and high sensitivity (low FNR) when tested on pure cultures — which is of course exactly the way you assess these tests, but not exactly what you give them in practice. That’s what we’re seeing in these PHE assessments
Secondly, there are operational problems, such as mishandling, mislabelling, cross-contamination, improper storage, delays in testing and poor swabbing techniques. The operational problems are assessed in a GOS report to give an irreducible 2% or so FPR.
Thirdly there are issues about whether the virus is present in the part of the body that the sample is taken from (FNR) varying by date and area swabbed, to give FNR between 30% and 100% (yes!) and whether what’s detected is enough to show an active infection (FPR) dependent on cycle number, which I’m not competent to judge. See BMJ paper
Where are these ‘pure cultures’? When was the virus isolated and purified? Who has established the Gold Standard?
AG
As I understand the tests, they took swabs from a known positive source and a known negative source, and then subdivided them into 195 samples. So all test samples came from the same master sample and should have given the same result.
My understanding is the the ONS has its own programme of testing of random samples of people using, guess what, the same PCR test that throws up all the false positives everywhere so everybody is just comparing turds day after day. That doesn’t detract from Yeadon’s argument though – just read all the figures as ‘what ifs’ and the maths still works!
AG
That’s not quite fair to the ONS. They do followups on their positive tests to try and assess whether they are actual “cases” and to infer from that how many of their new positive tests results are actually “infections”. See ONS methodology and preprint
Hmmm:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/englandwalesandnorthernireland25september2020 MW
is that where they got their doubling from? noticed it went from 0.1 to 0.2
A paramedic I work with in my sports medicine job had one of the home tests. He broke off the end of the swab and put it in the transport medium (all without it going anywhere near his nose or throat). Guess what? It came back positive! I think the pillar 2 (community) tests are all done by the private sector- Deloitte got the contract to organise this- and they are going to a Ct of up to 42 (Ct=cycle threshold, the point at which you decide the test is -ve or +ve). The european norm is 30. At a Ct of 42 you will get many more positives as it amplifies any stray DNA in the sample (“background noise”) and increase the percentage of positives, most of which will be false. The way round this, of course is to stop testing people without symptoms because if you are not ill, you are not a “case”!
Isn’t there a common standard across Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 tests for the number of Ct cycles?
Mwah ha ha ha. As if.
Yes, I asked the question dreading that that would be the case – that there is no common standard. Shouldn’t there at least be transparency about what threshold is being used? I wonder if the private labs which are conducting the Pillar 2 tests are subject to Freedom of Information?
The excuse is that they’re using kits from different manufacturers and they require different cycle numbers.
Shouldn’t be difficult to sort it out though – if they wanted to.
I posted about the Phantom of Heilbronn here recently. A suspected female serial killer, her DNA was found at 40 crime scenes in Austria, France and Germany from 1993 to 2009 including six murders. In 2009, the woman was traced. She worked at the factory that supplied forensic test kits — her DNA had got onto the cotton swabs during manufacture.
on wikipedia
Solution to today’s problem: If I carry a film camera around with me, and claim I’m making a TV documentary about Wales, I can go where the fuck I want:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-54369813
The Covid restrictions on large productions like this are unbelievable, so it’s a major effort for them to be able to do this.
“I am 36 and this is the second protest I have ever been to. The first protest being the one on August 29th. There is certainly a preponderance of “conspiracy theorists” at these events but my sense is that a larger proportion are ordinary people like myself, angry at the political system and deeply concerned by our loss of liberty and damage to the economy. Regardless, believing something that others do not is not a crime.”
This chap is at the start of a long learning curve.
Sorry mate, if you’re ‘angry at the political system’ you are no longer ‘ordinary people’ as you claim ; you have joined the ranks of the ‘conspiracy theorists’, those foreign creatures whose wild ideas include the expectation of gratuitous violence from the police at public protests – because, believe it or not, they may have seen it and felt it all before, any number of times. Who knows, some of these ‘conspiracy theorists’ may even consider themselves to be ‘ordinary people’ too.
AG
Exactly. What do these people think the government and media see them as?
A threat!
Hence the deployment of the goon squad.
Again that word ‘conspiracy’.
Now – I reckon that a group of people who sit around a table and plan to imprison and enslave others by means of fraud and coercion is a ‘conspiracy’.
… aka ‘Cabinet’.
Thanks Alan, saved me the time of responding.
Does anyone know anything about this?
It’s from late last night, so knock a day off each date reported.
Tonight at 8pm venues across the UK are lighting red.
Yesterday there was a silent protest in Parliament square.
Tomorrow a drive slow through Birmingham around the NEC is taking place.
I like the drive slow idea – can’t get a baton across the head for “not socially distancing” in your car.
Good ideas, apart from the drive slow. This is going to affect people trying to earn a living, in already challenging conditions. It will just piss off the masses.
So what are they supposed to do?
These are people from the exhibition and events indusrty who have received no assistance during the mockdown and whose businesses are struggling. They have a right to peaceful protest in order to bring attention to their plight.
In general you have to make a point until long after you are sick of saying it, before most people even realise you are saying it at all.
Dissent is slow. Be patient and angry at the same time.
– Peter Hitchens.
This is exactly right imo. Good for Peter being able to express it so clearly.
With the reference to Blackadder goes fourth, I noticed that Bojo is definitely turned into the barking mad General Melchett, with Handjob playing the creepy little Captain Darling.
Indeed. They are trying the same plan as last time…and the 17 times before that!
Exactly and the enemy won’t be expecting that.
Yes – that’s a pretty good image.
“If nothing else works then a total pig-headed unwillingness to look facts in the face will see us through”
underpants on head, pencils up the nose……wibble, wibble
Further restrictions in Northwest as predicted. Cash handout to Joe Anderson as predicted.
Just seen this in a BBC article.
Once the new labs open this month we could see a jump in daily cases that do not necessarily spell a worsening of infection levels.
Oh great, can’t wait. Cue October lockdown.
What’s the betting the BBC will forget the nuance of that by the time they are open and new cases spike?
Let’s hope they continue to note the difference between cases and infections though both are dubious terms in this context.
what??? the BBC actually acknowledging that additional “cases” may be due to additional tests? and not because we are all going to die?
I very much believed this was incompetence and mass hysteria on the part of the government and they were secretly pursuing the Swedish model after their initial overreaction and any measures were simply political posturing and wouldnt be enforced.
I’m sad to say I now agree with many here that this is not incompetence. It is about power and control. Feeling completely hopeless about the future.
And money.
And ego.
Agree. I simply cannot believe this is simply just incompetence – Ooops, I just accidentally implemented a totalitarian state.
Wasting lives to save face.
And that’s the most charitable explanation that remains tenable.
I agree Ricky, I do not think its incompetence either…
Is it about power and control? Not sure.
Maggie made greed acceptable perhaps politicians are pretty much all compromised in some way or another. We already know about Whitty..could this be across the board as corporations , NGOs and politics have become inseparable.
I empathise with your feelings
Agree – now that BJ has committed the UK to vast contributions to the WHO and referenced Bill Gates several times in speeches, there is *no way* this is just incompetence..
Also Prince Charles going on about Global Reset..
I don’t think it is about power and control. I think it is the principle of Commitment and Consistency (from Robert Cialdini’s book Influence as I’ve said before). It’s basically a form of self-brainwashing. Because you commit to action you knock off the original pillars of your beliefs and move to the new belief system. And because you have publically committed to something it is way harder to backtrack – it’s a type of social conditioning we have from evolution.
So you end up believing and doing crazy things. The best example were US PoWs who were brainwashed into being supporters of the CCP during the Korean War. Many decades later they still believed the brainwashing. Because they had brainwashed themselves.
What is needed is an intervention. But that requires a truck load of testicles.
This is a not un-common response to ‘taking the red pill’, Ricky. But there are people to read, reactions to follow, and other people out there, who can/will help you cheer up. Action, of any sort, helps a lot.
I posted posted this before, but I think it is relevant here.
Some people think the government lockdowns are part of a conspiracy, so the question that arises is: “Why should this be so?” Is there any reason? There might be some things happening that just appear to benefit from there being a lockdown with a Behavioral Insights Team helping the BBC to scare the people shwitless. The danger of the disease is over-hyped and the government changes the rules to make it look as if many more people are dying from it than is actually the case. They then decant sick people into care homes where there is very little medical assistance and add all those that die there to the numbers dying from the disease.
The mantra becomes that we can only relax the lockdown rules when a vaccine becomes available. Enter left, a philanthopist, who takes a great interest in these matters agrees to help chivvy this along if you can chip in a few million/billion pounds. He is a major funder of the entities in this field (WHO – 4.3 Billion, Imperial College – 280 Million, Oxford University – 243 Million, Prof. Chris Wittey – 40 Million, BBC Media Action – 53 Million, CDC – 155 Million, GAVI – 3 Billion, Johns Hopkins – 870 Million, NIH (Fauci) – 18 Million).
The prime minister ponces around with world leaders and promises large sums of taxpayer money to the philanthopist’s favourite fund and directly to vaccine manufacturers so that we can all be vaccinated with an incompletely tested vaccine, one where all the ferrets died when exposed to the disease and for which the manufacturers have no liability if the vaccine kills or maims tens of thousands. Still, we have millions of syringes ready so they really must go ahead with vaccine production. They are training recruits too so that they can make sure everyone is protected.
To ensure the populace is well informed, the philanthropist gives money to all the news outlets that will take it and so make sure they never hear the word Hydroxychloroquine. Hydroxychloroquine is banned for use with the disease in most western countries where the death rate is much higher than countries that used it prophylactically or in the early stages of the infection. It just so happens that the head of the centre for disease control in the United States has an interest in a competitor for treating the disease and produced false evidence to attempt to discredit HCQ.
But this minor conflict of interest is not the main concern. It is that if the fact that HCQ treatments can be 100% effective in the early stages of the disease becomes universally known, then people will know that there is absolutely no need whatsoever for a vaccine. And the philanthropist is on record saying that he makes 20 times a much money from vaccines than anything else.
So there you have it, no smoking guns.
I am taking the liberty of putting my own spin on certain phrases in today’s informative post:
On Witless and Unbalanced’s latest fact-free and incoherent presentation: ‘Yhat is a misrepresentation of the data that feeds into the Government narrative’
MY VERSION: ‘Those are are outright lies’.
On Johnson’s brush with death: ‘I believe that he has been so frightened, so utterly mortified that his own mortality was threatened by this virus, that he now feels a civic duty to stop anyone else experiencing that.’
MY VERSION: This should read: There is an urban myth that he has been so frightened, etc. Unfortunately the lockdown until there’s a vaccine, the notion of the ‘New Normal”, the SPI-B fearmongering playbook and the advertising contract with the media all preceded Johnson’s illness.
On Polls: ‘It makes you wonder whether all these polls that appear to show just how much public support there is for lockdown measures are really just measuring virtue-signalling.’
MY VERSION: ‘Polls are a form of propaganda’.
On masks with slogans : ‘a way to stay sceptical for times when he might not feel brave enough to wear his exemption lanyard’
MY VERSION: ‘Whatever you write on it, if you wear a mask you are compliant. Wear an exemption lanyard, you really don’t have to be very brave to do this and you will be doing your bit against tyranny and oppression.’ [Caveat from me: I know there are very particular circumstances e.g. health settings, where you might have to wear a mask but any businesses trying to demand them should be boycotted. Ditto those trying to demand T&T app scans.] MW
You and I are clearly on the same page re Johnson’s “brush with death”.
Good post. I agree with all your analysis.
Totally agree on the subject of masks with slogans. I only created a slogan mask for use on the plane when I go on holiday, but given that the Spaniards have gone muzzle-crazy, I’m probably just going to cancel now.
Surely if he was that traumatised by his illness he is not the right person to be taking a risk-benefit analysis on the virus?
We’re all coping there best we can in this nightmare. If you find an exemption lanyard less degrading to wear than a mask with a slogan then you do you, but you’re kidding yourself if you think this means you’re “doing your best against tyranny” when others aren’t. At least a well-judged slogan might lead to discussions or raise doubts in people’s minds.
These are the RCT trials Fauci wanted in the beginning of the pandemic. This is an important new publication showing a 24% reduction C-19 infection, hospitalization and death with HCQ This could be a game changer.A drug, cheap,very safe even in pregnant women.No risk this will mentioned in BBC as a discredited drug.Even Prof Balloux seems to have second thoughts about the drug reading this. His twitter below the link.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.30.20204693v1
https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1311502285864947712 Randomized Controlled Trials of Early Ambulatory Hydroxychloroquine in the Prevention of COVID-19 Infection, Hospitalization, and Death: Meta-Analysis “ Results–Five randomized controlled clinical trials enrolling 5,577 patients were included. HCQ was associated with a 24% reduction in COVID-19 infection, hospitalization or death, P=.025 (RR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.59 to 0.97]). No serious adverse cardiac events were reported. The most common side effects were gastrointestinal. Conclusion–Hydroxychloroquine use in outpatients reduces the incidence of the composite outcome of COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and death. Serious adverse events were not reported and cardiac arrhythmia was rare”#
Sky News Australia now pushing hard on this in Australia.
Not a peep in the UK media.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GojPyrYllPw
Suggest a watch of all, but listen carefully to the section about Martin Landray and the Recovery trial. Hospitalised patients were given a loading dose of 2400mg, followed by a daily dose of 800mg from day 2 to day 10.
2400mg is a hugely toxic, potentially fatal overdose (in a healthy individual).
And HCQ has a long half life of between 30-50 days.
The WHO’s own Solidarity trial also used a dangerous toxic overdose. Believe it may have been 1800mg. I’ve seen it reported that officers of the Gates Foundation were on the group that decided that trial’s protocol.
HCQ is simple first line treatment (a pill) that can be taken immediately indicative symptoms arise.
Clears the virus, prevents symptom escalation, prevents need for hospitalisation and saves lives.
UK message effectively remains ‘stay at home, do nothing, until you become really ill’
France Soir has also pursued this story in a determined fashion.
http://www.francesoir.fr/politique-monde/interview-exclusive-martin-landray-recovery-hydroxychloroquine-game-over-uk
I enjoyed and agreed with Steve Rucastle’s letter until the end. He sympathises with de Piffle, whose “close brush with death” is, to my mind, more than doubtful.
I’m not disputing that he might have had a flu-like illness but he was taken into hospital as a precaution, as would make sense because he’s the PM. At that point in the epidemic, if he’d been touch and go, he’d have been put on a ventilator.
He was in hospital for a very few days for someone at death’s door – the “he is risen!” at Easter having been noted by many.
I think he’s off his game because he’s way out of his depth and thoroughly miserable. Being king of the world is not the jolly jape he’d anticipated. Given his history, it’s quite probable that he’s heavily self-medicating.
What do you think? Uncomfortable truth or valid excuse?
.
It really needs an ICU doctor’s opinion, but I am suspicious that someone near death’s door in ICU would be out and about so quickly. I do not doubt he had the virus, nor that it affected him more than the majority of others with observable symptoms. This can be explained by the fact that he is is a ‘vulnerable group’, being clinically obese. This only takes us so far, though. Irrespective, he appears mentally ill to me, and has done for many months.
I agree, he appears unhinged to us. All those weird fist gestures, the quasi-Nazi salute and the grinning, not to mention the fact that he obviously doesn’t have a clue what he’s talking about. We never thought he was a clown; we thought he was dangerous and nasty. The fact that he’s now a puppet of whoever’s running the show doesn’t make him less so. MW
Boris recovered far too quickly to ever have been on a ventilator / close to death
He was very unwell and there is no reason to believe anything else.
This virus is nasty for a reasonable minority of people, and it comes across as completely heartless to suggest otherwise.
Must do better, could try harder. Confined to barracks for refresher training. MW
Maybe so but if you expect me to feel any sympathy for him after the “heart” he has shown this country and it’s people you can whistle.
Why is it heartless?
It’s a perfectly reasonable hypothesis. And one that I share.
The virus was ‘nasty for a reasonable minority of people’.
There is no firm evidence that it remains ‘nasty’ for anybody.
Heartless?
For what he has done to this country he should be imprisoned for the rest of his life.
He was clearly very unwell – you could see that in his face, especially that evening he clapped the NHS from outside Downing St, shortly before going into hospital.
Maybe as he was PM he was put into an ICU before he reached the illness threshold that may have been standard for a ‘normal’ patient – I have no idea if this is the case, of course, it’s just my speculation.
He was never on a ventilator, as I recall.
Whatever the reason, physically he’s clearly a different man from that of last February.
https://twitter.com/simondolan/status/1311617186776088578
Simon Dolan’s announcement – ‘We are today applying to Court for an urgent hearing and injunction to overturn the new lockdown laws. If the injunction is granted any official who tries to impose the lockdown laws will be in contempt of Court
Case should be heard next week.’
Come on sonnnnnnn
Just seen this but you beat me to it with posting!
Which ones are the new ones?
Maybe these? https://twitter.com/Mark_J_Harper/status/1310960722424233984
Great news!!
I just heard yesterday that Bill Gates met with Epstein a few times? Holy hell the plot thickens!
Old Bill loved to party on Fantasy Island and make sure all the kids are well catered for!
Along with his other mate Prince ‘Randy’ Andy!
Several times – search ZeroHedge for the pictures of them together. He has already put out his apology in November 2019 – curious timing!
https://www.businessinsider.com/bill-gates-addressed-jeffrey-epstein-ties-made-a-mistake-2019-11?r=US&IR=T
Oh so he is sorry for beasting kids…ah well…that’s cool!
Oh yes.
Thought everyone knew this.
Many meetings, and he was on the flight log of Epstein’s private jet.
It’s really no surprise that Epstein was ‘Epsteined’.
Now, per the Times, sources and documents say that Gates met with Epstein on “numerous occasions—including at least three times at Mr. Epstein’s palatial Manhattan townhouse, and at least once staying late into the night.” The Times also reported that Gates’ employees went on “multiple visits” to Epstein’s property and that Epstein pitched Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and JPMorgan Chase on a “multibillion-dollar charitable fund,” which could have resulted in Epstein picking up “enormous fees” in the tens of millions.
The first meeting was on Jan. 31, 2011, when Gates met with Epstein, former Miss Sweden Dr. Eva Andersson-Dubin (spouse of billionaire hedge funder Glenn Dubin), and the Dubins’ 15-year-old daughter. At the time, Epstein’s reputation was a convicted sex offender was known. That gathering started at 8:00 p.m. and lasted hours, with the Times reporting that Gates wrote to colleagues the next day, “A very attractive Swedish woman and her daughter dropped by and I ended up staying there quite late.” That year, Gates was also seen talking privately with Epstein at a TED conference in California and visited Epstein again at his New York mansion with others, including then-senior JPMorgan exec James E. Stanley and former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers.
Around that time, sources told the paper, Epstein was pitching both the Gates Foundation and JPMorgan on beginning a charitable fund to operate in tandem with the two institutions’ Global Health Investment Fund. In late 2011, Gates’ employees met with Epstein at Gates’ instruction, with sources telling the paper he said his shady 2007 plea deal and conviction was no worse than “stealing a bagel.”
https://gizmodo.com/huh-bill-gates-sure-hung-out-with-jeffrey-epstein-a-lo-1839000866
Interesting CEBM item on the latest ONS mortality figures. Worth looking at for the facts (although I continue to have reservations about the term ‘excess deaths’) :
https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/summary-of-the-ons-report-on-deaths-registered-weekly-in-england-and-wales-29nd-september/
Matt Wankock has just said this about the local lockdowns imposed in the north east of England.
Reported on the Manchester evening news website at 11:34am this morning.
“ I feel personal responsibility for the record number of tests that are being done in this country.
I feel personal responsibility for the fact that the vast majority of people in Hull and across the country can get a test within six miles of where they live, and get the test results back – the majority of them – the next day.
I feel personal responsibility for the biggest contact tracing programme that this country has ever seen with the support of the armed forces, the NHS, brilliant civil servants and the private sector working together.
I think it’s that sort of coming together we need to get through this virus.”
Utter wanker of a man.
He makes me physically ill just looking at him
Especially when you know of his connections to Nicole Junkermann.
Thanks Carrie – I looked at her profile on Wiki, and read this:
https://opitor.com/index.php/2020/09/19/nicole-junkermann-diagram-grabyo/
I do not understand who she is – apparently she had cofounded and sold a multimillion pound gaming portal before she was 21!
Here she is:-
https://vocal.media/theSwamp/the-epstein-associate-nobody-s-talking-about-the-idf-linked-bond-girl-infiltrating-the-uk-nhs
Move along now, nothing to see here….
AG
did not know that
says it all..
this is the big difference.
He is proud of this … he thinks it is a great achievement.
Whereas we just think this record number of tests is what is perpetuating the lockdown by producing positive tests that they can call cases. Which he probably knows .
Yes, I thought it was an apology.
Usually the phrase I feel personally responsible is said at the press conference when they step down.
One can dream….
Or maybe someone with video editing skills and a bit of time to spare could create such a conference ?
Please tell me he didn’t actually say that.
Unfortunately he did.
Look..
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/uk-news/coronavirus-live-uk-updates-boris-19027925
That’s a marvellous confession statement.
Will he be so willing to take personal responsibility in the court of enquiry?
Is this is a devious move by those behind the scenes, to absolve themselves of responsibility.
‘We only gave scientific advice; the Govt decided upon and enacted the policies.
I felt Vallance was subtly shifting the blame with that statement.
Agree. I also thought his demeanor was one of ‘I don’t give a f… any more’.
Will he take personal responsibility for the care homes residences whose deaths he contributed to? For the children whose future prospects are now in jeopardy? For those who have lost jobs and business? I could go on.
Wankcock “don’t believe the stories you hear about people being told to go hundreds of miles for a test…” Liar.
children found to have covid-19 antibodies from samples taken before pandemic
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000mzpr
Excellent spot.
PCR Test = Chocolate teapot
this is an anti-body test. they created an antibody test to see who had had it in the past. they tested it on old samples to make sure it came up negative but it often came up positive.
ie children can be immune to covid-19 due to antibodies they had from similar infections many years ago.
kids get coronavirues several times a year – adults once every 2 years.
kids had these antibodies at levels of 60% – probably from school mixing
worth a listen from about 15 minutes
A really good find.
So all those children immune to covid 19 might very well have covid 19 RNA from fighting off covid 19 and still test positive from a PCR test?
‘ To summarise, false-positive COVID-19 swab test results might be increasingly likely in the current epidemiological climate in the UK, with substantial consequences….’
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30453-7/fulltext
yep. The broad point I took away from the bbc article was that though covid-19 is novel, it is similar enough that many people will be immune from exposure to similar viruses in the past. That means herd immunity might not be 80% but some lower number N% where we find N from watching the virus burn itself out – in Sweden for example.
A great deal has been written about this…..but our government just seems to ignore the likely much lower herd immunity threshold to the great detriment of the entire country:
‘ The distribution of these viruses in different animal species might result in periodic human contact that induces ORF1-specific T cells with cross-reactive abilities against SARS-CoV-2. Understanding the distribution, frequency and protective capacity of pre-existing structural or non-structural protein-associated SARS-CoV-2 cross-reactive T cells could be important for the explanation of some of the differences in infection rates or pathology observed during this pandemic.’
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2550-z
An immediate cost benefit study of Britain’s covid 19 measures is required, followed by an independent public inquiry.
Thanks for the article.The best I’ve read about testing problems and also important as from Royal Brompton Hospital.Should be important for everybody thinking testing is solving the problem.
Interesting thread on Twitter re Sweden and PCR cycles testing:
https://twitter.com/MLevitt_NP2013/status/1311604551867219968
Sweden only regards tests that are positive at 20 cycles and below as being truly infectious, it would seem:
Above 38: neg.
Between 36-38 possibly positive but not infectious.
36-20 positive.
20 and below: highly infectious.
Read the thread – I’m no scientist so a lot of it goes over my head!
Could Sweden invade Britain again, please, and take over?
We don’t have any armed forces any longer, so there shouldn’t be any kind of problems…..
https://twitter.com/RebeccaChandle1/status/1311611619902926848
“This is what I have seen, in the Swedish doctors weekly news from Sahlgrenska in Gothenburg. Above 38: neg. Between 36-38 possibly positive but not infectious. 36-20 positive. 20 and below: highly infectious ”
https://lakartidningen.se/opinion/debatt/2020/09/ct-varden-bor-beaktas-vid-tolkning-av-pcr-resultat/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=ct-varden-bor-beaktas-vid-tolkning-av-pcr-resultat
This the Swedish article above google translation
https://twitter.com/mtmoss13/status/1311617118157238272/photo/1
Those are about the same thresholds China uses
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1fGTaVA32MSSLX5uqzbdcTg-mmDgKw2hGd3BUg6IDWfY
Flu vaccination does not reduce hospitalizations, death in older adults
https://www.healio.com/news/primary-care/20200302/flu-vaccination-does-not-reduce-hospitalizations-death-in-older-adults
Which means any SARS vaccine is likely to have the same problems – and probably won’t protect the elderly who are the ones who suffer the most impact from the virus.
What the out in that case then?
Anybody else getting the feeling that this entire pantomime is really about avoiding certain middle class millennials getting a bad cough?
BCG vaccination looks promising for the elderly, if trials show that it has a protective effect against covid 19.
‘198 elderly people were given either a placebo or a BCG vaccine upon discharge from the hospital.’
“In addition to the clear effect of BCG vaccination on infections in general, the most important observation was that BCG could mainly protect against respiratory infections: BCG-vaccinated elderly people had 75% fewer respiratory infections than the elderly who received placebo.”
https://www.news-medical.net/news/20200901/BCG-vaccine-offers-protection-for-elderly-people-against-respiratory-infections.aspx
Possibly, but I would not put it past Bill G to see that it is ‘spiked’ with something deadly alongside..
I think that, gradually, a sceptic message is getting through. Yesterday we had a delivery from Laithwaite’s and the delivery driver was unmasked; I complimented him on that and he gave me a thumbs up and a big smile. Today, the Tesco delivery driver was similarly unmasked; I complimented him and HE began to tell us about the small percentage who had died from it whereas 250,000 die from cancer and so forth. Sadly, I did get the impression that I was alone in this – complimenting him on being unmasked that is.
Do compliment them, regularly, when you meet these people. The message will get through.
Same experience with the Waitrose driver. Un masked smiling and very anti lockdown. Wont give any other details its probably a sacking offence today,
I’ve only seen 1 waitrose delivery person wear a mask. I assume for lack of oxygen reasons it is not safe for them to drive masked or carry my considerably heavy gin order masked. I’m happy with that.
I don’t get deliveries but I make sure to smile at the increasing number of shop workers going exempt
I get a lot of deliveries and most are unmasked, though the place parcel and jump back is a bit weird.
Last week I asked the (unmasked) driver if he’d lift the heavy box over the threshold for me and he didn’t look too happy but the rest have been fine.
I’ve had three tradesmen here on different days this week. No masks, no abnormal distancing. Yesterday, the plumber showed me a photo on his phone.
All perectly normal!
I do, I do. And I sympathise openly and loudly with those who are forced to wear the filthy things but plainly detest them.
One of the worst things I have seen yet.
Fauci remotely indoctrinating US schoolchildren.
https://brandnewtube.com/watch/dr-fauci-tape-pushes-vaccines-onto-children-in-public-schools_HqQkDy2qK23OO25.html
I am thinking of going full “elephant man” in regard to face coverings. I think it makes a statement. Now where do I get a sack…
“I am not an animal! I am a human being! I … am … a … man!”
Careful you don’t get arrested, or set upon for not taking it seriously
I’d love to be set upon, I would be legally obliged to defend myself.
I got a linen bag off ebay for when I am forced to use a covering, 223708120295 for example.
I haven’t needed to use it yet, despite attending my hospital appointment, lung function BTW.
Isn’t this what they put over your head before a hanging?
Encouraging signs of resistance in Madrid:
Madrid’s local rulers REJECT Spanish government attempts to force the city into second full lockdown despite coronavirus cases increasing there faster than anywhere else in Europe
“‘ The decision is not valid legally,’ Madrid health chief Enrique Ruiz Escudero repeatedly told a news conference last night.
Accusing the Spanish government of ignoring signs that the outbreak is stabilising, Escudero insisted that ‘the situation is controlled’.
‘We have always anticipated the hospital capacity to contain this pandemic, and we’ve had several days for which the balance between discharges and admissions is favorable,’ he said. ‘The government is in a hurry to lock Madrid down.’
……..
Madrid is leading the resurgence of the virus in Spain and Europe. The region’s infection rate is 2.5 times higher than the national average of 294 cases and seven times higher the average rate in Europe, which is 94 per 100,000 residents.
Sanchez’s government wants to see tougher action in Madrid that does not only target working-class neighborhoods, as do existing restrictions in the parts of the city with the highest contagion rates.
But Madrid’s centre-right government argues that the citywide lockdown would further damage the economy after months of standstill.
In addition to Madrid, officials from three other regions led by conservative and center-right parties and from the separatist-ruled northeastern Catalonia rejected the government’s document at a meeting Wednesday. “
Strange – I work with a team of 6 people in Madrid daily. They don’t know anyone who has been ill.
Not really all that strange. Based on the figures quoted, the “infection rate” works out at less than 1 in 100, and assuming that means positive test results the majority of those will be false positives or asymptomatic anyway. You’d be pretty unlikely to know anyone who is actually ill.
Agreed, but I was being facetious.
Fair enough…
According to El Pais, Madrid is accepting the government edict to lockdown, but challenging it in court. My son is a Spanish speaker and says from social media, there are large protests already – gathering since around 12 local time.
“ Madrid is accepting the government edict to lockdown, but challenging it in court ”
Yes, that’s confirmed in the Mail story. Seems to be a case of obeying the law while seeking to get it overturned:
“‘ You cannot lock down everybody,’ Madrid leader Isabel Diaz Ayuso told Spanish radio today, adding: ‘I’m sure the Madrid plan is the best: quick tests, quarantines and life goes on.’
Ayuso is preparing to take the Spanish government to court but said today that Madrid is ‘not in rebellion’ and would obey the rules until they are overturned. “
My son was in Madrid in July. It was mask nightmare – all inside spaces, and rigorously enforced (you do not mess with police). Clearly that worked!
I posted this earlier but it bears repeating: A paramedic I work with in my sports medicine job had one of the home tests. He broke off the end of the swab and put it in the transport medium (all without it going anywhere near his nose or throat). Guess what? It came back positive! I think the pillar 2 (community) tests are all done by the private sector- Deloitte got the contract to organise this- and they are going to a Ct of up to 42 (Ct=cycle threshold, the point at which you decide the test is -ve or +ve). The european norm is 30. At a Ct of 42 you will get many more positives as it amplifies any stray DNA in the sample (“background noise”) and increase the percentage of positives, most of which will be false. The way round this, of course is to stop testing people without symptoms because if you are not ill, you are not a “case”!
There is no point in running a PCR testing lab if you don’t find positives is there?
I doubt that many of us will be surprised at this.
The testing regime has little relationship to real science.
Great post
Excellent pushback from the Middlesbrough mayor.
Good one from Norman Fenton, challenging the PMs claim on infection rates..
https://twitter.com/profnfenton/status/1311614123462057985
Has he been able to actually produced said statistic? Infections per 100,000 by tests carried out?
Made the mistake of reading an ultra-cringey email from university management
this morning. You can fill the bingo card with the familiar regurgitated platitudes about “safety”, “critical”, “essential”, “worrying”, “we’re all in it together”, “behave to be back to normal” etc. Then they get in the obligatory doublespeak by saying “people” now think more social activity is “anti-social” because “tolerance has diminised”.
Also, it’s supposedly inevitable more students and staff will test positive. So the safety bollocks can’t be THAT brilliant then, they must be desperate to start mass swabbing.
Bascially it’s a localised version of the cut and paste, gas-light civil sewage propaganda, no surprise given academia execs are also puppeteered shit-spouting, parasitic cunts.
Take the fight to them. You students are supposed to be the more intelligent part of society.
Back in my day … yadda yadda yadda.
Unfortunately the majority have been badly brainwashed.
I have received the text of an automatic email that will be sent in reply to students who snitch on others for breaches of social distancing and other Covid regulations in halls. It contains the following line, which throws some light on the rationale behind university decision making:
‘ please be assured that where necessary, the University will take action, including potential disciplinary action to protect both the city and University community.’
The important point is this: it is implied that the university is imposing measures on students not only, or even primarily, to protect themselves but to protect ‘the city.’
Legal eagles, do you know whether universities have a duty of care to the wider community, such that it could justify the active infliction of harm upon their own students? I take it as uncontroversial on here that university restrictions on students in the name of Covid safety do inflict emotional harm, and are likely to exacerbate the suicide risk as well as the risk of mental illness more generally.
How long before this results in fatalities? What shabby, disgusting assurances has the regime given to vice-chancellors?
Article 3 of the HRA surely applies?
I’ve emailed one uni asking how it is that schools are now open and offering in-person teaching but their lectures “for term 1” are online only. Waiting a response.
Locally second and third year students* are going home because they don’t want to get locked down here until after Xmas.
Some will no doubt be infected because wild parties so taking it home to mum and dad, and granny. Project fear has thus summoned up the worst of both worlds, nice one boris.
*Who live in shared houses, not halls of residence.
if they don’t get a test they can’t be locked down
The ONS is paying £450 for people to get tested!
if they test positive they won’t get a mortgage. long covid
Lack of mortgage: Long Covid symptom no. 174.
I have been wondering about the face coverings situation in France (and other countries). In France wearing face coverings in public places is illegal and one can be fined for doing so. In France failing to wear face coverings in public places is illegal and one can be fined for doing so.
?
Wot PoshPanic alludes to, it’s illegal to wear a veil but compulsory to wear a mask.
Could you be more explicit?
Do you mean face covering for religious reasons?
No. Whilst it is true that the 2010 law was introduced in response to the Islamic practice, France being a secular country, its parliamentarians framed the law to ban face coverings whether Islamic or not. So the virus face masks are illegal under the 2010 law and are mandatory under the coronavirus legislation.
Sitting in Parliament today, they laugh and joke with JSM, while the rest of our lives are ruined. No wonder people live with anger every day now.
Jeremy Vine show “why the Covid north south divide ! ?”
People coming up with all sort of daft ideas about why nowhere south of Solihull in England is under Special Measures.
Deprivation, unemployment, overcrowding, type of work etc. Its all bollocks.
By the time the Covid made its way up north they were already under lockdown which was instigated after Covid got busy in London.
The reappearance of the terrible Pandemic is therefore a continuation of the suppressed first wave having another pop at those hiding first time around. Just as we said it would months ago.
I think this is right. it swept through the london and the southeast and now we pretty much have reached immunity. lockdown just delayed it for some ‘hard to reach’ places
I noticed last night he was going full on sceptic. The amount of confused comments trying desperately to not admit that we’ve been had.
Glimmer of hope!
Exactly.
If I could thank you twice, Karenovirus, I would. The only thing that doesn’t fit is the South west still being relatively unaffected still but I assume that is down to population density. The other factor, which won’t be mentioned on Jeremy Vine, is race.
its where londoners have their weekend retreats. it will have been hit hard in the first wave
Well I for one don’t think people in the North are any denser than the rest of us …
Evertonians maybe.
Surely the densest population in the UK centres on Westminster, Holyrood, and Cardiff Bay?
Don’t forget Stormont! They don’t like any implication that they are not in the UK!
Yes, it’s never taken off down here in Devon and Cornwall. Mrs TJN and I often speculate on why. She thinks it’s because we all had it at the turn of the year, when there was a nasty and weird bug going round here which in retrospect caused classic covid symptoms – my private emails around New Year contain loads of references to me not being able to taste anything, so not enjoying the seasonal lunches.
It’s possible we all had it then, but I’m not fully convinced – especially as the March-May hospital curves for here appear textbook for it arriving in February. Then again there are double curves in some countries, without it being clear why (climatic conditions possibly?).
As to population density – the towns and cities in Devon and Cornwall are indeed densely populated, while of course the countryside isn’t. Sweden in miniature perhaps. One might expect Plymouth and Exeter (both university towns) to have suffered the same infection rates as comparable cities elsewhere.
My favourite theory, which I put about back in March, is that covid doesn’t like the sea air.
Except we’re not seeing a serious increase in deaths in the North East.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.28.20202028v1
SARS-CoV-2 viral load peaks prior to symptom onset: a systematic review and individual-pooled analysis of coronavirus viral load from 66 studies
SARS-CoV-2 viral load peaks prior to symptom onset and remains elevated for up to three weeks, while MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV viral loads peak after symptom onset. SARS-CoV-2, MERS-CoV, and SARS-CoV had median viral shedding durations of 4.8, 4.2, and 1.2 days after symptom onset.
So if there was an easy treatment available (HCQ or Ivermectin combined with Doxycycline/AZT and zinc ?) it should be given instantly at the time of diagnosis both for treatment and reducing virus shedding
Most certainly, (except where there is a specific contra-indication).
It’s how half the world are responding to the ‘demic.
And countries such as India use it widely as a prophylactic for health workers.
By the way, with reference to the Recovery trial loading dose of 2400mg , the BNF state:-
“Hydroxychloroquine is very toxic in overdosage; overdosage is extremely hazardous and difficult to treat. Urgent advice from the National Poisons Information Service is essential. Life-threatening features include arrhythmias (which can have a very rapid onset) and convulsions (which can be intractable).
And on recommended dose:-
200–400 mg daily, daily maximum dose to be based on ideal body-weight; maximum 6.5 mg/kg per day”
https://bnf.nice.org.uk/drug/hydroxychloroquine-sulfate.html
They can’t say they didn’t know…
HCQ is effective on its own, but also acts as a Zinc ionophore, allowing for cell membrane permeability.
And Zinc supplementation is a good idea anyway.
If one cannot access HCQ, other ionophores such as Quercetin may perform a similar role to Zinc.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4182877/
This combination has widespread potential application, not least in Oncology.
I pondered how to respond to my (Labour) MP’s non-response in yesterday’s vote in the Commons.
In the end, I felt the best response was an e-mail to the 6 Labour rebels thanking them for their principled stand, just copied to said local MP.
I didn’t think there was much point in a personal rant falling on deaf ears.
I noticed that most of the abstensions were Labour.
Given Sir Kneelalot’s constant assurance that he follows the government’s hardline lockdown approach, this is a very political statement.
Not that it helps the electorate much, of course.
I’m afraid it’s not as positive as that, Cheezila.
Labour were never going to support the government directly in this. The only question was whether members would vote against .
That only 6 did that was a massive blow to any credibility as an opposition. I was not surprised, given Starmer’s record which I have watched with interest. He is clearly an establishment shill – a safe pair of hands from their point of view who, if in four years time replaces Johnson, poses absolutely no real threat to their interests.
That was what the campaign against Corbyn was all about, going far beyond normal political clamour into the realms of propaganda that we have seen again in the Covid coverage – full of falsehood and simple omission.
I say that, not because I’m a Corbyn supporter (and he has been no sceptic in this current battle) , but as a matter of record backed by evidence – such that even right-leaning (but honest) journalists such as Peter Oborne have written extensively about the corruption behind it.
It was the parallels in BBC coverage between the two situations that originally alerted me to the fact that this ‘pandemic’ was something other than it appeared, and set me off on a trail of data-digging.
Spotted this in the comments on the Beeb website:
Good Sign, “COVID-19 PLEASE KEEP LEFT”, so people go right to avoid Covid-19
Have we flattened the curve yet?
Free beer. (Tomorrow).
Tomorrow never comes sI kept getting told as a kid “is it tomorrow yet”
From Toby’s text.
The chap whose COPD test was “not allowed ” reminds me of being requested to book a telephone appointment for my annual COPD/asthma appointment, hopefully I will be allowed to breath heavily down the phone ( oo er mrs.).
I’d be inclined to swear volubly down the phone!
My daughter had a telephone appointment for her hearing problems. I told her to say “Pardon?” and “What?” to every question.
I did that yesterday at my hospital appointment (genuine poor hearing). So the masked wonders had to abandon social distancing to talk to me. Hilarious.
My 2.5 year old son was referred to audiology just before all this started and they said they wont see him unless its urgent. So we are looking into going private as God knows how long it will take for him to get his hearing checked.
Unfortunately, going private is not that easy for under 18s. I have a BUPA policy that I’ve used for the rest of the family. A few years ago, they stopped being able to see under 18s at Spire hospitals, so unless your hearing specialist has their own facility, their only option is to see them at an NHS facility which might not be possible.
Serious question: When we have a rash of “cases” or positive PCR tests in meat packing factories, is it possible that the PCR test is picking up viral RNA from animal viruses that people have got “infected” with but that will not cause any symptoms in humans?
If you read CORONA FALSE ALAM? you will find that one researcher has tested all kinds things. One thing they tested was a Papya fruit..it tested positive.
yer I hear about the papaya and the goat testing positive.
Personally I think it’s more likely that it’s a) contaminated samples or b) genuine high prevalence of (potentially asymptomatic, largely harmless) spread due to close working conditions and regulated humidity / circulated air. We’ve similar high proportions of positives in prisons, as an example – and animal viruses are unlikely there.
Ah but Wankock said the virus is only passed on in households!
The other factor with abattoirs etc is that the workforce don’t see any sunlight, so are likely to be vitamin D deficient, and generally, in my experience, lead appallingly unhealthy lifestyles, which will further compromise their immune systems.
I think there is some evidence that such situations involve surfaces and temperatures that are conducive to the virus.
Bear in mind that the source of the virus is alleged to be from animals. There is no reason to presume that animal carcasses couldn’t have coronaviruses on/in them. The PCR test could then pick up false positive results.
Exactly. This is what I am thinking, there must be aerosols a-go-go of all kinds of animal viruses everywhere and all sorts of contact transmission handling bits of chopped-up animals all day long. These guys must be saturated in animal viruses.
Possibly, from memory cases from these factories are nearly always asymptomatic
When this happened at Toennis in Germany, I heard a doctor say especially cattle are riddled with c viruses.
These, in the meat cutting process, can enter the human body and therefore test positive.
And it seems the virus likes the slightly damp, very cool air.
URGENT HELP:
I have to ring my daughter’s school at 1.30pm to say why I object to the pressurised message in the newsletter (for the 2nd time). Here it is… any ideas what I should say?
Face masks
Although it is not a statutory requirement outside, we would urge all parents to wear a mask or face covering at school, when dropping off and collecting their children – in the car park, along the paths, in the playground and anywhere on the school grounds, as they are often closer than the recommended 2 metres. We would appreciate your co-operation, in order to protect those who are ‘vulnerable’. Thank you to those parents who have been wearing masks this week
Ignore it
This could be the best option, although all the other parents will wear and normalise it out of fear.
Can you please supply your evidence that supports your stance?
Yep! Better to challenge on the science than roll over and falsely claim exemption, in my view.
Toolkit for those who are exempt to use here
https://www.laworfiction.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Face-Covering-Exemption-Notice-with-Law-Explained-24-July-2020.pdf
Thanks, that’s helpful.
You could point out that the death rate is now so low that under normal circumstances we would not know there even was a virus.
Because with such a low death rate it would suggest that this should be a permanent policy, summer or winter, rain or shine, indefinitely and forever.
If masks worked, those wearing them would be protected!
People should be treated as adults and allowed to do their own risk assessment.
The vulnerable can choose for themselves to stand further apart. The rest should be allowed to use their common sense.
I agree. I think the Head has been pressurised by the virtue signalling mothers and teachers. So, they win power over all of the parents now as I know most people will be wearing a mask. I need the headteacher to say it is ‘choice’.
As I see it you have a few options:
Personally, I prefer to choose my battles and I choose ones I’m confident of winning. In this case I’d probably go 3 because you’re very unlikely to persuade them of the poor science supporting the regulations and people seem to be utterly unaware of the potential health issues, which is exactly why there are exemptions. This is coupled with a potential side-effect of making your childrens lives miserable.
If you feel sufficiently strongly that the principle supersedes these concerns, then arm yourself with the best literature regarding why masks are actually worse than useless. It will almost certainly fall on deaf ears either because the individuals have already convinced themselves of their efficacy or they simply upholding bureaucratic convention and it’s more than their job is worth.
If you don’t care about any of that, just ignore it.
Sorry, should be a reply to the OP, not you Cheeze
Hi all and Cicatrix… here’s my draft email…[I’m thinking that I can get away with this because of the work I do….]
Thanks for your newsletter. I felt I should share some info from a research and strategy project that I have been commissioned to do.
I was asked to review some items of public domain information, understand people’s habits, attitudes and the semiotic representations of communication in a Covid-19 environment. Here’s some top-line info re mask-wearing.
There were other aspects too, regarding the normalisation of mask-wearing etc, although I probably can’t really divulge too much more.
Just thought you may find this information useful.
What do you think?
That should do, better than a phone call. Your position is in writing.
Facemasks are just the worst thing ever……
What the hell is wrong with people????
I would go stronger. I would reference this study that says:
And argue that you are not willing to put other parents and children at increased risk.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3676570
Thanks for this. I’m going to use that link as follow up.
I’ve called office. the secretary agreed with me about all of it, off the record, and I’ve sent in that email. It will be a major win if we get a climb down…!
I’m still shaking.
I’ll report back.
THANKS SO MUCH FOR ALL YOUR HELP EVERYONE….
I have untold respect for you for pushing back on this. Good luck!
Thanks Tee Ell. I will report back. I am so grateful for the support from you all today so I could do this. CM x
“First, do no harm” / “Primum non nocere”
This is the basic tenet of the Mental Capacity Act, I have been told by my MP that the 2005 act has not been repealed or overtaken by any of the insidious legislation since March. Everyone aged 16+ is considered to have capacity unless othwise shown otherwise (very specific criteria). Note there is no upper age limit, therefore the vulnerable can also do their own risk assessment and make their own choices.
Tell them they are insane and evil to be imposing this crazy shit on you. Tell them they are seriously damaging your childs mental health. Tell them they are seriously damaging your mental health. Tell they are jeopardising the relationship you have with them and your child.Tell them wearing masks is totally corrosive to human interaction. Tell them they are fools to believe anything the government says about covid 19. Tell them that wearing masks has hardly any scientific evidence to support the effectiveness, point out that the FLU and colds rising “exponentially” so they don’t work. Tell them it’s psychological warfare..
Tell them that mask wearing will seriously damage your child’s development.
Tell them they are just total Charlies and to get to hell with their bullshit. What are they going to do about it anyway?
If only it were that simple. I’d love to. It will have ramifications for me and my daughter if I do that.
What will they do about it?
Hi CM,
I’ve written a reply to your question above.
It will have ramifications for me and my daughter if I do that.
I don’t see what they can do. I take the attitude that I am going to teach my children to stand up to nonsense and bullies.
One in particular is likely to want to do some form of adventure sports when he is older. Crucial to doing adventure sports is thinking for yourself and assessing risk, and if you don’t get it right you risk ending up in serious trouble. So I am going to be teaching him these things from as early as he is able to learn.
Sorry, Two-Six, but ranting will have absolutely no effect other than to reinforce the ‘conspiracy theorist’ image.
To be honest I could do better than a rant. Honestly but my sentiments are right here. These fools need to hear the truth about masks in clear plain language.
Why should you have to explain yourself? If mask wearing is not a statutory requirement, you are by definition not required to do it.
I agree. I just hate that all the parents will now wear one! Not just about me….
I’ve printed one of my Everyone Dies posters and put in my car window so that the people at school can see it. I’m rather expecting to get my window smashed at some point, but at least the car’s insured.
Goods Poster, I am going to print out a few of them and laminate them and stick em up in places…
As been said it’s not statutory, so don’t worry your kids will be proud they have such a brave mother .Better to see them off to school with a smile.
“Please cite any RCT evidence (or any meta-study) that clearly indicates that face masks have any use in situations such as this.”
Thanks, I might do that….
I guess that if you wanted to be more pointed, you might suggest that one of the areas of education that you expect for your children is scientific literacy and the ability to distinguish between evidence and assumption.
Like it!
Got at least 42 links to studies that show they don’t.
Did they quote ‘vulnerable’ or did you do that?
That is word for word what is in newsletter. What are your thoughts?
I would suggest that if they know that there are vulnerable people on site, they should tell those vulnerable people not to come to the school.
We are each responsible for our own safety. If a vulnerable person ventures out into this pandemic-scourged country of ours (ha!), that is their choice and their risk.
This exactly. This idea that everyone is responsible for the safety of everyone else is completely absurd and we should never allow this principle to go unchallenged. At any time in your life, you could have been responsible for the death of any number of “vulnerable” people simply by going about your business while having the flu or even the common cold. People should be responsible for their own health and not expect the entire population to virtually cease normal living in order for them to be “safe”.
I replied below with my opinion, but I found it weird to quote ‘vulnerable’ in this case. Quoting a single word like that usually means it someone else’s opinion and not necessarily your own. Like you don’t believe it or something.
However, vulnerable people (i.e. those susceptible to Covid) really should not be on site.
Either ignore it, or say as it is not a statutory requirement you will make your own assessment of risk and act appropriately.
Why do you have to call them? What will happen if you don’t?
Give me the phone number and I will call the fuckers up.
I am very tempted to give you the number Two – Six.. very tempted.
give me an email if you like perhaps I seriously can talk to them for you.
two-six@twang.co.uk
I promise I wont swear at them or shout. I could probably hypnotise them.
Give us the phone number and we can ALL call the fuckers up
I range to speak to someone and they said call back after lunch. My blood was boiling. I think I need to back away from the phone.
I would back away for a bit and think about a response. Feel more and more lucky about my son’s school. Seems sceptical and full of sceptical parents. I suspect lockdown zealots would take the view that parents willing to pack their children off to boarding school at 8 are clearly callous and uncaring so this would explain it!
The evidence for transmission outdoors is conclusive in that it is incredibly rare. Chinese research spotted 2 in 7000 cases back in the early stages. Current studies of 25k cases in a recent review found a tiny number of cases.
Plus the whole point of wearing masks is to prevent droplet expulsion and tiny aerosol transmission. Outdoors the chances of being exposed to a large viral load is just miniscule.
If the school believes this is protecting the vulnerable it is totally misguided. How many over 75 year olds pick up children from school? There is a complete misunderstanding on relative risk and vulnerability (unhelpfully perpetrated by the government). https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2521-4_reference.pdf?referringSource=articleShare
At the end of the day I think more people will be on your side than you imagine. Cite severe distress and carry on with a smile.
I agree with everything you say, but I do not think you will be able to persuade them of that irrespective of any literature you qoute. This is now about emotion and social convention, not rational thinking.
Early on in this escapade, I was astonished at the policies getting people to stay in doors. I’ve long thought that policy alone exacerbated risk by people getting less sunlight, less fresh air and less exercise.
In case I am asked… (and I should have asked you earlier), please can you send any links for the 25k studies and the Chinese research. Thanks
To my mind the school only has a responsibility to managing the students in school time, on school premises not you as a parent at drop off/pick up. The school or head is completely overstepping the mark in its request, and you are not obliged to comply. Is there not an education director or governing body you can make a complaint to? Then you would not need to interact directly with the head. I think you will find that request is removed pretty darn quickly. Hold your head high lovey, keep the faith.
Thank you… awaiting next steps, will report back…
Don’t wear a face mask but wear a yellow star of david
If it’s anything like my daughters old primary school, then reply, asking if the parents wearing masks, will also stop parking outside the school gates, creating a death trap.
We’ve had almost the same from our daughter’s primary school (Deepest Devon). She started a month ago, and we got the email saying we’re supposed o wear muzzles when dropping off/picking up. So the headmaster got a stiff 800 word email back saying why we would not be wearing muzzles, to which we quickly got a lengthy reply which boiled down to ‘ok, but drop your child off a bit later to avoid everyone’, which I ignore.
I’m the only parent who doesn’t wear a muzzle, and I don’t care. If my child looks at me she is going to see my face .
So my advice is just ignore it.
A couple of weeks ago I posted an anecdote on here, which I’ll repost here:
End of my little girl’s first fortnight at school. Headmaster’s instructions that all parents dropping off children are to wear muzzles. I’m the only parent who doesn’t.
Today as she was going in, she seemed a bit reluctant – the first time this has happened. She looked back at me for reassurance. And saw my face . And then when in ok.
In that little instant an awful lot came home to me.
Fuck Johnson, Hancock, Fergusson, Whitty, the WHO, the whole damned lot of them.
Yes TJN, I am with you. I am un-muzzled and my face is my reassurance for my daughter too. Thank you
Mrs TJN and I are united on this. I said to her that it is possible that some parents may never speak to us again. We are both fine with that.
Make up your own mind, stick to your guns, and all will be well in he end. And in the fullness of time it will garner the most respect, and will be a good example to the children. That’s my view on this.
Couldn’t agree more TJN. You are parenting your child with your values and morals, not the governments. Having the courage of your convictions teaches your child to be resilient, confident and an independent thinker.
Thanks GdU.
I hope Country Mumkin sees your post.
Challenge them. Please ask them to provide the scientific facts and research. Point out their inevitable discriminating against non-mask wearers given it is not statutory requirement.
Then challenge them on the findings of a Charity for Children in Germany (Kinder für Weltfrieden) that had a child’s mask tested after 8 hrs in school by a lab and the results were 82 bacterial colonies and 4 fungi on the mask – please ask them to provide a Risk Assessment conducted for
mandatory mask wearing that will ensure a child’s health in light of those findings.
Next up point to 35,600 teachers being tested in Hessen / Germany since start of school year and only 4!!! have tested positive so where is the hysteria in schools coming from?
I’ll send the links also to TY – people are just losing their shit atm.
Thanks, that’s really great to hear. I’d love to see those links. I need as much back up going forward as I can. I have sent email and I await response. Will report back.
Haven’t read all the posts so may have missed it if someone has already posted. But Siman Dolan has Tweeted that he is applying for an urgent hearing and injunction. Case should be heard next week.
https://twitter.com/simondolan/status/1311617186776088578
That’s great news.
My objection to having to claim exemption from mask wearing is as strong as my objection to actually wearing them. Both are forms of compliance.
Absolutely – I’ve managed to avoid shopping at my local Sainsburys for weeks at a time, and on the last visit I went in muzzle-less. I didn’t have any problems on that occasion, although I spent the entire time avoiding eye-to-eye contact as the sight of dozens of zombies freaks me out. But having read in the comments here that JS are getting more aggressive towards “Non Compliance”, I’ve just printed out an exemption card. However, having put it on, and looked in the mirror, I’m even more depressed. Why the hell should I have to walk around wearing a badge declaring I’m “exempt” from a ludicrous regulation? I might as well go in with a flashing blue light on my head… There is still the risk of “jumpers” treating me as some sort of freak show, whether wearing a badge or not. Reluctantly, I will put on a muzzle, but it will only cover my mouth – I’m dammed if I’m going to suffer hypoxia & hypercapnia, plus the other risks of re-breathing any “ordinary” germs I might have.
Which, of course, is EXACTLY what Bojo & Twatcock want.
Bastards, utter F***ing Bastards…
You don’t have to wear it ,just keep in pocket and only show if asked by staff .Iv’e never once been asked in a supermarket to show a card .
I feel the same but I don’t want to get fined. A valid exemption is that wearing a mask would cause you distress. Well, bowing to tyranny does indeed cause me distress so I rationalize it that way.
I agree to this. I dislike the idea of asking permission. The principle in England and throughout the British Commonwealth is, or ought to be, if it is not against the law you can do it.
This derives from the one prohibition in the garden of Eden, ‘for one restraint, lords of the world beside’ as Milton so eloquently put it.
It is also the basis of the ten commandments. I used to think that it was a bad idea that most of the commandments were negative; I do not think so now. The most effective way of controlling people is to tell them what they CAN do, the implication being that they can’t do anything that is not on the list.
The best way of controlling the EU would have been to give the EU commission a VERY short list of what they CAN do, not a very long list of what they can’t do.
Ever since masks were made mandatory on public transport, we have tossed this question about between ourselves. Not wearing a mask is non-negotiable for us but should we claim our legitimate health exemptions? This is especially because our objection to them is on the grounds that they are an obvious psy-op, a tool of control and enforced obedience, separation and demoralisation.
Early on, I sent off for some ‘Euan’ badges and printed out the Govt exemption cards and made lanyards but we didn’t use them (we hardly ever use a bus nowadays anyway.) When shops were added in, we easily saw off two rather sad people in supermarkets who had a little go at us.
However, we were persuaded by a post from ‘Margaret’ on here that wearing them could help people who should be exempt but who either didn’t realise it or who were unsure how it worked. I have printed out quite a few cards for people. We’ve ended up in a compromise situation where we wear them to supermarkets but not anywhere else.
When I posted, above, that even slogan-bearing masks were a form of compliance, I meant no offence to the people who wear them. Everyone has to pick their battles. I do not even blame people who wear masks because they are obliged to by employers or who are scared of being fined. As for virtue-signallers, ‘for ye have the virtue-signallers always with you.’ However, it does not alter the fact that wearing a mask, for whatever reason, is compliance – that’s a fact and not a judgement.
When it comes to exemptions, I think that the waters are muddier. I am not remotely offended by people on here who say I am compliant when I wear my badge and I often feel like making my own yellow star to wear and having done with it. That is no longer a joke, by the way! However, is it compliance, exactly? There is no requirement to wear a badge or lanyard and even the bastard Govt says you need only say you are exempt without giving any more reason. No shopkeeper or store goon can ask you for a ‘medical certificate’ or other such nonsense. So either I am wearing a badge as a kind of ‘coward’s way out’ of confrontation with goons or other members of the public (not true) or I continue to wear it to model that exemptions exist (true but wearing thin in these increasingly hysterical times.) In other words, I’m not sure of my ground any more but we may carry on for the time being, keeping open minds.
However we do it, I believe that as much non-compliance as we can manage with any of it is the only way to combat this. That and trying to talk to people, leaflets, posters, whatever we can do. As someone else said on here, no political hero is going to gallop in on his/her charger and save us. There is no cavalry, only us, resisting as best we can.
At the same time, I have complete sympathy with those people on here who have withdrawn from society and I read their posts with a heavy heart. I absolutely detest shopping now and being among the ‘zombies’ brings me perilously close to losing it. We used to enjoy the sociability of High Peak buses but no longer. Trains are ghastly. Like everyone else, we are struggling to get health and dental care and we have lost our whole social and cultural life. Many of our sceptical shop-keeping friends have been forced into masks at work and even patronising local cafes is likely to be more fraught owing to the T&T requirements.
I avoid phoning or emailing life-long friends because I know our views are more-or-less shocking to many of them. I sense that even fellow-sceptics are beginning to lose heart as this situation escalates. We are losing all motivation to practise our instruments and we take refuge in walking, cycling and reading (anything and everything), trying not to drink too much:-) and following sites like this and Off-Guardian. James Corbett’s ‘Report’ is an outstanding resource and he has been predicting everything we’re going through for years. We also like UK Column but don’t agree with everything they say.
Anyway, Please excuse my usual rambling but I know you will understand. We can whinge but at least we still have a roof over our heads, heating and food (so far). We almost certainly need to get out in the hills and on our bikes and get our ‘banjos’ (actually viola, cello and piano) out. So if you don’t hear from me/us for a few days, we won’t have gone under as we’re tough old sods but we’ll be out there, trying to regain our mojo, starting with a trip to the New Mills cafe on our bikes very shortly. I will phone some mates as well. Good luck and stay strong, fellow sceptics! MW
Wearing my sunflower lanyard on public transport has meant that people look away even those who glare at me. I think its because they’re afraid of being hit back with a possible charge against harassing a person with disability.
At work it becomes a conversation starter especially for people who aren’t aware that they can be exempt and where to get them.
Thanks. Very interesting and well written post.
https://blogs.mercola.com/sites/vitalvotes/archive/2020/09/28/researchers-are-genetically-modifying-anthrax-and-combining-it-with-sarscov2.aspx
Researchers Are Genetically Modifying Anthrax and Combining It With SARS-CoV-2
Maybe the second virus that Gates was smirking about
Why.
What could possibly go wrong?
The new measures announced today for the north-east are not going down well. The Mayor of Middlesbrough, Andy Preston, has said ‘Right now I do not accept the government’s intended restrictions because they are based on ignorance’.
That’s good news. If more local government stalwarts are turning around and saying NO! then its a good thing
He also said ‘the government’s announcement [was] based on factual inaccuracies and a frightening lack of communication’.
Labour lost control of Middlesbrough council in 2019 and the make up of the council is now 23 Independent, 20 Labour, 3 Conservative.
Well I’m very surprised at this (I live just outside the Middlesbrough local government area). Not long ago he was on about handing out free face nappies to every household, and gagging for restrictions to be brought in.
Any further details on this?
According to Ben Houchen (Tees Valley mayor) the government approved requests from local leaders for the restrictions so presumably some of the Independents joined up with Labour.
Preston reckons that talks are ongoing and as it stands, nothing changes. It seems the restrictions don’t take effect until the weekend.
If it’s anything like Durham then there will be no council oversight. We were put into lockdown due to the decision of the Council Leader and the Chief Exec wanting to join in with the other local councils. The Cabinet hadn’t known anything about it.
Don’t know how the Mayoral issue changes things in Tees Valley and Middlesbrough.
Thanks for that. So at national and local level it seems that a very small number of people are running this whole thing.
Written to him with my DHSC FOI answer about how useless PCR tests are.
My friend lives there, he’s seeing his mate who is the local councillor and they will be discussing my letter (friend has sent a copy to the councillor) and to see if he needs any more info.
Will update you as I hear anything.
I also sent it to the Mayor of Liverpool.
here it is:
https://1drv.ms/t/s!Agv7JEO8MngCiUrDjYnWO1U0p7K_
Wasn’t he the one who closed the parks and has whinged about the numbers of unmuzzled in supermarkets?
On reading Tenchy’s comment that sounds about right.
If I were to adopt a son, I’d call him Andy Preston in this man’s honour.
Irrelevant thought: is the Mayor of Preston called Andy Middlesborough??
The way to encourage people to complete long surveys is to pay them a token amount, but if badly implemented that can train people to say what they think you want to hear. My memory of Panelbase surveys is that ‘screening questions’ were often used to determine whether you got to take the full survey, and if you were screened out you didn’t get the payment, just an entry into a prize draw. You learnt pretty sharpish that if you were asked about household income, a low number or refusal to disclose it would usually get you kicked out.
Mr Bart and I used to do surveys for the likes of Ipsos Mori and Valued Opinions and what you’ve said pretty much tallied with our experiences. You also got kicked out if you refused to give your post code and in some surveys refused to reply what TV region (is that still a thing?) you lived in.
If Boris came on the TV this evening and said to the British public “face masks are no longer required, however, there is a caveat”. “To protect the public from this terrible disease of which 99.98 people survive, you must smear a thin layer of Dog sh*t on your top lip”. “It does not matter which breed of dog the sh*t has come from, as long as it is fresh from the dogs’ arse”.
I firmly believe a great portion of the British public would do this without question.
Yes, and don’t forget that you’ve got to paint your left kneecap purple and wear a traffic cone on your head.
Forgot to mention that :).
What shade of purple? I wouldn’t want to go for pale lilac if the recommendation is for bright violet. I have my virtue signalling credentials to consider.
Try ultraviolet.
I have been wearing a traffic cone on my head since March and have not caught Covid, could be something in it.
The parameters of allowed dissent would be to do with heated arguments in the media about which breed of dog produced the most effective sh*t.
Ha, Ha, spot on :).
The bigger the better, judging by the piles which our local dog emptiers leave for us.
But wait, what about Toxocara canis? Which would win the scare olympics?
Covid or Toxocara?
Bull(dog) sh*t should work.
I hope you have a butt plug to insert for when it is announced that transmission by fart is now a thing!
You mean like this:
Wouldn’t want to put this to the test, but I think I might sooner get used to smelling dog shit than covering my nose and mouth with a horrid piece of cloth.
Sadly I think masks are here to stay for a very long time, and may indeed become a permanent feature of “normal” dress code.
I will not comply under any circumstances, nor will I give such an egregious assault any credence by attempting to claim an exemption. In order to uphold this principle, and as I do not drive, I cannot do any of the following things:
Use public transport
Visit family or friends
Socialise in pubs or restaurants
Shop in stores
Work in an office
Visit any other indoor public spaces (to be expanded to everywhere outdoors I’m certain)
In other words, this is total exclusion from civil society (which no longer exists in my opinion, so is a vanishingly small price to pay).
Yep. This is clearly the trajectory.
Ever noticed anyone ask the government how they intend to unwind the legislation when such mythical time occurs?
No. None of those high profile journalists in the MSM ever ask that question, nor any other searching question.
This is the future that awaits regarding the vaccine.
My thoughts exactly. In which case this is a very useful “warm up” exercise for that ghastly eventuality. The difference will be that there will be a larger number of people on our side, albeit still a minority.
Be careful of the term civil scoiety it has been co-opted by tptb to mean the quango strata betwixt (word of the day) public servants, charity/ngo and government. Frequently you will find Royal Societies at work as civil society effectively acting as lobbying groups for the small influencials within in positions of power.
I know you weren’t at all implying you are a common purpose graduate sitting in a cosy position ready to network with civil society when the call comes.
Just saw an opportunity to point out how broken democracy is. I hooe no offence caused – not intended!!
None taken! I agree it is a rather academic phrase, perhaps “society” alone suffices. I t has been suspended indefinitely r egardless of how we describe it.
It has. I agree. A pedantic outing by me.
Good post, although I have no compulsion about claiming exemption if I’m challenged. Was challenged in Screwfix yesterday, I said ‘exempt’, and the guy looked back at me with the expression ‘like hell you are’, to which I returned an unflinching look.
Thing is, we can all legitimately claim ‘exempt’. Government guidelines say you don’t have to wear one if it causes ‘severe distress’ (it would to me) or in order to ‘avoid … the risk of harm or injury’ (which applies to everyone – they are germ rebreathers and raise the level of CO2 above the limit of what would be considered acceptable in a normal work environment).
But you are right, we are slowly being excluded from everyday society – unless something cracks first.
I wish I had similar fortitude. Being around anyone wearing a mask, even simply passing them in the street, makes me feel physically sick. I know this is a dereliction of my duty to show resistance, but feel those who have accepted the mark are already beyond redemption.
Yep, they make me feel sick too. They absolutely disgust me.
I feel exactly as you do. I have retreated to our country home and just listed our city place and hope to sell it while the real estate market seems to be buoyant. The masks did it for me, and each trip I have to make back to the city it just gets worse. Some of my retreat from so-called civil society is no great loss, and I find workarounds where I can. Thankfully family is fine and we get together normally, as is the case with most of our friends. I’m enjoying the relative freedom of life in the country, but am sad that the city I love is going to shit. Hopefully someone more optimistic will buy our place there! Whatever our personal degrees of freedom and tolerance for civil disobedience, we must try to live as best we can and do what we can to bring an end to the insanity.
Just received a reply from my MP (Vicky Foxcroft, Lab):
More than I was expecting, not sure what else they can do, given the Government has effectively sidelined Parliament.
At least you got a proper reply. But, to be harsh – it’s weasel words, and ducks any confrontation with the government narrative.
“ Throughout the COVID-19 crisis, Labour has sought to be a critical friend to the Government.”
Now why did a certain image spring to mind? – of somebody standing at the top of an aircraft’s steps, waving a bit of paper and declaring ‘Peace in Our Time’?
Yes, that is an odd position for the Opposition to take. They are not challenging the main narrative. Perhaps they will try to at least bring control back to Parliament, but it might be too late for that.
“Labour has sought to be a critical friend to the Government.”
LOL! When we desperately needed an opposition, they decided instead to be a “critical friend”. And the criticism was all directed to screaming at the government to panic more, be more hysterical, do more damage.
Exactly this!
Appeasers / enablers.
pathetic, exactly the same as voting for the extension
I reckon the ‘cases’ will have plateaued in a week or 2
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases
cases by date reported
the government will say its the restrictions but its just following the same trajectory as wave 1 which wasn’t affected by the restrictions and followed the same trajectory as sweden
Written to the 24 MPs who voted NO yesterday.
E-mail here including all their contact e-mails:
https://1drv.ms/t/s!Agv7JEO8MngCiUmC5zADp_I16OYp
Some of the highlights:
“Although I am not a constituent of yours I thought I would write and say thank you for voting NO yesterday and for your efforts to return democracy, freedom and accountability to this country once again.
You have put your country above party politics and self-interest.
This is more than the craven, supine and cowardly MPs who did not vote but sat it out and those MPs who voted YES I do not know what words to describe them, treasonous possibly.”
I then put in about no response from the PM, Ministers, MPs etc on questions, items about the definition of treason in the 1351 and 1848 acts, Whitty on the 21st July, how the coronavirus legislation was introduced, how the CMO’s statement on 30th January was really prophetic, the hamster mask study, the PCR test FOI answer and the complaint to the standards commissioner and told them they could use this info all they wanted.
Then to finish:
“Hopefully these questions and the lack of responses will be helpful to you bringing this totalitarian, fascist dictatorship to heel and restore democracy once again.
I feel justified to call them this because of the similarities that those with disabilities that prevent them from wearing a face covering are having to face and deal with daily just like the Jews were subjected to in 1930s Germany. My wife and I have both experienced this first hand.
Feel free to use is e-mail and information it contains as you like and if you would like more information about these items or facts and figures that show that the Government is not “following the science”, is not “following the data” and that rips apart the fallacy that masks work and they actually do more harm both physically and psychologically then please do not hesitate to contact me.
Yours sincerely
AKA Awkward Git”
Very well put. Thanks for all your hard work Awkward Git.
Seconded.
Thirded.
Congratulations AG.
Well done .
So, according to the React study 1 in 200 in the UK have C-19. That works out as a total of 335,000 people. If you assume that people will test positive for 10 days, that suggests 33,500 people are being infected per day. So unless the daily death number rises in the next couple of weeks to c. 335 per day the IFR is below 1% – if it stays at anything like 40 it suggests it’s c. 0.1%. Back-of-the-fag-packet calculations, I know, but it’ll be interesting to see if the daily death figures bear out the predictions of many sceptics that the IFR is far lower than that claimed by lockdown proponents.
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/10/01/dont-let-covid-kill-off-democracy/
Another good one from Spiked.
The MSM seems to have adopted a decidedly supine policy of ‘ roll me over, lay me down and do it again’.
The Periodic Fables issued by the Gang of Three go unchallenged, leaving any dissent to the likes of Spiked and the splendid Andrew Doyle.
Finally, another friend has imposed stricter house arrest on herself, because of the Covid Rules.
They may not kill off democracy. But a number of people have a view on the type of democracy that we need to “upgrade” to.
https://billtotten.wordpress.com/2020/09/30/how-democratic-is-china/
Saturday 10th October
Holyrood.
It’s getting really stupid here on LS.
The daily denouncement of “conspiracy theorists” is sounding more and more like the MSM every day. Sorry to have to break it to this site, but the “conspiracy theories” that were so derided are now fully true. Yes, you will need a vaxx to travel, using a CovidPass. Yes, they are gong to put a small chip in your body with the shot. Yes, 5G is bad for you. Yes, the government uses false flags all the time to achieve its goals. Yes, C19 is a false flag.
Yes, the RNA vaccine will indeed change you on a genetic level, permanently. Yes, the lockdown was planned, and has been for literally decades. Documents are everywhere proving this. Forced vaccines? Last year it was Fake News, now it’s the reality we live in.
LS has GOT to STOP with this abject ignorance. If they’d just open their minds and do the research, they’d find that the conspiracy theorists have been the only people telling the truth this whole time.
The term “conspiracy theorist” was actually invented to discredit whistleblowers and leakers. Using that term means you side with the same government you’re railing against over the lockdowns. THEY started the fake pandemic. THEY planned the lockdown. THEY are the ones doing the lying and obfuscating.
And the LS desperation for the government merely to be inept and not evil, is sad. I know, you don’t want to find out like the rest of us that even at a local level the participation in the plandemic is full. This goes from the bottom to the top, the only difference is in how much those at each level are allowed to know. Your small town Mayor just knows he’ll get reelected no matter what, but isn’t privy to the whole plan. Your state Governor is most definitely in on the plan, however.
LS, please, please stop embarrassing yourselves with this endless attack on “conspiracy theorists.” This site wouldn’t even exist if there wasn’t already a culture of dissent and skepticism; we’re usually the ones who break the news sometimes years before the mainstream.
Even now I still don’t see any correct or critical coverage of vaccines here. Sad.
Get with it, LS!!!!
Are you referring to the stuff above the line, or the comments? The comments are many and varied and reflect various shades of opinion, but are pretty united in the core message that the measures taken are damaging and disproportionate, which in the first instance is I think the case we need to convince people of.
I don’t often read the stuff above the line. TY is on the “incompetence” side of the fence, but I don’t see why that’s such a huge problem. He’s only one man. LS is not a political partym with policies.
One forum can’t be all things to all people, but there are more areas of agreement than disagreement on this site. I like to think of us all as sceptics along a continuum, with government ineptitude on one end and plandemic on the other. In the end, we are all fighting against the same tyranny no matter how you believe it came to be. We can each choose to read and/or respond to individual posts, so simply skip over those that don’t resonate rather than creating in-fighting that doesn’t serve the greater cause. By definition, a forum devoted to sceptics will attract a wide range of people with different backgrounds, education levels, political leanings, etc., but we are all critical thinkers who can rise above differences and foster an environment of mutual respect. Let’s not devolve and become what we detest — just as there is no “the science” maybe there is no one explanatory framework for what has happened and there are those who have used Covid as a means of furthering certain causes (i.e., a green recovery, vaccination agendas) aided by hapless politicians who simply want to stay in power. We can all be right, but in the end restoring our freedoms and way of life is worth fighting for and we need everyone on board.
“Yes, you will need a vaxx to travel, using a CovidPass. Yes, they are gong to put a small chip in your body with the shot. Yes, 5G is bad for you. Yes, the government uses false flags all the time to achieve its goals. Yes, C19 is a false flag.
Yes, the RNA vaccine will indeed change you on a genetic level, permanently. Yes, the lockdown was planned, and has been for literally decades. Documents are everywhere proving this. Forced vaccines? ”
If you seriously believe all this, then you need to go talk to somebody very quickly because your brain is filtering things to fit a narrative.
Of course you don’t have to listen to me, but if you do you’ll end up feeling a lot better.
Things are annoying and there is a mass hysteria going on, but trying to justify another type of emotional panic over nothing doesn’t help.
Time to drink deep at the well of rationality and stop seeing demons at every corner. We’re better as a species when the rational half keeps the other half in check.
It is scary how relentless the moves towards previously unimaginable measures are.
Now we are told we will not be allowed to return to normal for another year, even with a “vaccine”.
i have some experience of the Governments ruthlessness and duplicity as I have researched vaccine damage (because I used to work for a disability charity for people with CFS/ME)
It is now almost certain that a third of these patients are suffering from vaccine damage (myelitis) I have followed the research, and can see that children with autism are damaged through the same process.
This has been known to the people at the top of the DoH for at least thirty years, and nothing has been done to help these young people (British citizens all) In the mean time, to keep the pharma profits up they carried on injuring their own people
We has children paralysed and suicides. The government do not give a f…k!
When the conclusive evidence came out I wrote to all my MEPs and MPs and no one would do anything.
It is almost a relief to me to see what is happening now, because I can tell you that for the past three years this knowledge has been a huge burden to me.
I felt like someone who had come back from a concentration camp and could not persuade anyone else that they existed. No-one was able to understand the medical evidence, but mainly, no one was interested. People are so complacent and ignorant. For Ch…ts sake you only need basic biological knowledge!
People have got to wake up.
I saw what they did to the disabled. Now they will do it to you.
https://twitter.com/Tobias_Ellwood/status/1310986075343642624?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
From one of the horses mouth re vaccine for travel…..
Strong statement from Dawn Butler:
https://www.dawnbutler.org.uk/news/statement-following-coronavirus-act-vote/
Thanks for that.
Is there any MP who has said:
“I don’t believe these measures were necessary in March and they certainly aren’t needed now.”
It all seems to be couched in language that says “we gave them the benefit of the doubt in March, and it’s important to keep trying to control the virus but this isn’t the best way of doing it.
pretty much the same as everyone on this site who still keep looking at irrelevant data trying to make sense of FPR’s and percentages. Not to mention all the letter writers!!
Cannot escape their paradigm prisons!
I think most on this site who are looking at data are doing it with the intention of discrediting the government and their supporters, not because we think any of it matters much per se
I think they are well past the point of discredit by now don’t you.
Maybe it gives people comfort or something, like lying down under a wooden table in the event of a nuclear blast!
No comfort, just exploring ways to present the sceptic case – if you can use the govts own figures to show non-sceptics that the govt is talking nonsense, you may make progress
I doubt any MP would say that. Whether any thought it, I don’t know.
There will have be to a journey from “we need to control the virus but this isn’t the best way of doing it” to “it cannot be controlled meaningfully, and attempts to do so are futile and damaging”.
Good for her! I don’t usually agree with much of what she says, but her statement shows she has the courage of her convictions.
Never thought I would say this about Dawn Butler but good for her!
“Cross-reactive SARS-CoV-2 peptides revealed pre-existing T cell responses in 81% of unexposed individuals.”
Yet Chris Whitty still doesn’t want to accept that t-cell immunity is a thing.
Thanks for the link.Very interesting.As this is from Germany,Dr Fauci will only believe it if it is reproduced in the US before changing tack about herdimmunity levels(if that ever happens!)
quick question
if 10% of the population have an IFR of 1% and 90% are just immune, is the population IFR ‘1% but 90% are immune’ or is it ‘0.1%’. ie an infection fatality ratio is the people that died divided by the people that are infected. what about those that don’t even bother getting infected but have been exposed?
If 100 get infected and one dies, it is 1% or 0.01. You can ignore immunity entirely.
Of course, in calculating the IFR those fatalities actually have to have resulted from the infection in question.
Counting cancer, heart attacks or falling off trucks is cheating.
but what if 90 are exposed but don’t get infected?
I want to know if Ferguson will say ‘our 0.9% IFR was correct, its just that 90% of people don’t even get infected after exposure. but thats the correct IFR for those that do’. what is the definition of ‘infected’? is someone who is exposed and fights it off within minutes infected or not infected?
Then you’re referring to a susceptibility rate / immunity ratio or whatever.
My view: They were infected but will most likely be asymptomatic… so they’d be part of the IFR statistic but not the CFR statistic.
Or to put it another way “population IFR” isn’t a thing. Maybe you could define a “population fatality rate” which might be derived from a composite of what you know about the “population susceptibility level” and “infection fatality rate”. Just my understanding by the way, I’m no epidemiologist so take with a pinch of salt.
I’m not an epidemiologist , I just think its a definition thing and I cant find the definition. I think (rightly or not) of CFR, IFR and EFR where EFR is ‘exposure fatality ratio’ – we are all going to be exposed and some will die but some are not susceptible. I just don’t know whether IFR pertains to the susceptible population or the whole population.
It doesn’t pertain to either is my understanding. It says “if you are infected, this is the chance of dying” so of course it presupposes that you must have been susceptible.
I think that’s the distinction between this and the EFR as you say i.e. the EFR would relate to the general population, made up of some people who are susceptible and some who exhibit some level of immunity. Of course the tricky thing is that susceptibility is not an immutable quality, it could change at an individual or population level and is not binary. This is part of the reason I really like the modelling approach taken by e.g. Gabriela Gomes, since it attempts to factor this in.
so ferguson might have his 0.9% correct, but he had susceptible at 80% rather than 10%?
I agree with the 80% / 10% point (I’d argue it should be more like 15 – 30%), but I don’t think he had the 0.9% correct – I think he used 0.9% as the IFR and he should have been using 0.9% or less as the CFR, which would make IFR lower. This probably explains it better than I can https://drmalcolmkendrick.org/2020/09/04/covid-why-terminology-really-matters/
I think the IFR is far lower than the 0.9% Ferguson used and I think he just used early poor data that fitted with his well known prejudices. I don’t think he muddled up CFR and IFR though – Imperial College is bad but not that bad
I fully agree actually, good clarification.
Most of this type of discussion completely ignores the fact that both IFR and CFR percentages are not static.
Both have inexorably declined over the lifetime of this virus outbreak, and are continuing to do so.
PCR tests outcomes should be completely ignored for any calculation of fatality rate.
At a very simple level, if a national survey was undertaken tomorrow, it would probably reveal that 25-35% are seropositive for SARS-CoV-2, And another 40% would have SARS-CoV-2 specific memory T-cells, without being seropositive.
And personally I think those percentages are conservatively low.
That would mean that 70% (about 45m) of the population have at some time been exposed to / or infected by (whichever you prefer) the virus.
(And those 70% will now have achieved acquired immunity .)
There will also be a further percentage that have already have a degree of cross-reactive T-cell immunity from past exposure to coronaviruses, but have not yet been exposed to SARS-CoV-2, and so are excluded from the calculation.
And we have a total mortality figure of 42k.
That comes out at an IFR of 0.09%
If one takes the view that half of the deaths were completely or primarily due to something else, then you would halve that and have 0.045%
(IFR includes all undiagnosed and asymptomatic exposures)
CFR would be considerably higher, because it is generally defined as cases confirmed by presentation of symptoms and / or by a proper diagnostic test. Not PCR!
Tim Bidie just highlighted this article from 29 th Sept about the severe problems in current testing in the UK
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30453-7/fulltext#%20
Now 30 th Sept it was published on the other side of the pond this
Rethinking Covid-19 Test Sensitivity — A Strategy for Containment
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2025631
Can’t be a coincidence that in two of the most prestigious journals serious article about the current testing regimes both in UK and US both discussing asymptomatic uninteresting cases. Must have some consequences in both countries. The US article is however authored by a test and mask fanatic, Mina, but at least he is absolutely opposed to the current testing arrangements. But he wants more efficient immediate test doing repeatedly so still in Project fear.
Just had a “Welcome to 3rd Year Law” online lecture and feeling very glum.
First eye roll when the head lecturer said “you’re actually all very lucky to be studying law in a time like this.” I’d say spending 9k to sit in my room and have a substandard, gutted university experience doesn’t class me as lucky. It isn’t even an interesting time for law as the concept of rule of law is practically nonexistent in Covid Britain.
Then the news that even if there is any improvement in the covid situation, exams and teaching is to remain mostly online through the whole academic year. I have 1 hour of in person teaching a week which is a joke. But “hopefully” we might get a graduation but that “is not a guarantee and is subject to public health advice” so it can be assumed graduation is a write off as well.
Face masks mandatory in tutorials as the rooms aren’t large enough to maintain distance. The Uni is operating a tier of what subjects can be done in person. Medical studies at the top to remain open even if a spike in cases occur but humanities and law solidly at the bottom. This means if there is even a slight spike in cases at the university, law will go all online for the rest of the semester. If the halls situation in other universities is anything to go by then I doubt in person teaching will last long at all for my course.
Told not to worry about our employability after we graduate though because law firms hire for positions years in advance and hopefully by 2022 we’ll be back to normal. Doubtful that this will be the case if the economy is given no chance to recover.
Overall, a very depressing experience. Worst part is that most of the law students support this. Disheartening to see that the future of the legal profession lacks any critical thinking or perspective but here we are.
Oh but you are! Oh so lucky so very lucky indeed. The man said so. It be so. I say the man is having a little bit of a round robin gaslight of you all. You lucky things, see how even the greatest professor brain cells are asleep at the controls. Try him out over the risk assesment he’s complicit with by excluding your in-person learning experience.
Universities must be one of the worst villains of all this.
They aren’t going to come out of this unscathed. Sadly, the ones that have been the biggest villains (hello Imperial) are the least likely to face an existential crisis.
If it’s any consolation most major firms are still hiring as normal. If that is where you are heading and if things are back to the office by the time you join, you will be better off than the poor sods I am trying to develop and supervise via zoom. Appreciate it totally sucks now though.
Thanks for letting me know. I have a friend who is a trainee right now who painted a bleak picture of what it’s like currently so hearing a second opinion does help
It’s pretty grim for trainees/NQs in terms of total lack of the training you get just from working physically alongside someone. But we are massively busy in terms of workload and made offers as normal after the summer programme. Can vary from firm to firm so can only speak for mine.
Come on, you’re studying law. Claim all the exemption you can. Challenge it.
Believe me, I’ve been trying to argue sceptical ideas to other students with varying success. The majority I’ve spoke to agree with me and dont comply but arent ready to be vocal about their opposition. Hopefully as time goes on and catastrophic second wave doesnt appear yet students are still being treated poorly attitudes might change.
As for the university, they havent started teaching but I expect much of what they’ve put in place is theatre and will gradually wear away as time goes on.
I lie awake in bed thinking of different ways I can effectively challenge this in my position because it goes against a lot of what I believe in. Right now I think encouraging mass non compliance and working bit by bit to reduce hysteria is the way forward.
Thinkaboutit is spot on. Claim exemption! I checked when the rule of 6 came in and the existing exemptions still apply (unless that’s been changed since then but to the best of my knowledge it hasn’t).
DavidC
I don’t know how LLBs work in terms of final exams and dissertations, but a thesis on the illegality of lockdown and the Coronavirus Act and the universities tearing up of all your rights must be on the shortlist?
Apologies if this has already been posted:
Simon Dolan on twitter:
S imon Dolan #KBF
@simondolan
·
2h
ANNOUNCEMENT
We are today applying to Court for an urgent hearing and injunction to overturn the new lockdown laws. If the injunction is granted any official who tries to impose the lockdown laws will be in contempt of Court
Case should be heard next week
Simon Dolan #KBF
@simondolan
·
2h
Full statement will follow later today on the CrowdJustice site.
This new action will run in parallel with the existing Judicial Review
I doubt the system will rein in the system.
Totally agree, but it’s fun to throw gravel into its workings.
Who’ll be going on holiday this time, I wonder?
Good point, it was savvy of Mr Dolan to get the case in before the ski season.
Anyone here from N Ireland waiting to hear what bullsh*t they are going to announce later on latest restrictions?
No but heard Liverpool is next too. Do you get the feeling that we’re being ‘poked with a stick’ to push us towards civil unrest then martial law?
Yes
Me. NW. Worst in the UK for rates.
I made this post earlier and shared with anyone who is intent on selling me their fear today.
https://lockdownsceptics.org/2020/10/01/latest-news-150/#comment-161217
Unfortunately my mother in law is glued to the BBC news at every opportunity and very fearful of the virus…..now scared again to have us and our two young kids into their house. Thankfully most other family members couldnt give a hoot.
I’m saying nothing original but the best thing she could do is switch the news OFF. The BBC’s panic mongering has been disgraceful.
DavidC
Yep. Don’t know if I want to know.
Re the writing on masks, I can’t post on this link below, as it needs some google account or something to hit post?
https://russelldavidsmadworld.blogspot.com/2020/09/mask-protest.html
But further to JohnB and others’ comments above, some suggestions for face nappies:
“Boris is crap” or whatever variations feel best…
“Poo! Your face nappy stinks”
“Why can’t you smile?”
“Keep taking the blue pill, muggles”
Most of you could come up with far more amusing/pithy quips.
I know the best route is to be exempt, but I don’t know why this or similar doesn’t get a whole lot more traction, for those that don’t feel able to pursue the exempt issue. And for those that say this is compliance, perhaps don’t let perfect be the enemy of good? There is a war to be won, and fighting it on different fronts doesn’t hurt if it involves a whole lot more of us fighting it.
We know that Boris needs to be liked. Perhaps his legacy can be Boris burkas/nappies, whatever, with a variety of (perfectly legal) insults aimed quite specifically in his direction? If it took off, it might yet be another straw?
What it probably needs is someone doing a few of these, say showing them in a supermarket setting, and then uploading them to facepoo or whatever to set the example? Someone who gets followed lots…
Does anyone know of a good custom-mask printing outfit?
I created an “ I DO NOT CONSENT ” mask on Redbubble, but they charge a mint for postage. I reduced the price to the bare minimum, but they’re still taking the piss.
I’d be interested in any site where I can upload designs and publicly link to them.
And I forgot to add on this.
At the moment, there are lots of us “exempt” non wearers who can be quite isolated at times amongst all the nappy wearers. If there were a whole lot more nappies with comments that made it clear that they disagreed, that visibly adds to the sceptic numbers.
Those of us not wearing them can see the visible support from others. And others will see both non wearers and those with comments and realise that the opposition is stronger than they are being led to believe?
I quite like “Boris’s burkas”.
Jeremy Vine going full-on sceptic
https://twitter.com/theJeremyVine/status/1311357701029531650
“ Can anyone explain why 7,000 cases a day nationally is triggering talk of a second lockdown?”
I implore everyone to not read the comments below his post. Twitter really is a plague on society.
Don’t need to but thanks for the warning. What this thing has brought home to me is how many intelligent imbeciles there are in this world.
Intelligent imbeciles is a great term. Similar to this:
Similar to the Dunning Kruger effect.
DavidC
oh I don’t know-there’s a few folk fighting fire with fire. The zealots look stupid as they can’t back up their assertions
Comments aren’t too bad, pretty mixed I’d say.
And it’s always good to see a Snake Plissken posting …
That it is… if you ever mistakenly develop any faith in humanity, Twitter is an excellent corrective.
Tweet has vanished
Uh oh, the BBC has obviously had a word with him.
I can still see it, @ 16:15.
I dont have twitter but Im hoping that Jeremy is starting to wake.
A breath of fresh air from deepest (urban) Devon. Our local rag published this about a cafe owner yesterday :
A Plympton cafe owner has spoken out about why she chooses not to wear a face mask.
Deanna Yates, owner of Finla Coffee on the Ridgeway in Plympton , says she doesn’t wear a mask or face covering and gives her staff the option to do the same.
Some locals are concerned with a handful telling the business owner her cafe isn’t acting ‘COVID secure’.
Yet Deanna says only a small number of people have said this – and the majority of her customers feel ‘safe’.
She said: “I’ve got masks and I’ve got visors for staff. I’ve said to them this is what the government has said. “They can take it upon themselves whether they want to wear a mask or they want to wear a visor or if they want to exempt themselves. I personally, have not worn a mask, and I refuse to wear a mask.
“It’s always going to divide people, it’s down to personal opinion. In my opinion it’s absolutely up to the person. I won’t wear a mask and I will hold my hands up to that.
“And if anyone asks, I’m exempt. No-one can question as to why I am exempt. Anyone can exempt themselves for any reason whatsoever, it could be the cause of anxiety or they could have breathing problems or hundreds of reasons why they can exempt themselves.”
Ah, a bit of sense I said to my self, so visited the establishment (Still open, the local stasi nowhere to be seen) and what a delight, the place was heaving, some had masks, some did not (their choice). The cafe employs 10 people. The staff on duty were lovely and the food and drink very good, the atmosphere was pleasant.
Outside was i sign which you would like :
Ahahaaaa that sign gave me a proper belly laugh. Good work.
Excellent! Normal behaviour! good for her!
That graph is more understandable to more of tge public than anything bill and ben have yet presented. It is more accurate too.
Good to know there re other sceptics down here in Devon. When I’m out and about it always seems as if I’m the only one.
KH1485 would probably be interested in this post, but I don’t know if she’s on here this time of day.
Thanks TJN. Yes, this is brilliant and am so glad there are others taking the same stance. I hope those who are accusing her of not being COVID-safe aren’t as malicious as the ones accusing me are.
Had a particularly unpleasant and disturbing encounter on Monday in my shop. Am being a bit careful with what I post right now but the incident shook me to the core. Hugely indebted to the kind ladies who came to my defence though. But these are truly dark, dark days when behaving like a human being gets you threatened to such a degree.
Hi KH,
I’m guessing you’re alluding to what you posted his morning – I replied but don’t know if you’ve seen it. In essence, keep going. You’re a hero!
Thanks again TJN. Sorry, didn’t see it but just been back to read it. Yes, that’s what I’m referring to.
Not sure about your last point, just trying to do the right thing but, boy, with the amount of aggression out there, it’s bloody difficult. One thing they can’t do is silence me at work. I will tell anyone who is willing to listen, that this is all a nonsense.
On the last point, I meant that one day you’ll be proudly tell people how you stood out against this, and that people like those two women will stay very quiet.
I’ve just caught up with your post on yesterdays page Kh,my blood boils for you !.What the hell is missing in some peoples lives that they have to treat you like that ?,these types of arseholes have been waiting all their lives for a situation to allow them to feel emboldened to treat others in this appalling way.I see it was women,they seem to be the acting like the biggest twats at the moment,especially towards other women.
The Environmental Health visit was no coincidence.Many years ago we had an accidental fire at our business and the EH inspector got there before the fire brigade,he said they had a report we were illegally burning waste that was phoned in by a ‘neighbouring property’,a sad twat,who moved next door to us,not the other way round,was always phoning in false complaints about us and I bet he thought all his dreams had come true that day.The inspector was sent away with his tail between his legs with the suggestion he told the ‘neighbouring property’ to fuck off !.He had to run back to his stupid little van because he was blocking the fire engine from getting in !.
Thanks Paul, my sympathies for what you went through. I know, these people just have nothing else in their lives. I have always found the Environmental Health excessively overbearing.
Yes, bit of a coincidence. Though I, and the regulars, suspected that her ire was provoked, not by my masklessness, but that I served them first! Good thing is I remember her and she will not set foot in my shop again. Time to consider a sign saying that we will not tolerate any form of aggression.
Poor you. I’ve been on the receiving end of malice and hectoring just once – in church – and that was horrid enough,You are a tower of strength.
You still abbreviated Annie?
Your church experience is far worse – after all, nominally, your fellow church-goers are meant to be Christians.
I’ve emailed the photo to some friends of mine. I love it!
DavidC
Genius
“Those who have a special feeling for the small, ancient, and decayed boroughs of England will be delighted with Plympton. It has been left on one side in the past two hundred years or so, and one smells cow-dung in the streets instead of petrol fumes: the immemorial life giving smell of the land from which the little town took its birth in the 12th century.”
from “Devon” by W.G.Hoskins (1954)
I know this is old, but during an interview with Sky News on 6 September, Dominic Raab said:
“The reason that we can’t introduce testing reliably at airports is because the success rate is lower than one in ten. So, as your earlier guest mentioned, actually it’s not a silver bullet. You would have to have further tests.”
So the First Secretary of State clearly tells us that the test produces 90% false positives and the country does what?
Absolutely nothing.
I think rather than 90% false positives it means 90% false negatives. Either way the question is how does he know that and if it’s true how can such an inaccurate test be used to inform you of anything? Having said that I’m just assuming that he didn’t have the faintest clue what he was blithering on about.
It does mean false positives.
You can infer whether that’s true based on an understanding of actual prevalence (via a combination of things like antibody tests and GP diagnosis), then combine that with an understanding of the likely sensitivity and specificity of the tests. I made a calculator here if you fancy giving it a go, the interface is a little buggy but the maths should be right https://coronacalculator.azurewebsites.net/
I just read him saying the success rate is 1 in ten as meaning that if you test 10 positive people only 1 test will actually come back as positive. Happy to be corrected though.
The false positive rate is a proportion of people who don’t actually have it that test positive. So I’m not sure what he meant exactly, but I would argue the “success rate” is true positives + true negatives as a proportion of total tests.
I also saw Raab say “only seven percent of tests will be successful in identifying those that actually have the the virus” on a Sky News studio interview that was posted on Twitter.
The original Twitter posting has been removed, but there are some traces of it here: https://www.collective-evolution.com/2020/09/25/british-foreign-secretary-says-false-positive-rate-for-covid-19-is-very-high/
It was in line with Dr Yeadon’s analysis, he’s posted a few things online, I think at least one of them is linked here somewhere…est false positive rate of approx. 90-94%
Meanwhile in la la land> https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8793235/Matt-Hancock-wrongly-claims-vitamin-D-doesnt-work-Covid-19.html
Matt Hancock told the House of Commons last week he had green-lit a UK Government-funded ‘trial’ investigating vitamin D and that it did not ‘appear to have any impact’. But this turned out to be untrue
They actually realised that they’d made a statistical error when they calculated the daily recommended Vitamin D allowance, so people who are insufficient or deficient in Vitamin D are actually dangerously deficient (if they’re using the same RDA).
Unbelievably, though they realised this, they’ve never rectified it.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4210929/
(To sum it up, when fixing the statistical error, they actually worked out that people need around 8895 IU of vitamin D per day, as opposed to 600 IU, though they then say “caution is needed”.)
Yep, when I was found to be deficient my doctor prescribed daily tablets that are 10 x the RDA.
Sounds rather similar to the HCQ trial. “Oops, wrong dosage, misread the label, nothing to see here.”
The HCQ trail – they used a much too high dose and excluded the required zinc (most people are zinc deficient) and then said that it was toxic/not working.
Covid vaccine trail – they used another vaccine as a placebo (with lots of side effects) and then stated that the Coli vaccine side effects were not that much.
Follow the money
Yes, and don’t go outside and get a dose of sunlight, fresh air and exercise. No dietary advice for boosting your immune system.
They also used it on late stage Covid patients, not early or precursor patients. No random control test either. Very flawed ‘research’.
DavidC
The RDA is just about enough to prevent rickets. Adults should take 10,000IU vitamin D3 per day, best to take with vitamin K2 and Magnesium as it helps the absorption of calcium into the bones and teeth – also for osteoporosis.
Foods contain very little Vitamin D3 and unless you can get sufficient sun exposure (exposed skin) from April to September only (sun too low in the sky during the other months to make vitamin D) then you need to supplement. Stay away from prescribed vitamin D2 (synthetic and body needs to take it through an additional process) an d megadoses once a month – its better to take it everyday. It is advisable two get a vitamin D3 test (ask your GP) to get a baseline and see how high the dose should be to increase your levels sufficiently. However if you cant get a test, take the 10,000IU.
Steady, Victoria – don’t oily fish, eggs, and mushrooms contain vit D ?
Not enough. I had half a tin of mackerel as part of my lunch today – 128 IUs. One egg has 38 IUs. (Source: Cronometer ). I supplement with D3 (best form) from late September through late March with 4000 IU. Haven’t been sick in years, of course, your mileage may vary. My GP is still closed, except for telemedicine, so I don’t know how I’d get tested.
Fair enough. (Not the use of supplement as a verb, that is just inexcusable.
). I am not an expert – checking the bottle, my winter vit D is also 4000 IU.
(half a tin of mackerel is one bite for some of us.
).
Of course, we all know they cannot do simple maths!
Handy cock talks bollocks? Who knew?
It was one of his typically condescending responses – to a very good question from Rupa Huq. She will be back to challenge him on this. I also think after this morning’s performance in the HoC to the urgent question brought by the Lib Dems on the 10pm curfew, he is likely to be ordered to address the Science & Technology Committee too.
Anybody wondered why they rushed out masks on flimsy justification yet they won’t recommend mass Vitamin D supplements due to “lack of evidence”.
The worst that will happen is most people will have stronger bones.
Like most things – there’s no such thing as a free lunch. I don’t want to put a damper on a possible treatment – far from it – but Vitamin D can relate to the development of kidney stones if there is an underlying propensity.
That is the unfortunate side effect.
A quick search makes it look like taking 10,000 IU can cause issues. I’ve never taken over 4000 IU and only over the winter. There’s no reason to take it the rest of the year unless you’re confined to home (oh, oops).
I wonder how they got away with not recommending it.
Standard recommendation snould be a daily supplement of Vit C, Vit D, and Zinc, and / or a diet that will provide these.
All of these are known to support immune system function.
And a single Brazil nut will give you all the Selenium you need!
“Why Did Fauci Say Vitamins C and D Work to Help Your Immune System 4 Years Ago and Denies It Now?”
https://www.newsbreak.com/news/1544413639846/why-did-fauci-say-vitamins-c-and-d-work-to-help-your-immune-system-4-years-ago-and-denies-it-now
He takes them both himself.
If you recommend Vitamin D and other nutrients, people will be too healthy and not get sick and therefore no requirement for the vaccine or other costly drugs such as Remdesivir
Absolutement.
And the same applies to HCQ.
And Ivermectin.
And that cough syrup that also works!
P.S.: selenium (walnuts), and VitD help stop your hair falling out due to deficiencies of both.
The masks are symbols of conformity. Vit D doesn’t make big pharma richer.
(I realise most here know these things – but just in case.
).
Or why they won’t put the vulnerable elderly on a maintenance dose of HcQ…
Wearing a face nappy marks you as a slave.
Taking vitamins is not a visible token of enslavement.
https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/12/7/2097/htm
O woe is me, I do not see
How I can live.
My ex-wife’s second cousin’s
Husband’s ungendered
Former partner’s seventh daughter’s
Boyfriend’s stepdad’s great-granduncle’s
Gardener’s prize tomato plant
HAS TESTED POSITIVE.
Isolate,isolate! Quarantine the plant and the greenhouse,spray with something or other and mask all plants immediately!
And round up the extended family.
Do you remember the Daleks? Exterminate! Exterminate!
Nuke the entire site from orbit. It’s the only way to be sure.
Game over, game over man!
Mutually assured destruction: MAD;very apt.
If it saves a single life it’s worth it!
I’m going to boil my lungs and burn my house down immediately. It’s the only way to be safe. I might catch it from reading your comment otherwise.
You shouldn’t make direct eye-contact with this web page.
It will give you brain cancer.
A depressing report here:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54371559
Restrictions probably lasting at least all next year – even if there’s a vaccine. At least that’s what a ‘group of scientists’ has to say about it.
Oh please no!
I’m really not sure what they think the vaccine is going to do.
No indication in the report referred to by the BBC as to who the researchers actually are, other than it’s from the DELVE intiative. As with a lot of these, it’s working on the premise that the vaccine is ‘the only way out’, without questioning the danger or not of the disease or whether we’ve reached herd immunity or whether the ‘cases’ being reported really are ‘cases’, etc etc!
DavidC
Very depressing confirmation of what we already new. The BBC is a good litmus test of where the narrative is going. The authorities are steadily rolling back their empty promise that everything will return to normal at some hypothetical future date because they know full well that a) A vaccine may never be developed and b) If a vaccine is developed it may not be successful.
We are in for the long haul folks.
The plan is to enforce a police state, but rather than visible machine gun posts, which would alert the population as to their likely fate, and create resistance, it will be done in a “caring ” guise, using a medical pretext so that we will be lulled into submission.
I would prefer hard totalitarianism to this dreadful no man’s land we’re in currently. Dispense altogether with the illusion that we are free. More honest, no bullshit.
Yep, with more and more QR codes controlling our movements
*knew, not new
They only look at the science ,in 6 months time people will.be worn out by this the economy will have totally crashed unempoyment will devistate many , the people will eventually lead us out of lockdown to proper normal.
The ‘scientists’ are the usual shills clearly lacking real insight and ability, having no apparent skill in assessing relatively simple benefit/harm equations.
Proof of this? Total lack of any competence in assessing the actual small harm of this virus against the total devastation of normal life.
I sometimes wonder if these types were damaged nerds bullied at school seeking their moment of significance.
I read articles like that and I despair. Has some substance been secretly added to the water supply that turns most of the populace into subservient imbeciles? How can anyone think that living with these sort of restrictions for a year or more is a rational response to a disease that is only slightly more deadly than seasonal flu? This is utterly insane.
Why are you reporting this shite on here. STOP giving them oxygen!
Know your enemy. Ignoring them right now won’t stop them.
Well now, that’s interesting, because according to what was said by the government only recently, it’s only going to be for 6 more months..
They’re never going to let us out of all this. It’ll only go away when a majority have had enough, it I fear that the government are going to continue impose restrictions using the police and military, even when it’s patently clear its no longer about the virus to even the bedwetters.
That majority will take an enormous length of time to emerge. There are all sorts of cognitive mechanisms at play. Certainly, people who have been vocally pro-mask have now invested their identity in this stance, and an about-face would amount to a personal climbdown and a huge blow to the ego. Most don’t have the stones for that.
I went to post a letter this morning and bumped into someone I know slightly but have never had a conversation with. We both posted our letters and stood outside the corner shop owned by a sceptic Seikh who is very pleasant and who doesn’t give a fig whether you wear a mask in his shop or not.
We found we had a lot in common, particularly scepticism about the ‘virus’. I mentioned masks and asked him his opinions on them. He said he realised that they were worse than useless but always wore one when ‘appropriate’. As we stood talking a young man came out of the shop and immediately whipped off his mask and shoved it in his back pocket. I said to my new found friend ‘there’s a typical example of just how unhealthy masks are. Not only do they not work but they are positive traps for all kinds of pathogens and crud which are liberally pasted back over the face.’ ‘Yes’ he agreed ‘but I wear one because it may just give confidence to people who are scared stiff of catching something from me so I like to be considerate of others’
On the face of it that may sound a plausible and selfless attitude to take but I hastily pointed out the converse argument. If we are ever to get out of this unholy mess and convince people that the chances of catching this so called deadly virus are extremely low, the job of any responsible and indeed ‘selfless’ person is not to cow tow to the fears of others and compound them by pretending that we too are scared stiff but quite the opposite: to not wear one at all! By not wearing a mask surely it signals that we feel no danger from them or any other person for that matter. And if they see this, and the more they see it, then surely their fears will ebb away. In other words: reinforcing fear by wearing a mask does nothing to diminish that fear which is what we have to do.
Perhaps, just perhaps, he might take this argument on board. Either way I was encouraged that he was sceptical of the whole business as indeed, I’m beginning to think, are very many other people who wear masks ‘just to be considerate of others’.
Its crazy how many are conditioned into believing that they may be carrying the virus without symptoms and dont want to pass it on. Some feel like they are heroes by wearing it, to protect others. If you don’t wear one, you’re plain selfish. How on earth will they ever turn this around and get rid of those damn rotten masks.
How many people actually know the reason why they should wear a mask is so THEY do not infect others?
I am sure a lot of people think it stops the virus entering their mouth and nose when breathing in.
They won’t. The masks are here to stay. People will still be asking this question in 10 years time.
The vast majority of sheeples wear nappies be ause they think it protects them .
Now who’s selfish?
My take is similar. As masks have negligible effect, in terms of the actual evidence, it begs the question why? Especially as without mandates it was a very small number who wore them. As demonstrated by your friend.
So the answer is that instead of making people feel safe they are designed for the opposite. They let people know in a very visual way the virus is out there. That we are in fact in a new normal. It’s a nudge technique to get people adhering to social distancing and general hermit practices.
Pretty sure that when the Government brought in the mandatory face masks, one of the reasons they gave was to remind people that we are not in normal times (I guess too many people were getting back to normal in July).
i.e. the main purpose of masks is a deliberate policy to keep up the level of fear in the community with a visible reminder of the new normal.
I totally agree with that. Masks are all about elevating fear levels primarily and then they also have many other psychological and societal “benefits” for “them”. Not for us.
Has anyone tried asking a mask zealot when they intend to stop wearing a mask and on what grounds they will make that decision?
I think some might wake up when they hear themselves expressing completely stupid replies to those questions…or if they actually can’t answer the questions..
That’s the point I make as well. Far from reducing fear, masks sustain it by confirming to people that there must be something dangerous out there.
I think the real reason they are so popular with some people is that they give an illusion of personal control.
I think you are right Mark. People seemed to have ceased on face masks like someone drowning grasps onto a lifebuoy. With their masks of invincibility they are controlling the virus and being part of the ‘team’. It’s delusional but scared people behave in delusional ways.
100% with you.
We have no less than a MORAL DUTY not to wear the masks. They create fear, terror and subservience.
It isn’t our duty to pander to the fears or delusions of others just to make them feel comfortable,it just reinforces those fears and delusions,Why should anyone wear a mask to the detriment of their own health and/or convictions to placate the feelings of someone else.Anyone who feels better wearing a mask can do so but those who oppose it should have the equal freedom not to.Every time someone wears a mask to make someone else happier or simply for an easier life is preventing an end to the madness,if the number of maskless people reaches a critical mass the whole charade will collapse quickly.From my experiences recently that critical mass will never be reached,I hope to be proved wrong,but I just can’t see it happening judging by the 99.99% compliance in our town.
Jeez pandering to terrified (by HMG) human shaped automatons will keep us in this state forever. If someone is mad you do not help by going along with the delusions…ever!
There is the possibility that they made masks mandatory to bump up the severity of infections to justify the lethal theatre.
Peru vs Brazil.
Michigan vs N Dakota
Spain & UK vs Sweden.
All indicate that those countries that indulge the lunatic bedwetting mask wearing see more and worse cases than those that do not.
3 seperate continents, same phenomenon in each.
More mask wearing = more cases and higher viral load through people rebreathing their exhaust gases.
Correlation is not causation but sometimes it’s a big f****** cluestick.
https://jordanschachtel.substack.com/p/first-choice-how-china-and-the-who?r=6a3x3&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=twitter ‘First Choice’: How China and the WHO created mass ventilator hysteria
And harmed innocents along the way.
This steady drip of evidence pointing to the inefficacy of a course of treatment advocated by bureaucrats at the WHO and mindlessly adopted by states and hospitals in countries with high mortality. In the US hospitals were paid to go to the vent first, and New York seemed to do so with great vim and vigor. The implication is that all estimates of fatality are wildly biased by treatment modalities early on, meaning that covid19 is likely less deadly than normal flu absent the murderous policies of politicians and bureaucrats. States kill people much more efficiently than any virus ever has. When will we finally learn this horrible lesson of the modern era?
Great find. The lawsuits in the U.S. will be legion. Is W.H.O. legally liable for the advice that it gives out or does it have immunity, I wonder?
I think almost everyone is freed from liability by the Corona virus emergency legislation that was passed in most countries.
I had wondered where that guidance had come from. That alone has been responsible for a large number of deaths attributed to Covid.
There’s more than a few indications now that China were not forthcoming about how they dealt with their outbreak so apparently successfully (at best) and (at worst) misled the West onto a crazy trajectory. If it’s the latter then their scheme must have succeeded beyond their wildest dreams.
The only thing which gives me pause in calling it the latter is the Russian experience. Although their death rate has been pretty good (good stuff that HCQ) they did seem to have a fairly widespread outbreak.
That said, they now have a vaccine. Or saline injection so they can claim a vaccine and go back to normal.
And China are having mass raves and their economy is wide open. Hmm…
What is so depressing is the complete absence of anything resembling journalism. I know I’m stating the bleedin’ obvious, but this current breed must be exceptional in their public school/Oxbridge network-bred lack of nous or curiosity.
I mean – it makes you want to celebrate the Philby’s etc. of the 1950s who,coming from much the same background, at least did something other than just scratch backs and lick arses in pursuit of personal advancement.
How often do you hear a question such as :
“Secretary of State : The measures you have introduced have, time after time, resulted in no beneficial outcome, have they? If your strategy has been so brilliant, why aren’t we in the same position as Sweden, which, without masks and various forms of imprisonment based on faulty testing, is managing life very much as normal.
It seems the votes are in, given the hard evidence.
Shouldn’t you resign with such a record of failure?”
Your comment is exceptional in its wilful distastefulness.
Philby was a criminal who sent thousands of Lithuanians, Albanians, Estonians, Georgians and Armenians to torture and death, and for every agent captured through Philby’s criminal activity, 40 of their friends and relatives were also tortured, then put to death.
Do you celebrate mass murder?
Oh FFS. You silly man.
The point I was making was about the thousands condemned to death or servitude by the lockdown of health services and lockdown in general with the complicity of the copy-cat privileged scribblers who have betrayed their profession for an easy life.
‘….it makes you want to celebrate the Philby’s etc. of the 1950s’
All will have noted that you do not retract.
You are not to be taken seriously.
Intemperate language always gives the game away.
It’s not just this country.
There’s all too often a particular narrative that they all stick to, almost without exception. One of those is the “mostly peaceful riots” by BLM supporters, and anyone who opposes our cultural heritage being destroyed or defaced is a “far right extremist,” just as those going to t anti-lockdown protests are “conspiracy nuts” or “covidiots.”
I’ve seen this going on for a long time. There are too many activists posing as journalists, and not enough real journalists.
Quick update to my message about text from chemist yesterday. Telephoned them just now. Told me the message had, “…gone out wrong.” So nothing to worry about, just make sure you give enough time for your order to get from the GP to them. Strange don’t you think?
Thanks for the update.
What a bizarre time to be making a careless schoolboy error like this.
Copying the governments and its advisors ?
or they heard about the injunction….
There is an article on the daily vile website, Kate Garraway saying she wants to show the lockdown rebels a picture of her extremely ill husband. I am sick of this fear porn being pushed down our throat by the msm. It is sad that he got the virus and is very sick, I however could respond by saying that I would like to show her a picture of someone dying of cancer. It is not a pleasant thing to see (I have on a couple of occasions), there are going to be a lot more of these deaths if the NHS doesn’t get its act together and start treating all illnesses. I hope that I don’t come across as callous but I am as angry as she is but for different reasons.
Did lockdown stop her husband becoming ill? No? Then she needs to shut the fuck up. Anyone one of us could roll out a family member who’s been badly affected by lockdown, but we don’t have a national TV platform.
Great! then I would love to show Garraway a picture of my 77 year old mother who had a Lung-ectomy (chamber removed) due to Lung CA 2 years ago, but decided to huff and puff to her local store until I got her a mask exempt badge and lanyard.
Pathetic.
Presumably if we showed a picture of a person who had a bad reaction to a nut allergy, Garraway would advocate the banning of nuts in this country?
Logic of a child.
Just found out that an acquaintance’s friend died last Sunday from her cancer returning – it was not spotted due to a long series of cancelled hospital appointments.
Kate Garroway should realise that she lucky her husband is still alive, and he has benefitted from NHS treatment that others have been fatally denied.
My OH’s colleague told her that their OH was diagnosed with cancer a few months ago, but the NHS cancelled their treatment (due to Covid, obvs) now it’s too late to treat and they are terminal.
These bastards in Government are letting people die on the altar of Covid. Why do these lives not matter?
She’s a lying bitch, draper is a psyop.
on the very few occasions i put on GMB and she is on, she is always going on about her husband. I think she takes the view that we should all die from undiagnosed cancer to make sure he survives whatever the co-morbidity affliction is
#OnlyCovidDeathCounts for some people
Can i show her a picture of my mother in law who has breast cancer and has not yet been treated because NHS is now Covid only service? The fucking audacity of these people is criminal!
That last sentence says it all. Sorry about your MIL and for all those adversely affected by this disgusting situation.
Isn’t her very sick husband Derek Draper? Old hands may remember Mr Draper as a much-loathed PR guy for Blair & Brown.
IMO he’s getting his karma and in no way deserves sympathy.
Yep. Obese champagne swilling tosser. Zero fucks given.
Shopped at Aldi, Lidl (replacing Asda) and Home Bargains today. No change at any of them, no hassle, door goons or anything. Most staff unmasked, at least behind screens, only saw two or three other bare faced shoppers in whole trip. Wondering about writing to their head offices, thanking them for not going AsdaMental, but strangely, I worry it might push them into it. Maybe we should keep ‘good stuff’ to our selves?
No,don’t tell them,it might just be a local thing that their head offices don’t know about.
I shop at Lidl and Home Bargains and they are always (and thankfully) quite laid back about it.
I think the supermarkets gave been got at by the Government, otherwise, what explanation us there for the ‘Big 4’ all tightening up on the rules at the same time?
I went into waitrose the other day to collect a parcel. Unmasked, nobody batted an eyelid. Encouraged, I even did a little shop. When did buying basil become subversive?
My experience of Aldi mirrors yours. They do what they are required to do but no more. No one-way systems. No meeter/greeter to harrass you.
I reckon they have savvy management who value turnover and profit highly.
In this case, I support them doing so!
And there is a bustle in Aldi. People seem alive; or at least not entirely comatose.
My other local is Tescos, which seems to have an excess of staff just standing there doing basically nothing except observing shoppers, and the shoppers themselves are silent and downcast (at least to my eyes).
I loathe one-way systems, especially when I forget something located in Aisle 1.
My wife came back upset from our local small ASDA today.
She wears an mask exempt lanyard because she has sinus problems and other health issues.
A member of staff made a beeline for her, acting quite hostile and intimidating. It was obvious they were going to have a go about her lack of a mask until my wife showed her the lanyard. It freaked my wife out as she’s not encountered such a hostile approach before.
My wife phoned the Asda complaints line, so hopefully the staff will be told to be more gentle and polite if they need to check about mask wearing.
Honestly this mask wearing edict is the most soul destroying part of this whole covid fiasco, on top of mandatory app usage. I really cannot be bothered with the hassle, so shops and pubs are not getting my custom until these silly rules are abolished.
I agree, the mask thing gets me the most and I feel so sad especially when I see young kids wearing them. I hope your wife is ok. I was never one who really liked shopping anyway, but the whole mask thing makes me dread going to any shop now. Trying to start my Christmas shopping online but I always like to support local too. I enjoy going out for meals but I dont even want to now because most people masked up working or customers putting it on and off when standing. Utter lunacy honestly. I’m surprised that no one has ever challenged me by not wearing one, hopefully I never have the experience your wife did.
The app itself is not, as far as I am aware, mandatory. If you don’t download it, if your phone or operating system can’t download it (Huawei, for example, or older operating systems) there’s no obligation to do anything.
If the Army comes to my door with a voluntary testing kit I have a lovely piece of Stilton to test.
DavidC
I’m willing to bet that the Stilton would prove to be Covid positive.
Funny enough apparently Tanzania, who have refused to follow WHO and have been doing their own thing (despite bribery by WHO), tested the PCR tests on a sheep, a goat and a papaya. It came back positive for 2 out of the 3 including the papaya. Say no more!
but if you send that test in and the stilton is positive for covid, it is not the stilton that will have to isolate for two weeks!!!
Try going into a pub without the app. Lots of reports of people being denied access without it.
People are going to need to carry a copy of the actual LAW in their pockets whenever attempting to enter a pub/shop/restaurant at this rate!
You should boycott Asda anyway after their introduction of marshals.
My local Morrisons and Tesco have continued to be very sensible and i’ve yet to be challenged once by any member of staff or other customers.
Happened to my wife a few days ago too, at Sainsburies. Hysterical youngster at the till refused to serve my wife until she had masked up.
Have you complained about this? If not, you should.
I have also noticed a considerable increase in hostile looks towards me on trains and in shops when not wearing my mask and an exemption lanyard instead. Another (African American) woman was bullied by a mid-40s white guy last week on a SE train for not wearing her mask and without a lanyard. It ended up in a massive shouting match before she left the train. He was moaning on about how everything would be so much better if people just wore masks and wore them correctly… and how one of his friends was really ill with Covid. I bit my lips not to ask him how many of his friends will most likely succumb to cancer in the next 10 years… He clearly didn’t get the memo about the 82 bacteria and 4 fungi found in a child’s mask at the end of one normal school day (tested by Charity for Children in Germany).
It’s a very worrying development. During the summer I felt safe without a mask, now I don’t, but not because I am threatened by a virus but threatened by idiotic mask zealots. It might be worthwhile pointing Toby and Will towards the increased hostilities and take it up in their daily updates….?
Best response: unload shopping on conveyor belt, walk out.
Good one! Plus: leave on conveyor belt a copy of the law re masks, plus the disability discrimination act, making sure to include information regarding the fines that can be levied if found in breach of it..
What is one’s recourse when this provision of the DDA is breached? Is it a police matter or a civil matter?
Hope your wife is OK
I had a similar encounter at my local M&S and despite the manager apologising, I still phoned head office. My logic is that if I don’t help put a stop to that despicable behaviour, someone with more severe issues than me like dementia and severe anxiety could be harassed.
I’ve stayed away from that branch since. The one near my workplace has been more sensible.
I’ve had no problems at Morrisons, Tesco, Co-op, Sainsbury’s, Lidl and even Waitrose!
Good point. “We’re all in this together..” well unless you’re – exempt, have breathing difficulties, autism, communication difficulties, need clarity with hearing, lip reading, or a multitude of other things – we’re not with you. But we’re all in this together….
My friend is a support worker and says some of the residents in the supported house are “going backwards in development “due to lack of social interaction.
No clubs, classes, sports since March.
The staff run out of ideas how to keep them busy.
Businesses seem to be tone deaf when it comes to the disconnect between their rhetoric and reality.
It won’t last when their sales plummet and they’ll go bust.
She’s fine now thanks. Though it is denting her confidence a bit. She’s finding it hard with the lockdown also causing issues for our adult special needs son, who can’t do any of his regular activities, so he’s always around and she’s not getting a break. I’m working from home so I can step in to help, but of course I also have to work.
You all three have my deepest sympathy. You’ve obviously done wonderfully well so far.
Keep your hearts up. We are with you.
Leo Varadkar must lurk on here or has he been smoking crack? Ah well, better late than never.
“What I see other countries doing – Belgium is the most recent example – is that they are no longer using case numbers to make their decisions on restrictions and on policy,” said Varadkar.
“They are looking at hospitalisations, ICU capacity and deaths. It is a job for us as politicians to say to the public health people that maybe we should be focusing on that.
“The objective was to make sure our health service did not get overwhelmed, not to lock down the country and the economy until there was no Covid at all. That is not realistic.”
https://www.broadsheet.ie/2020/10/01/why-are-we-using-case-numbers-to-make-decisions-on-restrictions/
Even there though, the term ‘case numbers’ is being used. They’re NOT CASES! They’re positive test results using a test that is open to so many questions.
DavidC
No, no, DC; they are infections that will kill us all. Do keep up, dear.
Lol! Thanks for correcting me Sam!
DavidC
That is great news.
Strange, I thought Ireland was worse than us. Maybe they’ve reconsidered things.
I wondered why he felt the need to ask this question….then realised he is no longer the Taoiseach! Still the deputy though, and Minister of Trade/Employment, so not an insignificant contribution.
He is the Minster with responsibility for employment figures! I hope his civil servants (WFH) have told him a few home truths about the effects of lockdown on long term employment figures.
Better late than never as you say. I hope Varadkar pushes this hard. NPHET and their hangers on are a disgrace.
And in the meantime today NPHET are recommending restrictions on household visits for the whole country ( ie from 1 household only ) . Not clear what this is supposed to be based on if anything because different counties are at completely different levels. Kind of undermines the whole cases game?
Well to paraphrase Peter Hitchens, “this time next year, everyone will say they were a sceptic”
Maybe the Irish listened to what Giesecke said to their Covid committee last week?
Ireland is closer to home for people – bigger ‘freedoms’ there and the UK mask-and-lockdown fanatics might just wake up and take notice. We can but hope!
I’ve been criticising the Irish Government since I was 16 (now 46).
They are probably watching my internet posts and picked up the idea from them!
Remember that “awful woman” incident that did for globalist PM Gordon Brown? Well, this is not of the same career ending crush as that – but it another string in the sceptics bow. A mighty well strung bow it is too.
**Hot Mic** PA Gov& PA State Representative caught calling facemasks “political theater”
https://twitter.com/yrnf/status/1311065135667204096?s=20
Short clip – as with most twitter available for all to see and view without sign up or a twitter account.
Minor claim to (not) fame: that ‘awful woman’ goes in the Wethy’s I (used to) booze in!
You ought to be on posters Sam!
Anyone taking bets on any follow up statements? Probably short odds on, “I was framed” (aka The Pelosi) followed closely in the betting by “but Trump… BUT TRUMP!”
Of course.
Most of these leaders won’t bother with masks when they think they can get away with it, and journalists.
There was Nancy Pelosi caught on cctv in a hair salon without a mask, when it’s mandatory in her district to wear a mask everywhere, plus hair salons have not been allowed to reopen.
I saw a clip of a journalist who removed her mask as soon as a White House press conference was over and she thought the cameras were off.
The tv presenter brother of Governor Andrew Cuomo, i.e. Chris Cuomo, did a big thing about self-isolating in his basement for two weeks because he was supposed to be CV19-positive, except he was caught outside by a member of the public without a mask, when he was still supposed to be in quarantine.
It’s all theatre and show. They know a lot of it is b.s., especially the mask wearing.
The rules make little sense, and i don’t think they’re supposed to.
“Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities.” (Voltaire)
One atrocity is the near-closure of the NHS and withdrawal of health services from too many people, and sending infected people into care homes.
Theodore Dalrymple:
“Political correctness is communist propaganda writ small. In my study of communist societies, I came to the conclusion that the purpose of communist propaganda was not to persuade or convince, nor to inform, but to humiliate; and therefore, the less it corresponded to reality the better. When people are forced to remain silent when they are being told the most obvious lies, or even worse when they are forced to repeat the lies themselves, they lose once and for all their sense of probity. To assent to obvious lies is to co-operate with evil, and in some small way to become evil oneself. One’s standing to resist anything is thus eroded, and even destroyed. A society of emasculated liars is easy to control. I think if you examine political correctness, it has the same effect and is intended to.”
The CV19 propaganda is along similar lines. It’s illogical and perverse, and designed to humiliate.
Yep, totally agree with all that.
Great post thanks
Thanks for finding that – I referred to it in a post yesterday, but could not re-find the link!
The difference in outcomes between the two episodes is a function of which side the media is on.
I am now becoming an unashamed anti lockdown fanatic. I have noticed in my area, that businesses of various sizes are putting up notices outside their premises stating “no masks, no entry” or similar wording.
I have checked the updated (24.9.2020) government guidelines, which I know might have changed in the last week!, but still they refer to exemptions.
I have therefore written to the council asking that its inspectors tour the area and when such erroneous notices are seen, to have words with proprietors so that those with exemptions will not be too scared to enter those premises.
Clearly, no one not even ministers know what the hell is going on, in which case misinterpretation or overreaction will be rife.
Well, that’s implied discrimination, right there.
“No masks, no entry”
To which I respond: thanks for letting me know, I will never do business with you ever again.
There’s a farming supplies place around here that’s gone full muzzealot about it, looks really aggressive.
I saw a shop near Covent Garden that had that sign. Surprise, surprise – no customers!!!
Ooh, that sounds more like my kind of shop.
Might have to seek that one out!
Some legal cases for discrimination need to be brought against such places – a few hefty fines might lead to a change..
The harbingers of doom are back https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54371559
We know a vaccine won’t make any difference if it miraculously arrives because no one in their right mind, under the age of sixty it going to take it.
I’m well over the age of sixty – but I’m not barmy enough to accept an under-tested vaccine produced on the back of government prior purchase (which has to then be justified by uptake), absolution of responsibility for purchasers, and the explicit short-circuiting of regulation.
I’d be less stupid sending money to an unknown Nigerian on the promise of untold riches
We are of an age that remembers a certain drug that was well tested (by the manufacturers) which ended really well for Distillers. Thalidomide
I bet Hancock’s done the latter at least once in his life
Spot on Rick!
DavidC
If Ellwood gets his way, you won’t have much of a choice:
https://parliamentlive.tv/event/index/f9b43e59-b2a3-4d9e-ab6c-f9e3620128aa?in=20:24:24&out=20:28:58
And the Government’s already confirmed they won’t rule out compulsory vaccines:
https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/323442
This needs to be publicised more – might wake a few people up..
Oh, and just for good measure, they also want to use unlicensed vaccines (i.e. not completed testing) and absolve the manufactureres of liability in those cases if it causes any side-effects (obvs, because they’re not fully tested):
https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/distributing-vaccines-and-treatments-for-covid-19-and-flu
Every time we leave the house we are bombarded with evidence that ‘those in their right mind’ are extremely thin on the ground.
I’m over 60 and certainly not having it voluntarily!
Just sent this by a friend –
http://tapnewswire.com/2020/09/ultimate-proof-covid-19-was-planned-to-usher-in-the-new-world-order/  ;
It gives a fact-based summary of how things have got to where they are today.
already disappeared.
Found it on archive.today
http://archive.is/NjX9v
DavidC
Apologies – try without the /
http://tapnewswire.com/2020/09/ultimate-proof-covid-19-was-planned-to-usher-in-the-new-world-order/
http://tapnewswire.com/2020/10/media-slowly-awakening-to-the-massive-fraud-that-is-covid/
I found this link instead, which works.
Take the /  off the link for it to work. At least that’s what I had to do.
Your link now appears dead….
At least for me.
In no way am I an expert, I know, you have spotted that already! But does Norway’s casedemic explicitly show increase in testing. There is an odd stepped characteristic to their ‘case’/positive test numbers. Here is the graph:
https://twitter.com/JamesTodaroMD/status/1311298314734694400?s=20
To my untrained eye it appears possible there was an opening of testing centres or other cause for increased testing about halfway through the Autumn casedemic.
I think the ‘stepping’ is just a recording artefact.
But I thought that Norway had stopped random testing because of its observed pitfalls where there was a low incidence of disease – ??
Interesting you can spot it so clearly. Is there any quick way you can describe why artefact. I’m not disputing just that I may be able to learn something if it doesn’t require a socially distanced online degree to get it. Thank Rick – please don’t waste any time only if it’s a simple description.
Norway may be swaying towards a Swedish, gasp, style arrangement/deal with CoV 2
Didn’t the PM say in May that their lockdown was ineffective and there wouldn’t be another one?
https://www.thelocal.no/20200930/norway-to-ease-national-coronavirus-restrictions-heres-what-changes-in-october
Yep, Norway opening up more – see here: https://twitter.com/jhnhellstrom/status/1311278913339953153
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09.28.20202929v1.full.pdf
Another study showing T cells immunity
T cell assays differentiate clinical and subclinical SARS-CoV-2 infections from cross-reactive antiviral responses
“In contrast, the same healthy subjects showed responses to the S1 and S2 subunits of spike protein in a 7-day CTV proliferation assay, confirmed by analysis of lactate production. The most likely explanation for this is that people retained cross-reactive central memory responses to the spike protein of seasonal coronaviruses that circulate in the UK, although cross-reactivity from other human microorganisms is also possible, as has been described for HIV, influenza and Ebola epitopes in naïve subjects. These cross-reactive responses may have been underestimated in previous reports using more ex vivo type assays with limited sensitivity.”
This is what puzzles me when they talk about asymptomatic cases are these actually immune responses? I understand that some immunity will protect you from Covid 19 disease but will not stop the virus replicating in your upper respiratory tract. So that whilst you may be immune you can still carry enough of the virus to test +ve. I feel that I do not know enough about how immunity works but that it is more tricky than some imagine.
I am of the opinion that so called asymptomatic “infections” are simply instances of positive PCR with dead virus.
Or false positives. Or related coronavirus fragments. Or unrelated coronavirus fragments. Or recovered individuals. Etc.
DavidC
A while back, I was talking with a close neighbour who is another knowledgeable sceptic and whose articles appear regularly in various parts of the press. We swap information, analysis and views on a regular basis.
At the time, I twitched a bit at his scathing condemnation of public health professionals in a pretty broad way. But I fear that emerging events have persuaded me that there is a considerable weight of poor practitioners in that area – as well as in the related fields of epidemiology, virology and immunology.
Such specialisms should be allowed to inform policy in so far as their limited expertise allows. But they should never be allowed to actually shape it from their narrow and sheltered perspectives.
I posted the other day about technocracy and people with shiny hammers being convinced everything is a nail, and determined to solve every problem at all costs, so desperate that they distort reality to fit the parameters of the problem as they originally saw it. I’ve seen that happen in my own business sector and I know at least one senior public health official who seems to be suffering from this “every problem has a solution, a perfect solution, and I will find it” delusion.
Public health professionals are just people. Some are very good, some are mediocre, some are bad. It’s also a field where it’s difficult to get removed for incompetence.
True enough, but the fundamental issue is that we have a government of lawyers and arts graduates who are not equipped to sceptically interrogate the claims of the ‘experts’.
Any discipline with ‘public’ or ‘planning’ in its title is going to attract dregs.
Driving into Oxford on the A40 today I was confronted by one of those county council traffic display boards, screaming:
“OXFORD CITY CASES ARE RISING
ACT NOW TO SAVE LIVES”
What kind of offering to the gods do you think they would like me to make?
Attach lead wrights to the cases to stop them rising.
Maybe something more mundane, say, remove this shit show of a government, open hospitals, resume cancer treatments, allow old folk to see their relatives… Bit fanciful, I know.
Back over the May bank holiday there was one around here saying
“REDUCE YOUR SPEED”
“PROTECT THE NHS”
Couldn’t even think of an original slogan.
the logic being that they dont want you to have an accident which would necessitate the NHS doing some non covid treatment?
Probably. This was during peak NHS worship when we still had the weekly clapping ritual.
no – when “they” had the weekly clapping ritual
Burning Peter Hitchens alive?
What sort of act do they want? The great SARS-COV-2 disappearing act?
That’s in no way scaremongering propaganda, is it??
Does anybody else know the ghost stories of M. R. James? They used
to scare me stiff. Now I re-read them for their superb artistry.
One of his nastiest ghosts is the demon in Canon Alberic’s Scrapbook . Quote:
‘the eyes, of a fiery yellow, against which the pupils showed black and intense, and the exulting hate and thirst to destroy life which shone there, were the most horrifying features in the whole vision.’
For ever now, to me, that demon will be Wancock.
The BBC’s M R James ghost stories were at the zenith of it’s broadcasting.- ‘Whistle And I’ll Come To You’ was genuinely scary the first time I watched it. They’re on YouTube. I’ve read a couple of his stories – I must read more of them!
DavidC
M. R. James described (Sheridan) Le Fanu as “absolutely in the first rank as a writer of ghost stories”. His ‘ Madam Crowl’s Ghost’ scared me witless as a child. Available on gutenberg.org.
I love his stories and read them regularly; the early BBC dramas are excellent as well:
https://youtu.be/w7xJSQY8Ssw
https://youtu.be/htTN90mh1gI
And this one
Maybe already posted.
Cross Reactive T-Cell study published in Nature.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41590-020-00808-x?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=organic&utm_campaign=NGMT_USG_JC01_GL_NRJournals
Great stuff. Its not an easy read but I reckon this little nugget I pasted below could be important.
“In our study we identified and characterized the exact T cell epitopes that govern SARS-CoV-2 cross-reactivity and proved similarity to human common cold coronaviruses regarding individual peptide sequences, physiochemical and HLA-binding properties 38 , 39 . Notably, we detected SARS-CoV-2 cross-reactive T cells in 81% of unexposed individuals after a 12-d pre-stimulation.”
More evidence to help explain lots of mysteries like why do I have the antibodies but the wife does not, or why the south of England appears to have already reached herd immunity etc etc.
Good comment thanks. I agree the study seems quite a mile stone.
Reading yet again about the appalling treatment of students. I’ve just remembered, with a wry inner smile, that Cambridge undergraduates are ( or were in my day) referred to formally as being ‘in statu pupillari’, which means literally ‘suckers’.
I too despise the universities. But by finishing my degree I’m saved from having to interact with the dystopia.
just speaking to my daughter. She is back but in a shared house so not subject to uni accommodation rules. She had her first seminar today . Via internet!. Doesnt know when she will get a face to face.
I’m actually delighted that these young people who’s every first demand is for the government to do more things for them are finding out good and hard how that always works out.
Annie, can I just ask – have you tried to reinstate your old username on this site?
Don’t know how! Don’t know how I lost it!
When the Reply box comes up, can’t you just type your ‘correct’ handle into the Name line? Then your posts are ‘waiting approval’ for a short while (presumably you’re t/a registering as a new user) then it all goes back to normal?
Sofar compliant Mrs B just started to rebel and reports back that her first maskless visit in a SW London Waitrose of all places went very well, unhassled and that she was not the only one maskless there at all.
Maybe the tide is really turning, a few weeks ago when I went, any Waitrose was still a no-go zone with a 100% bedwetter ratio, entrance control snd full compliance.
Congrats to Mrs B.!
Perhaps they’ve noticed footfall has gone down. I did get a questionnaire after an online delivery where they asked whether I shopped online or in store. I said I preferred in store but wouldn’t mask or want to shop with masked zombies.
The tide isn’t turning. I was in a Sainsbury’s megagigahypermarket yesterday, where they have never had mask enforcement… I was the only person with no mask in the entire place. That’s one fewer than there were on my previous visit.
There were no dirty looks or protestations, but there were still wall-to-wall sheeple.
Go Go Mrs B ,Well done .
Someone here mentioned that the National Trust have resorted to adverts to try to plug their shortfall as a result of people not renewing or cancelling their memberships..
It’s not just the NT, the other day I received a begging letter from the Royal Opera House about donating via naming a seat.
If it was during the good times Mr Bart and I would consider. Unfortunately we are entering bad times and given that our usual seats are not available anyway so no.
Am also unhappy with their cowardice and lack of will to lobby to end this insanity so that they can perform again.
I foresee more begging letters coming my way.
Festival Theatre in Edinburgh has a giant building side banner ad. The curtain will rise again – text ‘something or other’ to a number to donate £10.
The giant building side print must have cost in the £10ks itself.
Makes you wonder that if they’re struggling for cash then why blow it on banner adverts and begging letters?
Should they not be banding together and lobbying the government? Surely they realise they can’t go on like this and that social distancing and masks will only accelerate their demise?
Yes – it’s a difficult one, since the venues and companies are not in control of their destiny (I have a close family member bound up in the daily dilemmas of all this).
But they might start shouting ‘Foul!’ instead of ‘Well, we better had’
there is a difference between those places not allowed to open such as theatres (for whom i have sympathy) and those places who can open but who just made the whole visiting experience so miserable that people stopped going, such as the NT
The prices in most London theatres meant that seeing a show was mostly limited to elites and tourists – will only be (virtue-signalling) elites now, most likely…
Agree. I do have sympathy for the ROH and the like but why are they not fighting?
I have more respect for a body like the Bournemouth Symphony whose CEO has said that he refuses to accept social distancing and reduced capacities and will fight for a return to the way it was before March 2020.
I’m wondering whether there are no sceptics working in any of these places? Maybe we need to leaflet them with information on Global reset, with some links to look at…
Especially ones that rely heavily on foreign tourists visiting.
They might fight when they realise the bigger agenda is to kill them off completely…
I’m one but unfortunately I am only a small cog in the machinery and it doesn’t help if the vast majority of my colleagues are pro-lockdown, social distancing and masking.
I’ve tried to bang the drum on why these current diktats are hurting our sector but its falling on deaf ears and its like trying to get blood out of a stone.
Sadly I think they will only wake up once compulsory redundancies become a reality. Which will happen.
Every single one of these institutions deserves to collapse. Without exception they have embraced the new normal with zealous enthusiasm. The best and only way we can fight back is by removing our financial support. The rest will take care of itself.
Exactly. Time and again I’m surprised at how quickly these institutions simply rolled over without a fight and accepted the so-called new normal and not realising how these will damage them and accelerate their demise.
Am planning to write a letter to the ROH explaining why we’re not donating.
The National Trust went woke and upset many of its members before CV19 appeared, along the likeability current British Library head librarian.
Indeed and the current crisis has accelerated the National Trust’s woes and hitting the headlines for all the wrong reasons.
The British Library (an institution I admire but currently boycotting) seems hellbent on following the National Trust to the abyss.
The OH has given a lot of money to The ROH over the years, but is thinking of cancelling this year. I’m a member of Garsington and Glyndebourne and will keep that up, at least for another year or so.
But I was so disheartened to see rehearsal pictures from Glyndebourne with everyone on stage in masks. I really don’t care if that’s government diktat. What sort of signal is it sending out to potential audiences?
Anyway, we’re not going to the autumn performances at Glyndebourne – or anywhere else – while we’re expected to sit muzzled and several seats away from other audience members. Sadly, judging by the amount of seats available, even in the “distanced” theatre, we’re not alone.
I’m with you, Bart – when is the arts sector going to insist on a return to full houses. If people are scared they’ll just stay away. It’s got to be worth the gamble.
I hope those of you not renewing memberships have told them why. Realising that these restrictions, masks etc. are hitting them in the pocket might persuade these organisations to make more of a fuss rather than blindly following government diktat.
I was chatting to someone who went to see Ralph Fiennes at the Bridge Theatre. She reported that even with “social distanced seats” there were several unsold seats and rafts of seats remained empty. If this was last year, the play would have been sold out.
That’s a question I will ask the ROH – are they going to insist on a return to full house and go back to normal? Mr Bart and I would happily return in a heartbeat.
even with “social distanced seats”
Oh dear!!
Same here. I follow one of the Royal Ballet’s ballerinas on Instagram and I was dismayed on seeing her and her fellow dancers masked during their rehearsals. Such photos would not motivate me to return to watch them.
Isn’t wearing a face nappy while leaping around energetically rather dangerous?
Yes! There’s been at least 2 deaths of young people in the far east, linked directly to wearing mask while engaged in some kind of exercise activity… many other reports of collapse & emergency treatments.
The National Unworthy of Trust can beg, pray, exhort, grovel, roll in dust and ashes and lay itself down as a carpet under my feet, but I still will refuse to go and be treated like dirt in any of their Covid-worshipping properties.
Agree.Makes you wonder if they realise how their worship of Coivd and everything woke is driving people away.
Only if it’s pointed out to them.
The Guardian had 2 choices for their latest headline about Sweden:
a) highest new caseload since June b) no new related deaths have been recorded
What d’you reckon they went with?
Ooooo -That’s a hard one
When was this? I’ve been out today and none of the Swedish newspapers in my local supermarket had anything Covid-Related on their cover…
It’s on their website right now
Clearly Sweden is not panicking though! Other news items deemed more important here today
Ahhh, you’re in Sweden! Makes sense now…I was wondering how you were seeing Swedish newspapers in your local shop!!
has number of tests gone up in sweden?
No idea, not sure they were interested in reporting that
No, if you are meaning very recently. Last week there were 128,852 PCR tests; the week before 139,471. The week before that, 142,673.
But they have increased the testing since week 35, when they only did 85,060 PCR tests.
This is the link to find all the testing stats: https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/smittskydd-beredskap/utbrott/aktuella-utbrott/covid-19/statistik-och-analyser/genomforda-tester-for-covid-19/ , but it is in Swedish!!!!
I don’t want to trot out the old cliches like ” My old grandad smoked 150 fags a day and was on his 17th pint before most folks got up,etc and he lived to he was 99″, but honestly I think that you have to build up immunities in life and locking yourself away in case you get too close to other people is dangerous.
In the late 60’s I worked at a sewage treatment plant and one of our jobs was “French letter picking”; the filter bed mechanisms were always getting blocked up with condoms ( some knotted, some not) and they had to be removed by ( gloved) hand.
At that time (1969) Sewage workers had a average life expectancy of 83 and my foremen Jack who would clean out a blocked pipe with his hands and then wash them and eat his sandwiches lived to well into his 80’s and I went 27 years at work without having to have a day off though illness.
There’s a black country saying ” Yo gotta ate a Peck o dirt afore yoam a dyin”:
You cannot live in a sterile bubble (ask Michael Jackson and Howard Hughes) and the sooner the government, their “advisers” and the general collaborators realise this then there might be a chance to return to something like normal lives.
when i was a kid. my grandads house had an outside loo, a lean to bathroom and a lean to kitchen with dark corners where god knows what lived.. And they kept chickens. I must have been exposed to everything there and if not there, outside . He was 95 when he went .
“ I don’t want to trot out the old cliches …”
But there’s a difference between ‘old cliches’ and the hard scientific truth that avoiding infection is no immunity.
Absolutely.
I’m worried about how much anti-bac is being spunked on people’s hands at every opportunity. We need a health amount of exposure to bacteria. We’re not designed to live in a sterile bubble.
The human race and bacteria are old (necessary friends)
Especially when you consider the sheer amount of bacteria that we have in our bodies, primarily the gut without which we wouldn’t survive very long. Then there’s the mitochondria that are present in every cell with a nucleus, which is though to be a symbiotic bacterial/cell relationship.
No Brainer!!!
I’ve never used hand sanitiser since the start of this clown show, if they become insistent I ask for soap and water.
Here’s why….
http://www.microbiologynutsandbolts.co.uk/normal-flora.html#
me too.. a result of so much anti bacterial being used on top of the existing overuse and misuse of antibiotics in humans and livestock mean that we can expect resistant superbugs soon.
Back to the good old days when a scratch could kill you
Sometimes the old cliches are cliches for a reason (like stereotypes), i.e. they had a big dollop of truth to them.
I used to work (in the office) at a Sewage Treatment Works (STW) some years ago (I went there about 2 – 3 times a week) and I ventured the opinion that workers at an STW were liable to frequent sickness. Not so, said one of the managers. Such people are the healthiest in the country because they pick up microscopic doses of all sorts of things, often in combination. Then the immune system barks into life and produces antibodies and all sort of things. Result? They are never, or vary rarely, ill. So I think I have probably picked up an immunity to this ‘virus’. And I do wonder whether I have passed this on to my adult students, to whom I now teach New Testament Greek. Hence my name, in case you were wondering.
Thank you for your encouraging reply.
Any primary school teacher will tell you that the smelliest kids are never off sick.
Excellent reference to Jackson and Hughes.
THANK YOU.
Folk observation:
Farmers kids tend to be the healthiest.
Bit like China, all that interaction with livestock/ pigs / ducks.
How do new flu strains start again.
In US labs?
And we all knew kids who were as”black as the road”, playing in the gutter, had a “cat lick” with a flannel occasionally but generally they were perfectly healthy.
I remember James Herriot (Alf Wright) in his vet books describing a knacker’s yard with the owner eating his “snap” and his kids playing amongst rancid offal and millions of maggots and guess what?: all of them perfectly healthy.
Long ago when my Mum was a sickly child, their doctor told her mother “Let your child play in the gutter if you don’t want to lose her.”
That famous mathematician Robert Peston tweeted this morning:
The influential Imperial React swab study contains encouraging news – that Covid’s spread may now be only mildly exponential . [My emphasis]
I know I did mathematics only to degree-level engineering, so I can’t claim to be a mathematician, but I’m struggling to recall what a ‘mild exponential’ is …
Loads of good posts on here, but I’m so pissed off with this right now I’d better go and do something else to take my mind off it.
‘Fuck Johnson, Hancock, Fergusson, Whitty, the WHO, the whole damned lot of them.’
Nicely spotted.
What a stupid, ignorant twat.
Actually Mrs TJN (a maths graduate …) spotted it and read it out to me, as she knew it would wind me up … which it did.
Another thing which winds me up is when I see the term ‘order of magnitude’ used for ‘multiple’. To me, if something increases by an order of magnitude it means a multiple of 10, not 2.
TJN, a mild exponential is less of an exponential than a severe exponential…exponentially speaking…!
DavidC
Exponential. Another word being bandied about as if they understand it by people who would struggle to tie their shoe laces in the morning.
BIG AND SCARY MATHS!
Exponential (adj) – a lot. See also: scary
That’s a somewhat unique understanding of ‘exponential’.
There used to be exponents of the art of drinking mild in my local.
Used to like a pint of light in the afternoon, but I never took to mild, that was when afternoon toping was expected!
I seem to remember serving a ‘black and tan’ when I was young working in a bar – mild and larger I think. Never liked the sound of it myself. I was always a Special Brew guy.
There was a variation using Export/80′ and a bottle of stout. Even that was a bit too sweet for me.
I do remember the old guys having a 1/4 gill of rum and a 1/3rd pint bottle of “wee heavy” around 10% abv I think.
Haven’t seen it for decades now.
Sounds pretty good to me – might try it some time. Pouring a single malt now. Keeps viruses away,
I thought it involved Guinness and bitter.
Remember in 1939 when Winston Churchill told all of your grandfathers to close down all of their shops, forget about enlisting in the (very dangerous) army, and go hide under their beds until the Americans showed up to save them?
Such bravery.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=RJue8CKkD8M&t=595s
This is an excellent interview with a well known German sceptic, a toxicology professor, it would be well worth translating or adding English subtitles.
Anyone who listens to it will understand the problems around the vaccines in development much better, probably run away from them, and understand a few other things/current criminal neglects and manipulations much better too.
Proof that the pandemic was planned with a purpose
‘The Corona panic is a play. It’s a scam. A swindle. It’s high time we understood that we’re in the midst of a global crime.
https://www.stopworldcontrol.com/planned
What can we actually DO about it though?
Ok, I know I am a maths geek, but I been crunching some of the Government figures on their “staging” website.
I have taken the period from 19/09/2020 to 29/09/2020 as the period I am basing my calculations on, as that is the latest date the admissions figure goes up to.
We have to carry out additional calculations to work out the “positive” figures, as the Government only publishes the doom.
So here goes, and bear with me! Note, these are the figures for England:
On 19th September, there were 1048 people in hospital. On 29th September, there were 1,881 people in hospital. The number of admissions between these dates is 2,760. However, to bring us back to the balance on 29th September, we can therefore deduce that there have been 1,927 discharges in this same period. So, we have 833 excess admissions over discharges, or 83.3 per day over the 10 day period.
Now, let’s take the average number of deaths in that same period. This comes out at 31.5 per day average.
So of the 83.3 per day excess, we’ll say 31.5 of those will die, leaving 51.8 per day likely to be discharged. Now we need to take that 51.8 and multiply it by 10 to get our 10 day figure, i.e 518.
I said earlier that there were 1,927 discharges, and based on the above then, we can deduce that 518 of those in hospital will be discharged, making a total of 2,445 discharges.
Therefore, out of the 2,760 admissions in this 10 day period, we anticipate 2,445 will be, or have been, discharged.
This means that 89% of admissions are likely to be discharged.
But then again, does the remaining 11% seem far too low to include those who have been hospitalised for reasons other than Covid, and simply had a positive test?
Interesting….
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30453-7/fulltext
”The potential disruption to health and social services due to false positives could be
considerable”
A friend, whose daughter and son in law are both doctors are now quarantining for the third time since the beginning of March as their daughter’s school has just been closed due to someone testing positive.
Has no-one in SAGE or the government thought about the consequences of downloading the app?
Simple solution – asymptomatic positive gets automatic retest. If negative, the positive test no longer stands
Even simpler solution : Avoid testing like the (real) plague.
What he said. Twice.
Interestingly, my friend and her husband have not downloaded the app.
Not enough money in it!
“ Has no-one in SAGE or the government thought about the consequences of downloading the app?”. Maybe, maybe not. If they didn’t think about it beforehand, someone has probably pointed it out. But they DON’T GIVE A FUCK. They don’t care about the consequences of anything they do beyond how it plays in relation to “beating the virus”.
Cost/benefit with cost set at zero no matter what it is.
Has no-one in SAGE or the government thought about the consequences of downloading the app?
I think it would be more fitting to rephrase the question “ Has no-one in SAGE or the government thought about the consequences of anything ?”
I’m still waiting for the Chuckle Brothers’ projections on lockdown consequences – the worse case scenario of course, as that’s how they like to present their findings.
I think they’re only interested in the projected income figures.
No one in SAGE or the government will be expected to download the app; that’s why..
Give it a week or two- the Govt should reveal the results of how many with the app test positive.
Track and Trace is about causing maximal disruption and damage at maximal financial cost.
They are the two most important design features.
What sections of the community and what public services do they want to protect?
Well, the Police. No app for them.
Your example is how it is designed to work.
Why do Toby and others refer to the death rate as being 0.06%. I make it 0.0006%. I.e. 6k deaths in Sweden divided by 10m x 100. What am I doing wrong?
Do you need to include some brackets?
(6000 / 10000000) * 100.0 = 0.06
Solved, thank you!
Tricky it is 0.06% not 6% i.e. nought point nought 6%. people would say 0.06 by 67000000 is over 4 million, but the correct no. is 40.000
Normally they are referring to the ifr, infection fatality rate, which is the percentage of those infected who die. Clearly, that depends a lot on how you count who has been infected as well as on how you count the deaths, but that’s the standard measure, along with cfr, or case fatality rate – the number of deaths as a percentage of treated cases.
What you are calculating is the population mortality, which obviously takes into account how widespread the disease has been in the population.
Yes, the population mortality rate seems to be a neglected statistic. Do I really want to know the IFR and CFR? Well, I do if I have been infected or have symptoms, obviously. But back in February I would have been more interested in my overall chances of coming out of this alive. The problem then was that the ‘scientists’ were fairly determined that almost all the population were going to become infected (sooo novel, soooo infectious, woooo), so the population mortality rate was almost the same as the IFR. But we now know that 80% of people have some resistance to the virus (wherever that comes from). The IFR is based on there being some evidence of ‘infection’ so those 80% don’t even get into the pool. So really, the odds aren’t bad at all.
Exactly. In the end, it’s population mortality that really matters, but you can’t know that until you find out how any people are going to get it.
You are assuming the entire population have been exposed. It’s probably only 90%!
And you have a superfluous nought to the right of the decimal point.
Or is it two?
https://mobile.twitter.com/Tobias_Ellwood/status/1310986075343642624
Tobias Ellwood MP. Reservist in 77th Brigade (which is involved in psyops).
“Preparing for a NATIONAL (VOLUNTARY) VACCINE PROGRAMME
With a vaccine potentially 6 months away -let’s learn the lessons from PPE/testing & think ahead.
This is the largest logistical challenge in a generation. Let’s begin developing the detailed blueprint so we get this right.”
A couple of replies:
“Translation – Vaccination to be all but compulsory if you want to live a normal life. ”
“How is it voluntary if you are proposing that only the vaccinated will be released from restrictions and will need certificates to travel. This is coercion.”
“How will it be Voluntary IF the only way someone can travel overseas ( be it for personal, pleasure or business reasons ) One Will Require a Vaccination Certificate ? If this is Government / Countries Policy Globally, one will have No Choice But To Be Vaccinated against CV”
This has been planned for years, ever since Blair tried to force ID cards on us. They’ve been told in Australia that they will need it for education, for child care (child care providers will only take vaccinated children) and travel etc.
Today’s T&T is tomorrow’s VaxID.
….which all the masked sheep have not realised..
Said from the start that the muzzled will be our downfall, the outward compliance to government control
Totally. I have no sympathy for anyone who has complied who suffers because of the fallout from this. None.
I believe that in Australia you can already not get any state benefits if you are not vaccinated (and if you do not get your kids vaccinated..)
To be honest I don’t actually have a problem with the idea of a vaccination certificate for overseas travel. You still need such a document to demonstrate that you have had your yellow fever vaccination if you travel to countries that require such evidence. Travel overseas is for the most part a voluntary activity.
What I have a problem that any covid vaccine will not have been properly tested and the regulations appear to have been amended to absolve the manufacturers from any liability but that’s it.
Two very good reasons to object to it here:
First, as you say, there is good reason to expect it t have been inadequately tested and rushed into use.
Second, it legitimises a fatuous overstatement of any possible risk this particular virus could pose.
But Covid is a minor illness – why should people have to prove they have been vaccinated against it in order to travel? What if you are immune to Covid – why should you have to be vaccinated?
You also show zero sympathy for people with family in other countries when you declare that travel is voluntary..
Two points, both very well made. On your first point I should have added that I believe that it is highly unlikely that an effective vaccine for a coronavirus will be found. Especially because as far as I know we have only ever successfully defeated one virus through vaccination and that is Smallpox and that took something like 300 years.
Giesecke, who is something of an expert in the field, says no country should be basing its policies on the imminent arrival of a vaccine, and what’s more, that any vaccine that is developed in the near future is unlikely to work on the groups that are most vulnerable to CV19..
The problem is that dodgy covid vaccines have become too big to fail, even when phase 3 trials have gone badly.
Great post. Exactly
Countries can let visitors in using whatever crazy criteria they want in my opinion. If Greece (for example) insists that everyone dye their hair pink before visiting that’s up to them. Nobody is forcing you to go there.
But that is not what they are saying? They are saying you cannot travel…ie LEAVE the country until you get vaccinated. You will get people fleeing Australia and claiming asylum in sensible countries, like ….Belarus.
The world’s gone topsy turvey.
Yellow fever is only required for a handful of countries. Where do you draw the line?
The problem is the whole world has been totally transformed in the most mendacious and evil way to FORCE everybody to have this vaccine. This is abuse of humanity on a monumental scale.
All for selling a vaccine. All for cash, power and control.
Which will be ripped to shreds in the courts because it contravenes international law.
Til they change it?
US version
I have been calling it de facto mandatory for at least 6 months.
There is the hope that the first candidate used will show up undeniable harm, because it may save many lives and some semblance of a future.
It’s worth revisiting the whole Swine Flu / Pandemrix saga.
And in particular how AZN (yes them again) denied responsibility for as long as possible.
Have a look at this Guardian item :
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/oct/01/on-a-knife-edge-nhs-frontline-prepares-for-a-covid-second-wave
… if you want to play ‘spot the fictions’.
Obviously a plant, it is so blatant in its hysteria.
‘MI6’s House Journal’ indeed. It would be laughable if the outcome wasn’t so serious.
Try this one for starters :
“ Early October is eerily reminiscent of mid-March”
Now go and look at the indicators for the two periods.
Then play ‘Spot the difference’ (between Reality and the rest of the article)
https://www.lifesitenews.com/news/australian-state-law-empowers-officials-to-forcibly-remove-underwear-to-administer-vaccine
“ (d) to remove anything (including underwear) that the relevant person is wearing, if —
(i) the removal of the thing is reasonably necessary to enable a medical examination or medical treatment to be carried out or, as the case requires, to enable the person to be vaccinated; ”
Life imitating pornography.
Oh my god!
To paraphrase Clive James, ” the problem with Australians is not those that descended from criminals, but those that descended from prison officers”
That’s a priceless insight. Thanks for that
Shocking. Interesting site, thanks
Is it actually true?
Can we all chip in and buy an island please? Reckon we’d get some Aussies on board.
at least it will then allow the aussies to tell the authorities which part of their anatomy they can kiss.
Just where does the vaccine go???
Went to a newly opened cafe near me today, stood near it looking at the view and looking at the customers. Well all 4 of them, 2 on each table, many people walking up, reading the notice about waiting, masked only, etc and then walk away, only the muzzled were permitted to enter. The business probably won’t last as it used to always be busy, really nice buzz, another one will bite the dust.
Sorry newly opened after renovation.
Especially when they get sued for Disability Discrimination.
We need to reinforce, “get woke go broke”.
Treat people like Lepers — don’t look surprised when they take their hard earned elsewhere.
Only when enough businesses start squealing will the pols possible pay attention.
Royal Albert hall reopening for the Christmas season. Little steps.
So no London lockdown then?
Let’s see. The government usually wait until companies have made plans and spent lots of money before they cancel everything and shit all over them.
Sadly true..
Spawn of Satan will be disappointed!
Anything short of reopening exactly as it was before doesn’t count in my book. We’ll not be participating in any voluntary activity until all restrictions are lifted.
Exactly, I am desperate to go back to performances but I absolutely refuse until it is completely normal.
Yeah, got the email as well. Still boycotting though.
Is it possible that Boris’ “brush with death from Covid” was likelier a stiff bout of pneumonia ?
No.
He had Covid-19, and was hit hard by it.
not hard enough
Do you have any evidence to support that assertion?
Not a stiff bout of anything!
He was hospitalised as a precaution and discharged suspiciously quickly for someone who’d been at death’s door.
Of the 84% who signal they will comply, with Covid restrictions, do you suppose a goodly portion are literally afraid that their phones are tapped, their conversations recorded ?
The majority of that 84% will break the rules when it suits them and expect everyone else to be punished if they break the rules. It’s how people work. By now I would bet most people have broken some rule or another so even suggestion compliance is daft.
Exactly. Every person I know personally who follow the ‘rules’ have all told me an anecdote of the rules they’ve bent when it suited them. At least I’m honest with myself.
What they say and what they do are two different things.
We have a society that has become hooked on value signalling. The entire Formula 1 paddock wears masks when there is absolutely no need for anybody there to do so as you need a negative test to get inside. It’s entirely hygiene theatre for the paying public.
Until Rationality is elevated back to its rightful place at the front of the pack and hysteria related to those who are to be shunned we’re heading back to the middle ages.
Prime your ducking stools
I have wondered if F1 was only allowed to resume if it made a show of extreme mask zealotry. It seems to be the worst of all the televised sports.
It’s because hypocrite Hamilton is there as king of the Woke brigade doing everything he can to virtue signal how much he cares for other people.
And being a protected minority himself, he cannot be criticised..
so woke he maintains that his mother’s life doesn’t matter .
Totally agree about Hamilton. Hot off the heels parading around on his private million £ speedboat moaning about how people are killing the oceans, then frolicking with that lovely honest gent Philip Green, now he’s posted another update – attacking the systemic problems with horrible corrupt society…. Very nice too from one of his 4? 5? luxury properties, with a reported 15+ gas guzzling sports cars in his private garage…
In the long litany of government cock-ups over the years this must surely rank as No. 1.
What were they smoking in No. 10 when they imposed lockdown after it was officially declared that Covid-19 was not, repeat not, a high risk disease? Are we supposed to forget that?
There is a best-seller to be written here eventually but I doubt it will see the light of day for some time: too many powerful vested interests involved.
And they’re all still smoking in No. 10. The only question is who is their dealer?
I can’t think of much that compares to it. In terms of the impact on the country, I can’t think of anything. It’s orders of magnitude worse than anything else. The Iraq war caused a lot of suffering.
It’s a blunder of similar proportions to Hitler invading Russia or Japan starting a war with the US.
Globally outside of world wars it has to be most stupid thing ever done by miles. It is hard to imagine it will be equalled.
Yep, the worse policy decisions in my lifetime, even more so than the Iraq War.
On a positive note, thank fuck these goons weren’t in charge during a real emergency.
This parliament is not over… don’t count your blessings just yet.
This is the worst decision of any British government since the declaration of war against Germany in 1914
Good point – I had forgotten that. Can you think of any decisions before that come close?
Ethelred the Unready trying to buy the Danes off with gold?
All the major mistakes since then had some rationale behind them,and there has been many but this is national suicide
Not in terms of waging war on this country and its people.
Thatcher waged internal war on sections of society and regions – but not on the whole populace.
In other disasters, the cost has been borne by other countries – as Egypt did in the Suez crisis, as in Iraq and Iran at different times; Palestine after WWI, and parts of Africa at various times.
Nah, thatch was trying to make UK society more cohesive by removing parasitical growths.
The 1812 war against the USA, battle of New Orleans.
They’re creating a real emergency – social and economic.
True, I may need to rephrase that comment
There is a best-seller to be written here eventually but I doubt it will see the light of day for some time: too many powerful vested interests involved.
I think it will have to be memorised by someone, ready to be written down again once the conflagration is over and society starts to re-build…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fahrenheit_451
We’ve been warming up to it for decades. But none of the cock ups before have been anywhere in the league of this one, not even close. This one is a league of its own. The proposed Green New Deal will give it a run for its money if its allowed to continue
In no particular order, the warm up events/things included:
Christopher Booker wrote an excellent book on some of the above and others.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Scared-Death-Global-Warming-Costing/dp/0826476201
I read Frank Furedi’s book below in May to try and understand how we had lost the ability to consider the probability of a risk causing harm as well as the possibility. Another good (albeit depressing read);
https://www.amazon.co.uk/How-Fear-Works-Culture-Twenty-First/dp/147294772X
Well it is the Year of Hindsight
Meaning that our Fascist bastard tyrants see out of their backsides?
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8794963/Matt-Hancock-stands-10pm-pubs-curfew-despite-Tory-fury.html
take care out there – it looks like we are all going to die again…(unless we go home at 10PM)….
How much of the fury is because they have been forced to shut the House of Commons pub by 10 pm as well?
So he didn’t let Parliament vote then? So his promise lasted less than 24 hours…
It’s not a new rule. It predates yesterday’s vote. No less silly for that.
The Health Secretary was repeatedly challenged by Tories on the swingeing restrictions as he announced new lockdown measures in the North West and Middlesbrough.
But he sidestepped demands for the scientific basis behind the curb, and dismissed concerns that forcing venues to shut is merely fuelling revelry on the streets and house parties.
Denying he was taking an axe to civil liberties , Mr Hancock ……
The tide seems to be turning.
Very powerful Full Moon tonight! Don’t lose hope.
Finally some courageous leadership in the U.K. as the Mayor of Middlesbrough rejects government orders of a local lockdown
https://www.facebook.com/danjgregory/videos/10158758799247402
How much power does he have to refuse?
He does say they have their own local health information to show it is not warranted..
I saw a map showing how much of the UK is under local lockdowns or under threat of them – will be everywhere soon, at the current rate of progress..
It’s just nice to hear someone standing up to them. Hopefully it will make his locals start to question what’s going on.
Already seen some local businesses thanking him!
And he seems to have done his research re the current local Covid facts and figures.
That’s good because his local press have handpicked some rabid bedwetters for opinions.
I give it until this time next Monday for him to do an about-face and issue a grovelling apology.
Andy Preston:
Important Update About Government Announcement
The government has made an announcement that it plans to introduce strict measures for Middlesbrough in the face of rising Covid infections in our town.
I don’t accept this is the right decision and talks are ongoing.
I knew the government wanted to bring in severe restrictions like these – similar to those introduced in Tyne & Wear – which I knew would be damaging to Middlesbrough jobs, livelihoods, businesses and mental health.
That cannot be right.
I believe the government can limit the spread of the virus by limiting social mixing – but while also protecting jobs, livelihoods and mental health.
It’s my belief that the government’s announcement is based on factual inaccuracies and a frightening lack of communication.
As it stands, I don’t accept the measures and – along with my council colleagues – will be holding further urgent talks with the government.
I hope the government will listen to us and accept our local knowledge, expertise and ability to get things done in a way that stops the Covid spread while preserving jobs and protecting the mental health of Middlesbrough residents.
I understand people will have lots of questions and I’m not realistically able to answer them all on here.
Further updates as soon as I have them. As it stands, nothing changes.
Andy
As a first line of defence against the CovidApp nonsense, I’ve just picked up a second hand Nokia for £25.. please do explain how to install your marvellous app on my phone, good sir.
I believe there is a dummy app out there somewhere.
https://covid1984.life/
Work of genius – share this!!
ive still got an old phone in a drawer .. Even if it doesnt work will be good to carry it around
Was just thinking that it isn’t a surprise that most of the politicians voted from extension of the Coronavirus Act and even its inception. The large majority of politicians voted for the vacuous Climate Change Act. Another theoretical extrapolation into the real world with no verification or accountability.
Why are politicians so enthralled with models and devoid of realism?
The two agendas are of course linked. Also the UN migration pact that May signed us up to.
Don’t confuse the key issue.
Some great news!
The mayor of Middlesbrough —independent Peter Preston, has just declared that he will defy new government lock down rules:-
https://www.itv.com/news/2020-10-01/middlesbrough-prepared-to-defy-government-over-new-covid-19-rules-mayor-says
The government, their advisors and other assorted gang members are on the run. Preston is courageous and at his wits end and his patience has been exhausted. Let’s hope this will help to open the flood gates.
Vernon Coleman is convinced that most of them will be in jail when the dust settles. I’ve done my best to resist Vernon’s conspiracy theories but as time goes on my belief in government incompetence, as an explanation for all this, is waning by the day.
I have to confess that his forecast for imprisonment of all the major players is something I would love to see come to fruition.
Whether or not you give credence to Vernon Coleman’s theories his latest video is definitely worth a watch.—- and I say this as someone who desperately wants to believe in the ‘cock up’ theory for all this.
Missed Coleman’s video—here it is:
https://brandnewtube.com/watch/why-i-believe-politicians-and-advisors-will-go-to-prison_t9eKWJlQEzmZeZv.html
I beg his pardon—his name is Andy Preston.
Salute that man.
And let’s hope he’s opened the way for more to follow.
Interestingly he’s an Independent.
Also:
He was backed up in his fury at the announcement by Shane Moore, the leader of Hartlepool council, who told Sky News that the government had promised him ministers wouldn’t announce measures without the approval of his council, before doing just that. He complained that there had been no information on the ‘exit strategy’ from these restrictions.
At last, some genuine resistance from within the political hierarchy.
All in jail is all that keeps me going
Just read, he wants all muzzled in public spaces even outdoors, no no no
Dan, Can you provide a link?
Aaargh!!
The police attack on a peaceful anti-lockdown protest is a new low-point for our police forces. Personally, I would have no more one minute silences for fallen officers, not to be nasty, but simply because the police can no longer be trusted when it comes to dealing with the public and we should simply not get involved.
It was to remind everyone that the police are supposed to be on the side of the public.
Hopefully, many of those police who were around before the goon squad was sent in, will remember that.
Looking into the eyes of the Territorial Support Group officers I think they would have happily beat the anti-lockdown protestors to death on Saturday. They aren’t particularly nice people and the one minute silence didn’t certainly didn’t make them show any mercy and I am not convinced any of the police there actually appreciated the gesture as they now seem to have a deep inbuilt hatred of freedom protests.
Would be very interested if any one actually knows what the police thought of the gesture?
Simon Dolan adds this piece to the jigsaw via his twitter:
“”From Maria Caulfield MP -Unfortunately I can’t vote against the renewal of the Act as contained in it is all the extra funding for the NHS,schools and businesses that they need to get through this period. Without the extension, their extra funding would stop straight away”
Outright extortion then. We are being governed by a gang of criminal mafia thugs.
Well, I don’t know, um, it might just be incompetence…
You’re so kind
Incompetent criminal mafia thugs.
Welcome aboard. Better late than never
As the NHS has effectively closed its doors to so many of the population, it shouldn’t get another penny until it reopens fully.
Showing at 8pm on channel5 this evening GP’s behind closed doors!
Well now we know how the blackmail was pulled off.
They’re certsinly throsing their weight about today with newfound vigour and barefaced lies.
Can someone let Simon Dolan know please?
He’s seeking to lay down an injunction to stop the new mockdown laws and will probably need this informaton.
Thanks.
This is FROM Simon Dolan.
Doh! I’d just reread the post, much to my embarrassment.
I was about to delete my comment but was too late to get away with it.
Blush!
A lame excuse – the act enables our country to be destroyed, but I have to vote for it because it also enables some of the consequences of that destruction to be mitigated. Bollocks really.
Hear, hear!
Cause they clearly couldn’t pass the funding without it, what a load of bollocks. Its bribery.
Shows how cheaply some people can be bought.
Not even true. They would have 21 days to put something else in place
That isn’t true though – someone pointed out she was lying almost immediately – look at Simon’s Twitter thread..
Post it here so we can see it helps all.
So there are 190 replies to trawl through to try and find what might not be true.
Is this what you refer to? https://twitter.com/BellRibeiroAddy/status/1311003774941622276?s=20
Meaning as above here caulfields excuse is true yet here excuse is false.
I wouldn’t bother usually but being a little accurate surrounding such dealings in our parlaiment is important.
ANOTHER WAY OF LOOKING AT THE FIGURES
ENGLAND & WALES ALL CASE MORTALITY AS OF THE END OF August 34,064 above 5yr Average. September seems to be levelling out as average. So by the end of September 34064. Lets say we have a further 6000 excess deaths Oct – Dec.
Total excess deaths for the year would be 40000
Lets divide that figure by 365 (days of the year)
110 excess deaths per day.
Take the population of England and Wales as 56000000
Divide that by the 110 excess deaths
This figure come to about 510000
Therefore on average there will be one extra funeral per day per 510000 (half a million approx.) of the population
Have I messed up or not with the maths?
It’s not the computational maths that’s the problem. It’s the arbitrary baselines.
The term ‘excess mortality’ should be binned. It means nothing – beyond ‘mortality beyond an arbitrary level’.
A ‘5 year average’ currently means a figure based on a period of historically low mortality.
Sorry to be picky – but the misconceptions built around these terms are egregious in perpetuating false concepts of ‘normality’ that are used to provide exaggerated images.
Many thanks for the reply – thought provoking as always but surely a million excess deaths would mean something?
Oddly many people think that statistics determine the outcome whereas it is actually the outcome that creates the statistic.
For example a 5 year average is determined by events that have happened. It has no bearing on what will or may happen in future. However future events can and will change the average.
Thanks! Taking a figure of 40,000 excess deaths this year as a prediction.
Then one would look at all the effects of lockdown on people living in private homes.
All the effects of lockdown on care settings
All the effect of lockdown ie fear and slow reporting of medical problems
One would note that many deaths were recorded as Covid 19 without a test(I know) etc
So that 40,000 could be portrayed as Covid deaths but so many variable would be involved in the increased mortality rates.
As you have access to the data, take it back to September 2019 and see how the figures extrapolate. My guess is that from autumn to autumn there haven’t been any excess deaths at all.
I will do that one as homework sometime! Only have some of the data!
No action that the Govt has taken has made any significant difference to an epidemic which simply ran its course. If all the “actions” prevented the spread of Covid you would have expected flu deaths to go down (flu is transmitted in exactly the same way).
https://twitter.com/anthonysargean2/status/1311608820096000001/photo/1
What happened? Nothing
Brilliant tweet
They’ve already been combating this narrative saying that flu doesn’t spread in the same way.
Which is ironic considering the models used are influenza models
Just a quick reminder how all this was predicted as far back as early April:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wWnx8iSRlYc
Dave Cullen: Connecting the Dots Part 1. (16/4/2020)
https://platform.keesingtechnologies.com/coronavirus-immunity-passports/
Deutsche Bank predicts coronavirus ‘immunity passports’ 3rd April 2020